World Cup 2010 Forecastology

[BlueCat]

France should be out of this WC after losing to Mexico 0-2

 

[SIFU]

Now Greece leading Nigeria by 2 goals to 1. Looks like Nigeria got to pack up and go home.

nigeria is by no means out.

if they win their last game against korea by a goal, n argie defeat greece by any margin, nigeria will go tru becos of better goal diff.

unless the tie-breaker rule changes lah.

 

[aurvandil]

Yesterday nite blood everywhere. Normally today would be a day of abstinence. However the mighty Germans and ever popular England are playing. Still too early to see betting pattern yet but <cross finger> hope the herd will be out in force to try and recover losses from yesterday and Mon/Tues.

 

[krafty]

yesterday, didn't bet. I wanted to bet on argentina but on 2nd thought, koreans playing defensive. hence,decided to take a break,damn... turn out 4-1...

so far lost on England and spain...shitty kelong teams!:oIo:

Yesterday nite blood everywhere. Normally today would be a day of abstinence. However the mighty Germans and ever popular England are playing. Still too early to see betting pattern yet but <cross finger> hope the herd will be out in force to try and recover losses from yesterday and Mon/Tues.

 

[Equalisation]

yesterday, didn't bet. I wanted to bet on argentina but on 2nd thought, koreans playing defensive. hence,decided to take a break,damn... turn out 4-1...

so far lost on England and spain...shitty kelong teams!:oIo:

Take a break ?? break lu eh si lang tow !!

 

[Alamaking]

yesterday, didn't bet. I wanted to bet on argentina but on 2nd thought, koreans playing defensive. hence,decided to take a break,damn... turn out 4-1...

so far lost on England and spain...shitty kelong teams!:oIo:

Bet on the Dutch lah, sure win 1 :p:p

The match between Argentina and Korea quite scrappy, reminds me of a BPL matches rather than a World Cup match.

But nothing beats the France last night, team of the night, lol

 

[krafty]

ya,holland, i made money,wanted to support amigos also but wary of the french toasts...another mizz...

Bet on the Dutch lah, sure win 1 :p:p

The match between Argentina and Korea quite scrappy, reminds me of a BPL matches rather than a World Cup match.

But nothing beats the France last night, team of the night, lol

 

[Alamaking]

ya,holland, i made money,wanted to support amigos also but wary of the french toasts...another mizz...

I think the only ones that can bet now are Germany and Holland

 

[aurvandil]

The match between Argentina and Korea quite scrappy, reminds me of a BPL matches rather than a World Cup match.

The referee yesterday nite was extra on the ball thanks to Mr Hand-of-God comments to the press. Even the commentator mentioned it. Record number of free kicks and cards given. I think it also was the match with the earliest yellow card for this world cup.

 

[Frankiestine]

nigeria is by no means out.

if they win their last game against korea by a goal, n argie defeat greece by any margin, nigeria will go tru becos of better goal diff.

unless the tie-breaker rule changes lah.

This one interesting group, any one of them could actually still qualify. If Greece lose to Argentina and Nigeria beats South Korea, that means each of them got max 3 points. So its down to goal difference, definitely gives Nigeria incentive to go all out and score as many goals as possible.

 

[Ramseth]

Yesterday nite blood everywhere. Normally today would be a day of abstinence. However the mighty Germans and ever popular England are playing. Still too early to see betting pattern yet but <CROSS finger>hope the herd will be out in force to try and recover losses from yesterday and Mon/Tues.

Germany should crank out another mechanically efficient victory over Serbia. England should edge out Algeria in what may be a massively messy two-sided scoring game in the battle for the worst goalkeeper accolade.

 

[SIFU]

This one interesting group, any one of them could actually still qualify. If Greece lose to Argentina and Nigeria beats South Korea, that means each of them got max 3 points. So its down to goal difference, definitely gives Nigeria incentive to go all out and score as many goals as possible.

correct u a bit huh.

now nigeria is -2 goal diff, korea and greece -1.

as long as nigeria beat korea (say only win 1 goal), their goal diff will become nigeria -1, korea -2.

so if greece lose to argie (that means greece will become at least -2), then confirm nigeria will qualify.

so nigeria no need win big, just win will do.

 

[Ramseth]

now nigeria is -2 goal diff, korea and greece -1.

as long as nigeria beat korea (say only win 1 goal), their goal diff will become nigeria -1, korea -2.

so if greece lose to argie (that means greece will become at least -2), then confirm nigeria will qualify.

so nigeria no need win big, just win will do.

That all hinges on the mood of Deity Maradona. Just a draw and he tops the group, don't even need a win. If he's feeling generous towards Greece, Nigeria is out even they beat South Korea. Whereas, South Korea still has a chance to pipe Greece if they beat Nigeria. Since last group games are played simultaneously, much cliff-hanging excitement can be expected.

 

[Alamaking]

Nigeria got lesser chances of getting to 2nd round compared to France. 90% out :p:p

 

[aurvandil]

Today's mid-day betting market report ahead of the opening of the markets in Europe. Tonight is a night of big matches. Due to the blood letting yesterday, volume so far has however been selective and somewhat below expectations.

Germany-Serbia - Considered by almost the entire herd to be a "sure thing" "pao chiak" match. Volume is relatively heavy as most punters are counting on the mighty Germans to come through for them to recover the losses from the previous upsets. Volume started picking up quite early as the more advanced members of the herd are smart enough to know the odds from Germany will drift down closer to the match. The pitch will look like the Cambodian killing fields if the Germans underperform.

USA-Slovenia - USA is the herd's favourite dark horse. USA has an air mystery as most of the players are not well known and they have scored a number of upsets in the past. The herd is therefore used to playing USA as an outside bet and do not quite know what to do now that USA has been cast as the favourite for this match. Volume is low and the "smart" money advice of the herd is to give this match a miss.

England-Algeria - This is the third match of the night so volume here is tradditionally thin at this time of the day. Previously, the herd had expressed doubts about England during the England-USA match. These doubts were confirmed when England under performed with a draw against USA. These doubts seem to be carrying forward to this match. Things are not helped by the fact that the odds for thiis match are low, leading to herd to question whether the reward is worth the risk.

 

[Alamaking]

I think tonight matches no surprises bah, sadly i have to say the only team that might cock tonight is England, LOL

 

[aurvandil]

I think tonight matches no surprises bah, sadly i have to say the only team that might cock tonight is England, LOL

Football is only fun to watch and bet because of the surprises. If there are no surprises, it will be like watching WWE where the result is always known before the match.

The trick to making $ is not to be right all the time. Rather, all you need to do is be correct more often than the odds say you should be right.

 

[krafty]

tonite take Serbia +1.5, Deutschland small win by 1 goal

Football is only fun to watch and bet because of the surprises. If there are no surprises, it will be like watching WWE where the result is always known before the match.

The trick to making $ is not to be right all the time. Rather, all you need to do is be correct more often than the odds say you should be right.

 

[aurvandil]

tonite take Serbia +1.5, Deutschland small win by 1 goal

If you are looking to buy Serbia, can afford to drag until around 5 pm to buy. 5.30 pm to 6.30 pm is when they try to square their books ahead of kick off at 7.30 pm so you should get good odds then. Bet flow so far steady and starting to taper off after the mad early scramble to buy Germany before the odds drfit down.

 

[oli9]

tonite take Serbia +1.5, Deutschland small win by 1 goal

Which website did you see Germany giving 1.5 balls?

My asian handicap picks for tonite -

Germany only if odds change to -1.25 from -1 currently
USA -0.5
England -1.5