Predict GE 2025 results - vote your choice on the likely outcome

[True Believer]

As the PAP is now led by a lemon. Good chance for Sinkies to be heard via the ballot.

Those who do not move for change, won't notice their chains.

 

[True Believer]

It's from his quotes in the event of a freak election.

The PAP won't concede defeat even if S'poreans vote for a new govt. The MIW will mobilise the army and police by declaring election fraud.

 

[Ah Max]

The PAP won't concede defeat even if S'poreans vote for a new govt. The MIW will mobilise the army and police by declaring election fraud.

mai spread fear…55% pap popular vote means 20-25 seats 4 oppo…havent even loose 2/3 majority.

 

[NanoSpeed]

mai spread fear…55% pap popular vote means 20-25 seats 4 oppo…havent even loose 2/3 majority.

Sinkies are still sleeping, waiting for the next BTO, next BYD, next iPhone 16 etc.

Sinkies do not have the depth to understand the importance of a 1/3 oppie representation in Parliament.

 

[Hightech88]

 

[shock888]

Sinkies are still sleeping, waiting for the next BTO, next BYD, next iPhone 16 etc.

Sinkies do not have the depth to understand the importance of a 1/3 oppie representation in Parliament.

Coolie Gene Sinkies have been brainwashed have outsourced all the thinking and decision making to PAP Govt. Hopeless...

 

[Ah Max]

if tis happen, gcb prices will tank also?

speaking of gcb prices…

https://www.straitstimes.com/singap...-9m?_nei=16b79f5e-a93d-45d8-84b8-ea2da215de31

 

[Sideswipe]

sad to say WP is the only opposition party that can win seats in Parliament.

 

[KingFook Sr]

Pritam Singh will be the next PM of Singapore.

That's why plenty Chinese voters will hesitate to vote for WP.
Hard to give black snakes power.
An inconvenient truth.

 

[Hightech88]

 

[Charlie99]

Perhaps, those eligible to vote at Sembawang West SMC, should consider Dr. Chee Soon Juan.

 

[duluxe]

Dr Chee deserves to enter parliament for his perseverance . I think he will still miss by margin of 3-2%, and sembawang SMC will be absorbed into a GRC.

 

[jsctan]

I can only hope for scenario 1. Then bit by bit have coalition govt. Don't care for ease of passing bills, never seem to benefit my life. It's always about restricting our freedom either in expression or rights.

 

[Hightech88]

I can only hope for scenario 1. Then bit by bit have coalition govt. Don't care for ease of passing bills, never seem to benefit my life. It's always about restricting our freedom either in expression or rights.

True for now, but eventually we need still to block PAP's 2/3 majority so that they cannot suka suka pass major bills. Under such a scenario, PAP will then be forced to concede to the opposition's kingmaker and amend it to suit their taste before it can be supported. In fact this is what they have been doing now to reject opposition's proposal to amend certain bills etc.

In fact, once there are more opposition seats in parliament, PAP will confirm choot pattern to make major changes to the electoral system (which requires 2/3 majority) to suppress the opposition further. That's why we cannot progress too gradual else sure GG, will need to fark the PAP to give them a one-time major shock to lose 2/3 majority before they can do anything, LOL.

The ultimate aim is for PAP to become the opposition instead so that more heavyweight talents will join the new ruling party and now they become the new opposition party to ensure check and balance since they are so good at it, LOL.

This video explains it all...:

 

[bigozt]

My bet is on the Pappies to form the Gahmen. Anyone want to bet on the other side?

Mudlanders voted out their National Front. So what? Replaced by a PM who supports Hamas terrorists. Chinese DAP very quiet leh.

 

[shock888]

You can select up to two choices. Laolan LW already admitted that moving forward in future GEs, PAP is unlikely to exceed 65% in voteshare as people want more diversity in parliament. So take your pick.

Scenario 1: PAP lost WC-JW GRC, Aljunied GRC, Sengkang GRC, East Coast GRC, Sembawang & Hougang SMC
Scenario 2: No change from last GE - PAP lost Aljunied GRC, Sengkang GRC & Hougang SMC only
Scenario 3: PAP wins back Sengkang GRC but lost Aljunied GRC & Hougang SMC only
Scenario 4: PAP lost til drop pants - Oppo hold > 1/3 seats in parliament, PAP cannot suka suka change constitution - Creating history
Scenario 5: PAP clean sweep all seats, with ZERO opposition seats in parliament. SG is doomed.
Scenario 6: WP won back all seats from last GE and PAP lost Bukit Panjang SMC to SDP - Paul Tambyah carries the sole SDP flag


View attachment 216844
Source：https://www.eld.gov.sg/elections_map_electoral.html

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Singaporean_general_election#Results
View attachment 216846

Deepseek AI analysis:

If the opposition in Singapore wins more than one-third of the seats in Parliament in the upcoming General Election (GE) 2025, it would have significant implications for the People's Action Party (PAP) and the political landscape in Singapore. Specifically, it would affect the PAP's ability to amend the Constitution, as well as other legislative processes. Here's a breakdown of the implications:

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1. Constitutional Amendments​

• Current Supermajority Requirement: In Singapore, certain constitutional amendments require a two-thirds majority in Parliament to pass. The PAP has historically held more than two-thirds of the seats, allowing it to amend the Constitution with little opposition.
• Implications of Opposition Winning >1/3 Seats: If the opposition secures more than one-third of the seats, the PAP would no longer have the two-thirds supermajority required to unilaterally amend the Constitution. This would mean that any constitutional changes would need at least some support from opposition members, making it harder for the PAP to push through significant constitutional reforms.

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2. Checks and Balances​

• Increased Accountability: A stronger opposition presence in Parliament would provide more robust checks and balances on the PAP's power. The opposition could scrutinize government policies more effectively and demand greater transparency.
• Policy Negotiations: The PAP might need to negotiate with opposition parties to pass major legislation, leading to more compromise and potentially more inclusive policymaking.

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3. Political Stability and Governance​

• Potential Gridlock: If the opposition and PAP cannot find common ground on key issues, there could be legislative gridlock, slowing down the passage of important bills.
• Shift in Political Culture: A larger opposition presence could signal a shift in Singapore's political culture, with greater acceptance of a multi-party system and more diverse viewpoints in governance.

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4. Public Perception and PAP's Strategy​

• Loss of Dominance: The PAP has dominated Singaporean politics since independence, and losing its supermajority would be a significant symbolic blow. It could lead to internal reflection and potential changes in the party's strategy and leadership.
• Voter Sentiment: Such a result would likely reflect growing voter desire for greater political diversity and accountability, which could influence the PAP's future policies and outreach efforts.

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5. Long-Term Implications​

• Constitutional Safeguards: The opposition's ability to block constitutional changes could protect certain safeguards and prevent the PAP from consolidating power further.
• Potential for Coalition Politics: If the opposition continues to grow, Singapore might eventually see coalition governments, which would mark a dramatic shift from the current one-party dominance.

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Conclusion​

If the opposition wins more than one-third of the seats in GE 2025, it would fundamentally alter Singapore's political dynamics. The PAP would face greater challenges in amending the Constitution and passing major legislation, while the opposition would gain more influence in shaping the country's future. This scenario could lead to a more balanced and competitive political system, but it could also introduce new complexities in governance.

GRCs and SMCs with young families are now PAP’s weakness, because these voters are young and have nothing to lose, unlike retirees or near retirees which prefer stability. PAP never learn the lessons of GE2020.

 

[shock888]

Pap to take back most of the lost seats
Overall vote % goes up to high 70%

I doubt so… talking to my nephews and nieces they all worry about the million dollar HDB flats. Housing and Desmond Lee is the weak links in GE2025.

 

[birdie69]

GRCs and SMCs with young families are now PAP’s weakness, because these voters are young and have nothing to lose, unlike retirees or near retirees which prefer stability. PAP never learn the lessons of GE2020.

They are suffering from super high price BTO flat, high cost of living, high COE high transportation cost,education and medical cost, Medishield Life premium and worry no money for retirement in future.
Another main worry is insecurity of jobs, as anytime their jobs can be displaced by CECA Indians

 

[k1976]

Pap has done a god jobs to help private property owners to enjoy good asset appreciation in last 40yrs….every body leeconize their strong leesult delivery

mai spread fear…55% pap popular vote means 20-25 seats 4 oppo…havent even loose 2/3 majority.

 

[True Believer]

Perhaps, those eligible to vote at Sembawang West SMC, should consider Dr. Chee Soon Juan.

Dr Chee has gained popularity down the years with his more moderate image and articulate speeches proving to be a big draw for S'poreans tired of all the PAP policies that have heaped hardship on us. There is now considerable interest in an academic like Chee Soon Juan who suffered years of lawsuits and being fixed up for his political beliefs. This is due to his improved public image from a greater level of transparency and accessibility to information than in the past, as a result of social media. Prior to this, state-controlled media always painted him in a negative light owing to pressure from the powers that be. Now, Chee is seen as a possible check and balance on the govt; no more self-checks which never work.