If you think through about SDP’s mythology, they see Singapore as being ruled by corrupt ruthless Mynmar style junta.
This junta has however clothed itself in the form of a benevolent, all knowing father.
The SDP’s view is that most Singaporeans are politically asleep. Their goal seems to be to awaken Singaporeans to what they consider to be the “truth” about the PAP.
To do this, they have opted to make martyrs of themselves.
By repeatedly goading the PAP, they hope to provoke over reaction and repressive measures. A good example of the over reaction and repressive measures that the SDP hopes the PAP would take would be the arrest of Abdul Malek.
If the hardline, repressive faction of the PAP gains power, SDP will be well positioned since they have the mind share of Thailand style street politics to achieve their political objectives. Denied a voice by legitimate political means, Singaporeans who feel passionately will flock to parties like SDP who advocate such street politics.
If however the PAP continues to walk a middle road, it is hard to see the SDP making significant gains.
The dilemma the PAP faces is that they are losing the middle path significantly to parties like WP, NSP, RP etc. The bread butter issues raised by scrobal are ones which all of these parties have chosen to fight on. Judging by the current ground sentiment, it would appear that these opposition parties have made significant political gains. Of significance also is that the bad policies of the past 10 years have locked the PAP into a situation that even with another 5 years, many of current problems will not be resolved. Coupled with the changing of the demographics with the p65 forming the overwhelming majority by 2017, this means that if the PAP continues to walk the current middle road, they will most likely lose their 2/3 majority in the 2017 elections.
Will the PAP accept this inevitable political loss or will the PAP adopt hardline measures and usher in an era of street politics?