Bro , where are you ?
The Baccarat Truth
Forget about card counting in baccarat
As we understand that Player has to draw card first. The draw cards rules in Baccarat favors the Banker more. So are we able to count cards in Baccarat just like Blackjack? The answer is Yes, but not beneficial. Baccarat is not like Blackjacks where players can Hit or Stand, but the concept is about the same.
Most of the Baccarat games in casinos are 8 decks shoe and continuous shuffling are 6 decks. Of course when we say card counting, we are not considering continuous shuffle for obvious reason. In Blackjack, players will increase bet size when the house edge favors the players. In Baccarat we could increase bet size when the house edge favors either Banker or Player.
In Blackjack when we know that the remaining cards favors us, we stand as possible knowing that Dealer must Hit below 16 and has a higher chance to bust. Whereas Baccarat having more 1-5 value cards favors the Player and having more 6-9 face value cards favors the Banker. If you take away all 0 face value cards, it does not affect things much but just only slightly increase the number of Player wins.
When we see prolong streaks of either Banker or Player is the effect of clumpy cards of these cards values affecting the results. Same goes for Tie in card counting. It is possible? Yes it is, but the advantage is also very minimal. In Tie counting, we take out the odds value cards and you will have more Tie results. If you remove all the odds value cards leaving only the evens including 0 face value cards (picture), your advantage is about 62% against the house in the calculation of 1-8 payout.
There are 128 Zero face value cards and 32 each for the rest of the cards in an 8 decks shoe, adding up to 416 cards in total. You will only start to see increase in advantage if all the odds value cards fall below 7 in the remaining shoe. That is provided the first 125 cards draw out are odds value cards.
Peter A. Grffin said, “assuming you’ll wager $1000 whenever you get the go-ahead, this translates into an expected earnings of 70 cents per shoe. In an eight hour day you might make three bets.” Michael Shackleford says that the player can earn about 15 cents per wager: “… assuming the player is able to keep a perfect count and the casino is not going to mind the player making a bet once every 475 hands”.
Don’t waste your time.
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