Re: TCH "why WP ask you to send huat ah to Parliament, when they dun choose him as NC
i almost always share your same sentiments with you, that WP have a groupthink mentality, their altitude of "die for the party and dun expect any recognition" and relying on a grassroot strategy are actually major impediments to the next stage of being a national party...
i also agree that Teo Chee Hean make a masterful speech, hitting them where it hurt...
but i disagreed with the >55% vote share maybe I am biased, i am expecting the lower end of my 57%-62% estimates...., 57% or so.... maybe even a shock 55% .... but losing ??
unthinkable because many of the hougang voters would have already made their mind...
i believe there is not much swing voters and that the old folks who really need the facilities wun be tempted...
as for the young and fickle who cause such a huge backlash for the PAP last year, i believe this time round they ll be voting PAP... just so they property value can go up...
they will be swing vote but they are still a small voting bloc
the thinning crowd is really quite obvious...
its not so much vote a donkey, but vote ah lau... i feel their personal loyalty goes quite deep, it ll be the young who betray him like they did with CST
Dear Broccoli,
The question is how strong is that absolute " would vote a donkey" opposition vote and the "swing undecided" vote. Hougang has now become a true battleground which previously would have been a safe ground. Perhaps my estimates are wrong but I am now looking for WP below 55% and a possible loss. Whereas my initial estimates were on par with that of Perspective. Whether I agree with the arguments or not, I would add they have been well crafted , designed to seek out the chinks in the WP armor and to maximize it to the full, they have also to a lesser extent been a direct attack on Lows credibility and leadership ability. They have also been "emotional" and a concentrated attempt on competing for the heart, unlike the "head based" approach of just a year ago.
I do admire really in every sense of the word the fine innuendos of DPM Teo, very different from that of the man a year ago. The I am not as good as Mr Low in selling remark was a classic in every sense of the word, turning a strength low's strength into a liability. The issue that matters is not whether PNG was second class, third class, the issue that matters is Low's selling of YSL now being tied in with Low's selling of PNG.
I hope he really pulls a rabbit out of his hat, but he has to confront the issue and not the PAP. If he believes he can brush it aside, ignore, stonewall this issue, the WP might just be looking at an absolute unmitigated disaster and lose a safe seat
Locke
i almost always share your same sentiments with you, that WP have a groupthink mentality, their altitude of "die for the party and dun expect any recognition" and relying on a grassroot strategy are actually major impediments to the next stage of being a national party...
i also agree that Teo Chee Hean make a masterful speech, hitting them where it hurt...
but i disagreed with the >55% vote share maybe I am biased, i am expecting the lower end of my 57%-62% estimates...., 57% or so.... maybe even a shock 55% .... but losing ??
unthinkable because many of the hougang voters would have already made their mind...
i believe there is not much swing voters and that the old folks who really need the facilities wun be tempted...
as for the young and fickle who cause such a huge backlash for the PAP last year, i believe this time round they ll be voting PAP... just so they property value can go up...
they will be swing vote but they are still a small voting bloc
the thinning crowd is really quite obvious...
its not so much vote a donkey, but vote ah lau... i feel their personal loyalty goes quite deep, it ll be the young who betray him like they did with CST