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World Cup 2014 Thread...

McDonaldsKid

Alfrescian
Loyal
Brazil can also slip through with a draw.
Thats true as well. Looking at the schedule, if Brazil finishes first they will play 2nd place in Grp B. Grp B plays before Grp A today and if Chile win, Netherlands will be second. I wonder if this will be a factor in Brazil's strategy. Would they rather play Chile or Netherlands?
 

aurvandil

Alfrescian
Loyal
Holland-Chille and Spain-Australia are not callable. As the results have been determined, these are little better than friendlies where anything can happen.

Brazil will be going for a serious win against Cameroon. They need it to convince a skeptical home crowd - there will be hell to pay if they squeak through with a draw. The low odds however do not make any bets viable given the risk. The over bet offered by Pools is dumb - Brazil does not need more than a 2 goal superiority to go through. If Brazil wins by more than 2 goals, it will be more an accident than part of the plan (e.g. France 5-2 defeat of Swiss).

IMHO, Croatia-Mexico is the only match where there is a callable game that can bet. Both teams are fairly evenly matched. Pools has placed the over-round mainly on Croatia. Overseas, the difference in odds between the 2 teams is not statistically significant. My expectation is for the match to be similar to this morning's USA-Portugal. Tactics wise, both teams will go for early goals to establish a 2 goal superiority. If there are no goals scored, it will not be because they are not trying - it will be because they missed.



Seriously looking forward to your insight aurvandil.Betting is fun and all; but it's not when you are losing!Any thoughts on Spain Australia? Tough to predict given both are out but how about makan and over?
 
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tonychat

Alfrescian (InfP)
Generous Asset
Russia is lousy.......now I bet S.K. to enter last 16.............but looks like I'll be frustrated with these kimchi cheebyes chasing balls into nowhere.......as usual...............run very fast and then shoot aimlessly......this S.K.'s trademark.

Hope you lose.
 

jw5

Moderator
Moderator
Loyal
England and Spain will probably win their meaningless last matches and the overpaid players will celebrate as if they won the world cup. :biggrin:
 

aurvandil

Alfrescian
Loyal
My bet: Main bet Over 2.5 goal. Hedge: Pang Croatia 0.5 ball.

Expect this to be a goal fest. If really no early goals, Mexico will try to go for draw after 60 min. Croatia will cheong to the end and may whack 1 in after Mexico makes the substitutions to go into defense mode.


Yes. Mexico may have to pang. Runner still sleeping.
 
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GoldenDragon

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
My bet: Main bet Over 2.5 goal. Hedge: Pang Croatia 0.5 ball.

Expect this to be a goal fest. If really no early goals, Mexico will try to go for draw after 60 min. Croatia will cheong to the end and may whack 1 in after Mexico makes the substitutions to go into defense mode.

I rather makan. Bigger bet on over. Good luck.
 

McDonaldsKid

Alfrescian
Loyal
My bet: Main bet Over 2.5 goal. Hedge: Pang Croatia 0.5 ball. Expect this to be a goal fest. If really no early goals, Mexico will try to go for draw after 60 min. Croatia will cheong to the end and may whack 1 in after Mexico makes the substitutions to go into defense mode.
Was re-reading this. How do you create a 0.5 ball situation? Unless you not betting with Singapore pools. Or is 0.5 same as -1.5?
 

aurvandil

Alfrescian
Loyal
If you want to pang Croatia 0.5 ball, you simply buy Croatia to win.
If you want to makan Mexico 0.5 ball, you buy Mexico to win AND Draw.

If you want a low risk,low reward option, you can also try to makan Croatia 0.5 ball by buying Croatia to win AND Draw. This might however not be necessary as this is just a hedging bet in the event this turns out to be a low goal match and Croatia scores after Mexico have made the decision to go for draw.

Was re-reading this. How do you create a 0.5 ball situation? Unless you not betting with Singapore pools. Or is 0.5 same as -1.5?
 
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McDonaldsKid

Alfrescian
Loyal
If you want to pang Croatia 0.5 ball, you simply buy Croatia to win.If you want to makan Mexico 0.5 ball, you buy Mexico to win AND Draw.If you want a low risk,low reward option, you can also try to makan Croatia 0.5 ball by buying Croatia to win AND Draw.
Cheers. I think I f-ed up. Bought Croatia pang 1.5. Oh well. Lesson learnt.
 

sochi2014

Alfrescian
Loyal
World Cup Kay Long Man!

All the powerful teams suddenly relax and take a back seat?

Walau looks like they are playing for bookies than for their own countries.

Those nationalistic dumbo supporters all kena pawned!

Money runs the game.

And you don't believe in God?
 
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