Spot on. One of Singapore's highly secretive project on horizon scanning has been discussed in international forums and seminars and the locals have no clue.
I never knew the word but I play around with the concept every day. This goes beyond deductive logic which simplest kind of logic and the only kind of logic LKY and his selected minions understand in general. Inductive logic and probabilistic futures are far more complicated and scarier. No dictatorial government likes it, including China. But since the world is integrated and the price of being a close system to the world is far more dangerous, it is not an option either. The old man tried to shut out the internet by delaying its popular entrance into Singapore by 5-10 years and we are paying that price for that delay on socioeconomic and technological progress. I am not even talking politics, mind you. If the doors to knowledge and alternate futures open, the 90% (arbitrary number)of the current team cannot catch a ball.