Family members, friends, relatives, co-workers, neighbours and themselves.
From my limited interactions, there are two categories of these victims: those in denial and continue believing in the 'safe and effective' narrative, or those who know what's happening and are silently angry or 没办法 type.
It's around 50-50 now. Maybe 60-40 by the end of this year.
Singapore General Election 2024 / 5 - PAP risks losing 12 more seats
Mohamed Ibrahim Mohamed Yakub
Notary Public, Commissioner for Oaths, Advocate & Solicitor
38 articles Follow
December 2, 2023
Open Immersive Reader
In 2020 GE
Bukit Batok with 29,948 electors saw 15,500 (54.80%) vote PAP
Bukit Panjang with 35,437 electors saw 18,085 (53.73%) vote PAP
East Coast with 121,644 electors saw 61,144 (53.39%) vote PAP
Marymount with 23,431 electors saw 12,173 (55.04%) vote PAP
West Coast with 146,089 electors 71,658 (51.68%) vote PAP
Any GRC which fails to field a female candidate, preferably more than 1, is destined to alienate significant number of female voters. Let’s not forget, they make up 50% of voters. This is one of the main reasons the opposition fared poorly in GRCs where they had only all male candidates and the reason for PAP losing Sengkang GRC in the last election.
Sengkang GRC only required 1 minority candidate. PAP chose to field a Malay candidate as part of its team of 4 candidates.
Our Presidential election is testimony to the fact that the majority of Singaporean voters are very mature and are able to see beyond race and religion. But the reality is President Tharman is no ordinary candidate. Even in General Election his leadership carried his team to win some 75% of the voters.
PAP strategists should have fielded both an Indian and Malay, and 2 female candidates, to assure themselves that the minority voters were captured in Sengkang. We cannot deny that there would still be a significant minority who vote based on race and religion, as they legitimately wish to see fair minority representation. There will also be voters, both men and women, who do wish to see equal representation of men and women in Parliament.
Malay / Muslims electors only number 15% of the electors in Singapore. The majority of these 15% of Muslim Singaporeans have faithfully voted PAP since colonial days. Of the 2.7 million electors 405,000 are Muslims.
Of all voters some 33% of Singaporeans are hardcore opposition voters. No matter what, these hard core voters of every race and religion would blindly vote the opposition. Again the exception was the 2023 Presidential election, because of the President Tharman effect.
Would the PAP failing to condemn the Israeli genocide cause rational Muslim voters to vote opposition?
Based on published statistics and raw estimates, on average in Single seat wards of Bukit Panjang there are 5,316 Muslim voters, in Bukit Batok about 4,500 Muslim voters, and in Marymount 3,515 Muslim voters.
A swing of only 1,500 Muslim voters to the opposition in each of these wards would cause PAP to lose all these 3 wards.
In the super GRCs of East Coast there are at least 18,250 Muslim voters and in West Coast at least another 22,000 Muslim voters.
Only a swing of 4,000 Muslim voters in each GRC would cause PAP to lose 10 Parliamentary seats.
East Coast GRC with the absence of Nicole Seah might as well see a swing of more voters to the PAP. In the same vein it is also possible that DPM Heng Swee Keat who was voted on the basis that he is the Prime Minister in waiting may cause disappointed voters, especially those who are aggrieved that the PAP election promise was hollow, to vote against the PAP.
In the West Coast GRC depending on the outcome of the investigations against a suspended PAP MP, PAP may also lose more votes from the general electors, not only Muslims.
No election in Singapore is won only by Muslim votes, but elections can be lost without Muslim votes.
Genocide is being committed before our eyes in the concentration camp called Gaza. Notwithstanding the clamour by Muslim citizens and residents alike, our PAP government has chosen not to even condemn the Zionist settler colonial Israeli apartheid regime. My government has aligned itself with the blood thirsty USA, UK, France and EU, who have killed or were complicit in the death of millions of Muslims in Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya, based on blatant lies. This government's silence would cause it to lose Muslim votes.
The reality is PAP has been losing ground from every race and religion over the last 2 decades. As such even a much smaller swing of the Muslim voters to the opposition would cause PAP to lose more seats.
PAP cannot afford to alienate Muslim voters! Muslims, your vote matters! Your views matters!
Write to your MP to let him or her know that you want Singapore government to condemn the Israeli genocide taking place in the concentration camp in Gaza and the massacre in the West Bank. That our Ambassador in Israel be recalled for consultation.
This article has been written assuming that there would be on average 5% who are non voters or spoil their votes intentionally or otherwise.
Socializing at events, meetups etc.
They don’t jab as much doesn’t mean they would acknowledge that those jabs are unsafe and they would vote against the pap. The fact that these sheep are still alive would only convince them that the jabs that they have inoculated so far are safe.
What rubbish! First time I hear GRC must field one woman to win.Singapore General Election 2024 / 5 - PAP risks losing 12 more seats
Mohamed Ibrahim Mohamed Yakub
Notary Public, Commissioner for Oaths, Advocate & Solicitor
38 articles Follow
December 2, 2023
Open Immersive Reader
In 2020 GE
Bukit Batok with 29,948 electors saw 15,500 (54.80%) vote PAP
Bukit Panjang with 35,437 electors saw 18,085 (53.73%) vote PAP
East Coast with 121,644 electors saw 61,144 (53.39%) vote PAP
Marymount with 23,431 electors saw 12,173 (55.04%) vote PAP
West Coast with 146,089 electors 71,658 (51.68%) vote PAP
Any GRC which fails to field a female candidate, preferably more than 1, is destined to alienate significant number of female voters. Let’s not forget, they make up 50% of voters. This is one of the main reasons the opposition fared poorly in GRCs where they had only all male candidates and the reason for PAP losing Sengkang GRC in the last election.
Sengkang GRC only required 1 minority candidate. PAP chose to field a Malay candidate as part of its team of 4 candidates.
Our Presidential election is testimony to the fact that the majority of Singaporean voters are very mature and are able to see beyond race and religion. But the reality is President Tharman is no ordinary candidate. Even in General Election his leadership carried his team to win some 75% of the voters.
PAP strategists should have fielded both an Indian and Malay, and 2 female candidates, to assure themselves that the minority voters were captured in Sengkang. We cannot deny that there would still be a significant minority who vote based on race and religion, as they legitimately wish to see fair minority representation. There will also be voters, both men and women, who do wish to see equal representation of men and women in Parliament.
Malay / Muslims electors only number 15% of the electors in Singapore. The majority of these 15% of Muslim Singaporeans have faithfully voted PAP since colonial days. Of the 2.7 million electors 405,000 are Muslims.
Of all voters some 33% of Singaporeans are hardcore opposition voters. No matter what, these hard core voters of every race and religion would blindly vote the opposition. Again the exception was the 2023 Presidential election, because of the President Tharman effect.
Would the PAP failing to condemn the Israeli genocide cause rational Muslim voters to vote opposition?
Based on published statistics and raw estimates, on average in Single seat wards of Bukit Panjang there are 5,316 Muslim voters, in Bukit Batok about 4,500 Muslim voters, and in Marymount 3,515 Muslim voters.
A swing of only 1,500 Muslim voters to the opposition in each of these wards would cause PAP to lose all these 3 wards.
In the super GRCs of East Coast there are at least 18,250 Muslim voters and in West Coast at least another 22,000 Muslim voters.
Only a swing of 4,000 Muslim voters in each GRC would cause PAP to lose 10 Parliamentary seats.
East Coast GRC with the absence of Nicole Seah might as well see a swing of more voters to the PAP. In the same vein it is also possible that DPM Heng Swee Keat who was voted on the basis that he is the Prime Minister in waiting may cause disappointed voters, especially those who are aggrieved that the PAP election promise was hollow, to vote against the PAP.
In the West Coast GRC depending on the outcome of the investigations against a suspended PAP MP, PAP may also lose more votes from the general electors, not only Muslims.
No election in Singapore is won only by Muslim votes, but elections can be lost without Muslim votes.
Genocide is being committed before our eyes in the concentration camp called Gaza. Notwithstanding the clamour by Muslim citizens and residents alike, our PAP government has chosen not to even condemn the Zionist settler colonial Israeli apartheid regime. My government has aligned itself with the blood thirsty USA, UK, France and EU, who have killed or were complicit in the death of millions of Muslims in Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya, based on blatant lies. This government's silence would cause it to lose Muslim votes.
The reality is PAP has been losing ground from every race and religion over the last 2 decades. As such even a much smaller swing of the Muslim voters to the opposition would cause PAP to lose more seats.
PAP cannot afford to alienate Muslim voters! Muslims, your vote matters! Your views matters!
Write to your MP to let him or her know that you want Singapore government to condemn the Israeli genocide taking place in the concentration camp in Gaza and the massacre in the West Bank. That our Ambassador in Israel be recalled for consultation.
This article has been written assuming that there would be on average 5% who are non voters or spoil their votes intentionally or otherwise.
