My Predictions

[Huat-Ah]

aurvandil well said man. Hope you drop by this thread again.

 

[GoldenDragon]

His 2834 postings is worth more than 28,340.

 

[bigboss]

Hougang, Punggol East, Aljunied, East Coast, Fengshan, Potong Pasir - to the Opposition

MacPherson, Mountbatten, Sengkang West, Holland-BT, MP - very close fights, likely 47% and above

Bishan-TP, Moulmein-Kallang, Bishan-TP, Jurong, Nee Soon, Tg Pagar, Jalan Besar - decent showing, above 42%

All others- No comments

Sure to fall - MP GRC, Aljunied GRC, East Coast GRC, Hougang SMC, PE SMC and Macpherson SMC ... the others hard to say.

Heaven got no eyes if CSJ not voted in to Parliament in this GE.

 

[3_M]

Sure to fall - MP GRC, Aljunied GRC, East Coast GRC, Hougang SMC, PE SMC and Macpherson SMC ... the others hard to say.

Heaven got no eyes if CSJ not voted in to Parliament in this GE.

I think SDP will probably score above 40% but I doubt they will win HBT.

 

[bigboss]

...And that means that many SGs will vote for the FAP with the misguided idea that they 'have changed', only to be shocked when they re-open the floodgate and go back to their ruthless and sucking ways after the GE. Short of the FAP losing 2/3 majority, NOTHING WILL CHANG

LSS already said PWP 6.9 million got nothing to do with current cut down on foreign manpower restricted policy ... which means PWP still on the table, not abolished, to screw sinkies.

 

[bigboss]

I think SDP will probably score above 40% but I doubt they will win HBT.

...provided the rich and wealthy in HBT realizes the pappies' pro f..k up policies will affect them badly as well when the country is turned into a slum of foreigners running wild like cavemen.

 

[GramStroker]

...provided the rich and wealthy in HBT realizes the pappies' pro f..k up policies will affect them badly as well when the country is turned into a slum of foreigners running wild like cavemen.

All should be concerned about their kids rich or otherwise.

 

[bigboss]

....After a slow start, SDP is starting to catch fire. Their team and message have found fertile soil in Holland-Bukit Timah because of the unique demographic characteristics of that GRC. Consequently, the probability that SDP will win Holland-Bukit Timah is now > 50%...

The magnetic presence of CSJ on stage at the rallies, his riveting speeches and no punches pulled on the pappies are indications he is now ready for responsible role in Parliament. This bloke is an asset to the country. He deserves support regardless how much black paint the pappies had thrown at him.

 

[bigboss]

All should be concerned about their kids rich or otherwise.

All kids should have a stake and a future in the country where they are born and bred. If foreigners (SPR) are given free scholarships while sinkies kids have to take loans to pay for their education, sinapor is no longer the sinkies' country.

 

[Poomer]

Really wish all the opposition well, even the clowns inside NSP and SDA.

Still feel that 15-20 seats opposition is most probable. Anything more is a bonus. One thing for sure, the east and northeast will be a big patch of blue come friday. hope to see spp and sdp in parliament too, but i feel sdp chance is 20% at best, really like mr chee though. Hope that by 2020 election, there will be only 3 opposition parties, coz there are way too many now. WP, SDP, NSP and SPP.-But NSP is overdue for a leadership change. Hope Hazel and Steve find a new home in a good opposition party.

 

[bigboss]

...there would be no real tears if it was lost as it contained a stubborn old man who refused to leave the stage when he was supposed to.

That old man indeed has become a liability to the pappies, spouting nonsense and showing full of arrogance to make voters in MP GRC tulan with the pappies. He thinks he is back in the 1980s when voters did not have credible oppo parties. The internet and the young turks in the WP and other oppo parties make the political landscape a new phenomenon in sinapor.

If this old man is sensible, he should have stepped down to leave the hustling to the young generation. Like LKY, he believes he still commands respect but to the young voters, he talks cock.

 

[no_faith]

Got open odds?

Without lao lee, many are lost sheep.
No one in command, giving out instruction.

 

[Froggy]

...provided the rich and wealthy in HBT realizes the pappies' pro f..k up policies will affect them badly as well when the country is turned into a slum of foreigners running wild like cavemen.

Rich and wealthy in Holland Bt Timah had already display displeasure of PAP in 2011, its the HDB dwellers there that tipped the balance.

 

[bigboss]

....Hope that by 2020 election, there will be only 3 opposition parties, coz there are way too many now. WP, SDP, NSP and SPP.-But NSP is overdue for a leadership change. Hope Hazel and Steve find a new home in a good opposition party.

There will be more oppo parties born in the coming years. NSP is habis. Anyone thinking of joining a political party will give this one a wide berth.

The oppo parties likely to get stronger in the future - 1. WP 2. SDP 3. SFP and 4. RP. All the others, no chance to grow and strike a compelling presence in the country. CSJ is a political maverick, he will go far unless he gets into another pitfall.

As for Hazel, which political party will accept her? Steve is finished.

 

[bigboss]

Rich and wealthy in Holland Bt Timah had already display displeasure of PAP in 2011, its the HDB dwellers there that tipped the balance.

CSJ has the charisma to pull HDB dwellers to support SDP. If he can win over the rich in HBT, he will win in the GE.
VB is not as popular as the pappies painted him to be. This indian kek leng kia is cocky.

 

[Poomer]

There will be more oppo parties born in the coming years. NSP is habis. Anyone thinking of joining a political party will give this one a wide berth.

The oppo parties likely to get stronger in the future - 1. WP 2. SDP 3. SFP and 4. RP. All the others, no chance to grow and strike a compelling presence in the country. CSJ is a political maverick, he will go far unless he gets into another pitfall.

As for Hazel, which political party will accept her? Steve is finished.

Yup SFP too, but too many loose cannons in RP. You might be right about NSP, if they are not able to bring out a proper A team in 2020, theyre finished.

LTK is a poltical genius, CSJ not so. LTK knows when to keep his mouth shut and when to play his cards. CSJ, full marks for passion, a little lacking in political acumen though. All candidates considered across all parties ruling or opposition, I would say LTK to have the making of a PM.

Hazel is like CSJ, cannot fault her in terms of passion. Really wish she can find a proper party.

 

[hbk75]

The PAP appears to be in disarray.

Their initial campaign was to focus on WP which was perceived to be the biggest threat. The campaign started with the PAP conceding the WP held SMCs and GRCs. Fengshan was carved out of East Coast GRC to give East Coast a fighting chance. McPherson was taken out of Marine Parade to preserve a pre-65 rich SMC for future use. Marine Parade was made into a dumping ground for Geylang, Joo Chiat and other hostile polling districts. While it would be nice if Marine Parade could be retained, there would be no real tears if it was lost as it contained a stubborn old man who refused to leave the stage when he was supposed to.

As the campaign got underway, this carefully laid plan started to go awry. It started with the larger that expected attendances at the first WP rally. This quickly snowballed and they began to receive feedback of massive anger and resentment. Using rally size as a proxy, it became likely that WP might manage a swing of 8 to 10%. Based on the polling results of GE 2011, this would mean that WP would win 27 out of 28 seats contested.

To prevent this from happening, the PAP therefore concentrated all fire on the town council issue, hoping that it would create doubt in the mind of the swing voters. This tactic did not appear to have the intended effect. The WP rallies grew in size and there was a strong social media backlash. The assault ended in a PAP rout with the WP "surprise" counnter attack using the Punggol East town council accounts.

While the PAP focused on the WP, they ignored the SDP. From a slow start with a crowd of less than 5,000, CSJ emerged to become the "Nicole Seah" of GE 2015. The crowd at SDP rallies have now surged past the 20,000 mark. After the rallies, supporters queue for as long as 1.5 hours to shake CSJ's hand and buy his books. On social media, CSJ has reached the levels Nicole Seah achieved in 2015. Given the demographic mix of Holland-Bukit Timah, this means that there is a high chance that the SDP will be able to make a GRC breakthrough.

After an unprecedented Sunday rally "break" by the PAP, there is therefore a noticable shift in focus away from WP to SDP. In doing so, the PAP appears to be conceding the 27 seats to WP. Stopping the SDP has now become their top priority. Beyond the loss of the 2/3 majority, the emergence of SDP in Parliament would mean the birth of a potential WP-SDP coalition that can challenge the PAP for control of the government in 2020.

There are now just 2 days of campaigning left. The completely unexpected emergence of SDP under CSJ makes it extremely difficult for the PAP to come up with any well thought out plan. Based on Monday's rallies, their strategy appears to be to use personal attacks and character assassination to try and stop CSJ. It is uncertain if this will be effective. CSJ has emerged from his years of exile with a stillness of heart. His response to the attacks appears to be the Biblical teaching of "turning the other cheek" while gently rebuking the PAP in the errors of their ways. This approach seems be very effective in winning CSJ a great deal of respect from Singaporeans. By attacking him viciously, the PAP will reinforce the widespread perception that the PAP is an aggressive, oppressive "bully".

how issit remotely possible for pap to lose 27 seats? eastern side maybe but northern are mostly pap supporters.

 

[MaximiLian]

Bookmarked

The PAP appears to be in disarray.

Their initial campaign was to focus on WP which was perceived to be the biggest threat. The campaign started with the PAP conceding the WP held SMCs and GRCs. Fengshan was carved out of East Coast GRC to give East Coast a fighting chance. McPherson was taken out of Marine Parade to preserve a pre-65 rich SMC for future use. Marine Parade was made into a dumping ground for Geylang, Joo Chiat and other hostile polling districts. While it would be nice if Marine Parade could be retained, there would be no real tears if it was lost as it contained a stubborn old man who refused to leave the stage when he was supposed to.

As the campaign got underway, this carefully laid plan started to go awry. It started with the larger that expected attendances at the first WP rally. This quickly snowballed and they began to receive feedback of massive anger and resentment. Using rally size as a proxy, it became likely that WP might manage a swing of 8 to 10%. Based on the polling results of GE 2011, this would mean that WP would win 27 out of 28 seats contested.

To prevent this from happening, the PAP therefore concentrated all fire on the town council issue, hoping that it would create doubt in the mind of the swing voters. This tactic did not appear to have the intended effect. The WP rallies grew in size and there was a strong social media backlash. The assault ended in a PAP rout with the WP "surprise" counnter attack using the Punggol East town council accounts.

While the PAP focused on the WP, they ignored the SDP. From a slow start with a crowd of less than 5,000, CSJ emerged to become the "Nicole Seah" of GE 2015. The crowd at SDP rallies have now surged past the 20,000 mark. After the rallies, supporters queue for as long as 1.5 hours to shake CSJ's hand and buy his books. On social media, CSJ has reached the levels Nicole Seah achieved in 2015. Given the demographic mix of Holland-Bukit Timah, this means that there is a high chance that the SDP will be able to make a GRC breakthrough.

After an unprecedented Sunday rally "break" by the PAP, there is therefore a noticable shift in focus away from WP to SDP. In doing so, the PAP appears to be conceding the 27 seats to WP. Stopping the SDP has now become their top priority. Beyond the loss of the 2/3 majority, the emergence of SDP in Parliament would mean the birth of a potential WP-SDP coalition that can challenge the PAP for control of the government in 2020.

There are now just 2 days of campaigning left. The completely unexpected emergence of SDP under CSJ makes it extremely difficult for the PAP to come up with any well thought out plan. Based on Monday's rallies, their strategy appears to be to use personal attacks and character assassination to try and stop CSJ. It is uncertain if this will be effective. CSJ has emerged from his years of exile with a stillness of heart. His response to the attacks appears to be the Biblical teaching of "turning the other cheek" while gently rebuking the PAP in the errors of their ways. This approach seems be very effective in winning CSJ a great deal of respect from Singaporeans. By attacking him viciously, the PAP will reinforce the widespread perception that the PAP is an aggressive, oppressive "bully".

 

[enterprise2]

Think maybe EC and Fengshan will fall. Not sure about MP. WP will hold on to their current seats. That makes only 12 MPs. Not sure Dr Chee gonna make it either.

 

[Reddog]

Think maybe EC and Fengshan will fall. Not sure about MP. WP will hold on to their current seats. That makes only 12 MPs. Not sure Dr Chee gonna make it either.

You sure Lina will lose ?