I came across this comment/article. It raises several valid points.
You think our boat is unsinkable?
Yes, as a fund manager myself, (007), I was shocked at 16/8/2011 issue of Fortune Magazine that showed Singapore has a sovereign debt of US$254
billion(95% of GDP). At 8th position, we are just behind 7th position USA (indebtedness of US14.3 trillion - 99% of GDP). Japan is No. 1 with
indebtedness of US$13.8 trillion(234% of GDP). Guess we were all in the dark - the size of our govt.'s sovereign indebtedness.
Japan is OK as it borrowed 100% from its own citizen (thru' Postal Savings Accounts) and its debt is in Yen (no FX risks).
US debt is 32% foreign-owned and is in US$ (no FX risks). US Fed (as a Central Bank) can print US $ notes to pay any coupons & fulfill all
treasuries redemption if worst comes to worst. Like Japan, USA can NEVER default as they both can print Yen and US$ respectively to repay ALL
sovereign debts/obligations they owned locally and to foreigners alike.
Singapore govt. borrowed S$ from our CPF thru MAS/govt long term bonds. The bulk (no one outside PMO/GIC/Temasek know the figure) is converted to
foreign currencies (with FX risks) and invested overseas. Late ex-President Ong TC tried but failed to get such info, despite govt. denial. These foreign
investment is subject to FX risks and as MAS cannot print S$ at will (under Currency Board regime), Singapore govt. is limited in its response to adverse
FX risks and may not have enough to repay CPF Board in S$ at the end of the day. We may not default, but our diminished foreign investment in S$ terms
may face a huge shortfall ! !
Little wonder that I can only see my CPF money at 65 years old (not 55 as it was intended when I started work over 30 years ago). Worst, I can only draw
down the min. sum at monthly staggered manner over next 20 years.
I suppose the govt. needed my CPF money and the rest of Singaporeans' to invest/cover losses for foreign investment? I did not give them my permission
for govt. to use my CPF money after I reached 55 years old for risky foreign investment!
Did you folks give permission to govt. too ?
Compared with Norway, Sweden, China, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and UAE that have invested sovereign funds overseas, our GIC's and Temasek's returns are much
lower (notice how GIC/Temasek always FAILED to provide comparison of their annual performance with others). These were always reported in absolute and
not bench-marked. Bet you - they would not fail to highlight their out-performance against these foreign sovereign funds if these were so !
The govt. should use our CPF money to invest locally in more schools & universities (generous subsidies/scholarship to citizens only), more subsidised HDB
flats (citizens only), more hospitals & medical training capabilities(citizens only) and better transport, etc. These are good and safe infrastructure investment
on this island-state and is in S$ - there is also no FX risks, just like Japan and USA.
Fortunately, the country still enjoys Triple A credit rating due to its high sovereign funds, but how long will this last, since all this is very secretive?