That's when there was only (3 minus 2) 1 NCMP seat available. Now that there'll be 9 to 12 seats available, even high 20s have low but possible chances of landing NCMP seats.
If what you said is correct, then it will lead to 2 situations:
(1) the opposition candidate, especially if he is standing on homeground (meaning the same constituency as before) will know the likely percentage he can get in the coming election and thereby gauge his chances of getting the NCMP seats
Votes for the opposition are unlikely to be swayed towards the PAP. Thus he will know if his base is enough to secure him a parlimentary presence.
His competitors will be other opposition candidates in other GRCs.
His competitors will be other opposition candidates in other GRCs.
(2) if the same point is brought to the electorate - that the opposition supporters will continue to vote opposition - then the incentive for trying out new oppositions by voting them in is no longer there. After all, 9 oppositions will be present in parliament.
However if a person thinks that logical arguments will reflect future reality (logical arguments can only indicate possible futures), then they should learn from the PAP. Despite having so much factors in their favour, they are not leaving anything to chance.
The most important is the electorate. There seem to be many activities favouring the electorate that is going on. Thus in that respect, sampierre has a strong point. Without the favour of the electorate, nothing gets done. The focus must be on the electorate. I thought of writing a detailed comparison between the oppositions and the PAP in courting the electorate but decided not to waste my time.
I hope the oppositions get their act together (GMS excluded). They looked like they are engaging in another futile endeavour.
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