Coronavirus concerns way overblown

[zhihau]

looks like everyone there has caught it already.

easily over 80% of the populace.

 

[nightsafari]

The total number of confirmed cases != total number of actual carriers.

We can go on until the cows come home, really. One thing for sure, total number of confirmed cases reported and recorded in the medal tally < total number of actual carriers.

yah. I was just wondering if my math is wrong. because after going through all the data I've found, I can't figure out how to calculate the rate. If the denominator is total number of confirmed cases, then the mortality rate is 57 out of 240,000 which is miniscule. So I couldn't figure out 0.8%...

 

[nayr69sg]

Calgary has community spread.

Alberta has closed schools.

 

[Leongsam]

510 people discharged. 67 deaths. total sample 577?

67 deaths out of 577. Couldn't get 0.8% from the numbers you provided. just wondering what I missed.

I took the total number dead so far ie 67 and divided it by the number of confirmed infections x100 and ended up with 0.8%.

Why are you considering only those that were hospitalised as the denominator?

When the results of the mass testing come in a more accurate figure will be arrived as the denominator will definitely increase but the numerator won't be increasing proportionately.

 

[Leongsam]

yah. I was just wondering if my math is wrong. because after going through all the data I've found, I can't figure out how to calculate the rate. If the denominator is total number of confirmed cases, then the mortality rate is 57 out of 240,000 which is miniscule. So I couldn't figure out 0.8%...

240,000 are the number that have been tested in total. It is not the number of confirmed cases. Confirmed cases at the time of the report was 7979.

 

[Leongsam]

I understand your position. It is reported that most viral pneumonia is usually mild. But in some cases it can become very serious. It seems that with Covid-19, the overwhelming of healthcare facilities is the main worry of medical professionals. Mainly, the shortage of ventilators. They anticipate a lot of patients developing severe pneumonia with this virus. Hence, this is not your run-of-the-mill flu virus.

The influenza virus is the most common cause of viral pneumonia in adults. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the most common cause of viral pneumonia in young children. Most viral pneumonias are not serious and last a shorter time than bacterial pneumonia.

https://www.lung.org/lung-health-an...e-lookup/pneumonia/what-causes-pneumonia.html

There is a huge spike in the number needing respirators because it is a new strain and there is no immunity out there at the moment. This has clogged up the health system in countries that don't have the infrastructure to treat large numbers.

It like an intense downpour in a short period of time in Singapore where so much water is deposited from the skies that the drainage cannot cope so there is "ponding" all over the place.

However the huge volume of torrential rain that could last the best part of 30 minutes does not make a scrap of difference to Singapore's annual rainfall figures.

Let the virus spread and let the immunity build up and all will be fine.

 

[nayr69sg]

There is a huge spike in the number needing respirators because it is a new strain and there is no immunity out there at the moment. This has clogged up the health system in countries that don't have the infrastructure to treat large numbers.

It like an intense downpour in a short period of time in Singapore where so much water is deposited from the skies that the drainage cannot cope so there is "ponding" all over the place.

However the huge volume of torrential rain that could last the best part of 30 minutes does not make a scrap of difference to Singapore's annual rainfall figures.

Let the virus spread and let the immunity build up and all will be fine.

It is never a good thing to overwhelm your healthcare system.

 

[nightsafari]

I took the total number dead so far ie 67 and divided it by the number of confirmed infections x100 and ended up with 0.8%.

Why are you considering only those that were hospitalised as the denominator?

yah I was. couldn't find any other numbers supplied in your post...

When the results of the mass testing come in a more accurate figure will be arrived as the denominator will definitely increase but the numerator won't be increasing proportionately.

actually I'm pretty much with you on this. I'm pretty convinced that a whole whacking bunch of cases have gone undiagnosed and unreported especially in the early days. It's the only reason why I can think of that there are only single digit increments in cases. Everyone has caught it already and is now immune!!

 

[Leongsam]

yah I was. couldn't find any other numbers supplied in your post...


actually I'm pretty much with you on this. I'm pretty convinced that a whole whacking bunch of cases have gone undiagnosed and unreported especially in the early days. It's the only reason why I can think of that there are only single digit increments in cases. Everyone has caught it already and is now immune!!

The number was 7979. It is there in the post.

 

[zhihau]

The number was 7979. It is there in the post.

nice 4D number! Altogether now!!! HUAT AH!!!

 

[LaoTze]

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca

 

[eatshitndie]

latest californicate advisory to those 65 and older: isolate (yourself at home), hydrate, defecate, and fornicate.

 

[nightsafari]

The number was 7979. It is there in the post.

thanks. missed it. now need to check eyesight liao.

 

[zhihau]

latest californicate advisory to those 65 and older: isolate (yourself at home), hydrate, defecate, and fornicate.

sounds like UK getting folks to isolate themselves at home... mandatory elderly lock down.

 

[nightsafari]

nice 4D number! Altogether now!!! HUAT AH!!!

you actually going to buy? last time I made a boo boo like this, the person bought 4D, made $10mill and moved to Oz to retire.

true story.

 

[rotiprata]

tio cheng ...

 

[Hypocrite-The]

Tell them Singapore is a bad example. I think the pap is following the UK's approach of using herd immunity. Dangerous approach because many will die. They tell us not to wear masks, are itching to reopen borders, and want kids to infect their parents and grandparents by bringing home the virus from school.

If you have a new disease, such as COVID-19, that we don’t have a vaccine for and no one in the country has ever been infected with, the disease will spread through the population. But if enough people develop an immune memory, then the disease will stop spreading, even if some of the population is not immune. This is herd immunity, and it is a very effective way to protect the whole of a population against infectious disease.

If we don’t have a vaccine – as we don’t for COVID-19 – achieving herd immunity would require a significant proportion of the population to be infected and recover from COVID-19.

http://theconversation.com/coronavirus-can-herd-immunity-really-protect-us-133583

How many will die? 5 percent of the popn ? Or mostly old farts? So tell me. How many will die? Fatality like Ebola?

 

[SalahParking]

TS bought stocks at low price, want to offload lah

 

[eatshitndie]

sounds like UK getting folks to isolate themselves at home... mandatory elderly lock down.

best time for elderly to get into tantric sex.

 

[glockman]

How many will die? 5 percent of the popn ? Or mostly old farts? So tell me. How many will die? Fatality like Ebola?

Ideally? 70%. But that's wishful thinking.