I expect that the PAP will continue to rule for a long time, and each year, with new immigrants becoming citizens, they will regain their power base. Even if they drop in popular votes to 51%, the seats in the house will not lose 2/3. So they will continue to govern, one step at a time, as they grope haltingly forward, and then becoming brazen as they go. These buggers are stubborn and will not give in to the popular vote easily. They will do some trading off, pork barrel politicking, but at the end of the day, they will run over us. They will exploit the Sinkies' fear of uncertainty, and Sinkies' preference for the known.
However, if we campaign for Constitutional change to proportional representative government from popular elections outcome, we may see a more equitable playing field. Again, they dont have to listen, and say why fix it if it aint broke?
However, if we campaign for Constitutional change to proportional representative government from popular elections outcome, we may see a more equitable playing field. Again, they dont have to listen, and say why fix it if it aint broke?
You will see that in US and Westminster democracies, the key factor is an entrenched 2 party systems, both of whom are strong and genuine alternatives to votes. It also explains why the winning margins are thin. Singapore does not enjoy that position. PAP does not have to worry about dropping all the way to 51%. Even with that drastic drop they will continues to hold 65 seat comfortably for a long while. The 5% is based on the a good team that WP has. The diminishing marginal returns will quickly kick in.
To TFBH's point - they will take out their strongest contender by pulling other opposition candidates even if they have a clear and comfortable majority to muddy the waters and signal to Singaporeans that their main contender is not going to get an easy ride.
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