My Predictions

[3_M]

Prediction for SMC
FS SMC
WP 54% PAP 46%
PP SMC
SPP 52% PAP 48%
SKW SMC
WP 54% PAP 46%
PE SMC
WP 62% PAP 38%
HG SMC
WP 65% PAP 35%
MBT SMC
SPP 46% PAP 54%
MAC SMC
WP 43% PAP 56.5% NSP 0.5%

 

[Charlie99]

I will be the first to celebrate if I am proven wrong, particularly if it is the fall of another GRC(s) to the Opposition!

Every win by a non-PAP is cause for celebrations, regardless of which one of us predicted wrongly.
"Freak" as it may be, I dream of the non-PAP candidates winning more than one-third of the seats in Parliament.

 

[Charlie99]

Compared to CSJ who seems to have the fire in his belly like LKY once upon a time in the 1950s, this army bloke is far far down the line. CSJ would make a good PM to take the country to a higher plane but being young and foolish back then, he screwed himself big time.

If SDP could attract good people, it would become a serious contender to form the next Govt.

Other than LKY, Francis Seow, JBJ, Dr. Chee Soon Juan will make a good PM to lead and move Singaporeans to a better age.

 

[MaximiLian]

Not very chun leh.

The PAP appears to be in disarray.

Their initial campaign was to focus on WP which was perceived to be the biggest threat. The campaign started with the PAP conceding the WP held SMCs and GRCs. Fengshan was carved out of East Coast GRC to give East Coast a fighting chance. McPherson was taken out of Marine Parade to preserve a pre-65 rich SMC for future use. Marine Parade was made into a dumping ground for Geylang, Joo Chiat and other hostile polling districts. While it would be nice if Marine Parade could be retained, there would be no real tears if it was lost as it contained a stubborn old man who refused to leave the stage when he was supposed to.

As the campaign got underway, this carefully laid plan started to go awry. It started with the larger that expected attendances at the first WP rally. This quickly snowballed and they began to receive feedback of massive anger and resentment. Using rally size as a proxy, it became likely that WP might manage a swing of 8 to 10%. Based on the polling results of GE 2011, this would mean that WP would win 27 out of 28 seats contested.

To prevent this from happening, the PAP therefore concentrated all fire on the town council issue, hoping that it would create doubt in the mind of the swing voters. This tactic did not appear to have the intended effect. The WP rallies grew in size and there was a strong social media backlash. The assault ended in a PAP rout with the WP "surprise" counnter attack using the Punggol East town council accounts.

While the PAP focused on the WP, they ignored the SDP. From a slow start with a crowd of less than 5,000, CSJ emerged to become the "Nicole Seah" of GE 2015. The crowd at SDP rallies have now surged past the 20,000 mark. After the rallies, supporters queue for as long as 1.5 hours to shake CSJ's hand and buy his books. On social media, CSJ has reached the levels Nicole Seah achieved in 2015. Given the demographic mix of Holland-Bukit Timah, this means that there is a high chance that the SDP will be able to make a GRC breakthrough.

After an unprecedented Sunday rally "break" by the PAP, there is therefore a noticable shift in focus away from WP to SDP. In doing so, the PAP appears to be conceding the 27 seats to WP. Stopping the SDP has now become their top priority. Beyond the loss of the 2/3 majority, the emergence of SDP in Parliament would mean the birth of a potential WP-SDP coalition that can challenge the PAP for control of the government in 2020.

There are now just 2 days of campaigning left. The completely unexpected emergence of SDP under CSJ makes it extremely difficult for the PAP to come up with any well thought out plan. Based on Monday's rallies, their strategy appears to be to use personal attacks and character assassination to try and stop CSJ. It is uncertain if this will be effective. CSJ has emerged from his years of exile with a stillness of heart. His response to the attacks appears to be the Biblical teaching of "turning the other cheek" while gently rebuking the PAP in the errors of their ways. This approach seems be very effective in winning CSJ a great deal of respect from Singaporeans. By attacking him viciously, the PAP will reinforce the widespread perception that the PAP is an aggressive, oppressive "bully".

 

[soIsee]

You expect oppo losers in life, to be able to make a good judgement on some future prediction and can make the right call,when it is needed to be made?

Then they would NOT be losers in their lives, right? LoLoLOLOLoL

 

[Scrooball (clone)]

Oppo losers can't even get their lunches right I bet. I don't expect them to be capable of making any correct predictions at all!

 

[JHolmesJr]

Not very chun leh.

Disinformation....put out to lull oppies into false sense of security?

 

[kukubird59]

hahaha......a typical self masturbating thread....one of many started by TS in the last 2 weeks....
he praised the fake indian to the moon but ended up with eggs on his face....
read through for entertainment if you have nothing to do......good for a laugh

 

[HK14K]

Hougang, Punggol East, Aljunied, East Coast, Fengshan, Potong Pasir - to the Opposition

MacPherson, Mountbatten, Sengkang West, Holland-BT, MP - very close fights, likely 47% and above

Bishan-TP, Moulmein-Kallang, Bishan-TP, Jurong, Nee Soon, Tg Pagar, Jalan Besar - decent showing, above 42%

All others- No comments

Bookies prediction not very accurate, bro.....

 

[eErotica69]

Hougang, Punggol East, Aljunied, East Coast, Fengshan, Potong Pasir - to the Opposition

MacPherson, Mountbatten, Sengkang West, Holland-BT, MP - very close fights, likely 47% and above

Bishan-TP, Moulmein-Kallang, Bishan-TP, Jurong, Nee Soon, Tg Pagar, Jalan Besar - decent showing, above 42%

All others- No comments

Bro, your prediction very off leh!

 

[Scrooball (clone)]

I thought my predictions v zun? I told u guys that bookies stopped accepting bets on Tin Pei Ling winning macpherson. Hehe

 

[GoldenDragon]

25,979 views! I am humbled.

 

[sense]

Bookies prediction not very accurate, bro.....

The name of the CBO (Chief Bookie Officer) is probably GD.

 

[enterprise2]

Bookies all bankrupt and run road liaow

 

[Thick Face Black Heart]

Bookies all bankrupt and run road liaow

Bookies will always make money because the majority of punters accept poor odds at face value and gamble for the sake of gambling.

Making money as a bookie is a statistical certainty (aurvandil, yes/no?)

 

[GoldenDragon]

Bookies will always make money because the majority of punters accept poor odds at face value and gamble for the sake of gambling.

Making money as a bookie is a statistical certainty (aurvandil, yes/no?)

Bookie are in it as a biz. Punters punt as a hobby. Bookies set the odds and adjust them in their favour. If lopsided, they will throw out the extras. They seldom lose. Overall always win. Seldom hear bookies run rd. Always hear punters run road.

Take one if the SBOBET towkay for example. Private plane. As rich as Peter Lim.

 

[GoldenDragon]

The name of the CBO (Chief Bookie Officer) is probably GD.

I am merely a punter. No $ to be a bookie.

Thanks to the 3-1 Man U win this morning, I recovered my GE losses. Over and jalan over. Sui sui. Jackpot.