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Chitchat PAP Scenario Planning for 2107 Presidential Election

ckmpd

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Planning Considerations

1. PAP must win the 2017 Presidential Election
2. Highly preferred that there is no walkover
3. Consider all possibilities

Option 1
PAP vs TCB - Survey shows that PAP candidate will be soundly trashed. Not an option

Option 2
PAP Candidate vs Pro Singapore candidate eg Liew Heng San. Feedback shows that pap will likely lose. Not an option

Option 3
PAP Candidate vs ex PAP candidate. Either way, pap has a running dog as President. Possible Option

Option 4
Walkover for pap candidate. No contest. PAP gets running dog President for next 6 years. Politically not good to some Singaporeans. Possible but not preferred option

Recommended Option

The recommended option is Option 3 - Two pap candidates contesting for 2017 Presidential Election
 
Planning Considerations

1. PAP must win the 2017 Presidential Election
2. Highly preferred that there is no walkover
3. Consider all possibilities

Option 1
PAP vs TCB - Survey shows that PAP candidate will be soundly trashed. Not an option

Option 2
PAP Candidate vs Pro Singapore candidate eg Liew Heng San. Feedback shows that pap will likely lose. Not an option

Option 3
PAP Candidate vs ex PAP candidate. Either way, pap has a running dog as President. Possible Option

Option 4
Walkover for pap candidate. No contest. PAP gets running dog President for next 6 years. Politically not good to some Singaporeans. Possible but not preferred option

Recommended Option

The recommended option is Option 3 - Two pap candidates contesting for 2017 Presidential Election

Option 3 guarantees LHL another 3 smooth years of government. But it comes with the following consequences
1. It makes a mockery of fair play
2. It angers many Singaporeans
3. It diminishes SG's and LHL's standing in the political and international arena
4. PAP cant predict how Singaporeans will protest against this unfair play

But desperate times call for desperate measures. And it is likely that a desperate pap will resort to accept option 3 for 2017 EP election

A PAP vs PAP contest is an indication of PAP's desperate situation
 
Option 3 guarantees LHL another 3 smooth years of government. But it comes with the following consequences
1. It makes a mockery of fair play
2. It angers many Singaporeans
3. It diminishes SG's and LHL's standing in the political and international arena
4. PAP cant predict how Singaporeans will protest against this unfair play

But desperate times call for desperate measures. And it is likely that a desperate pap will resort to accept option 3 for 2017 EP election

A PAP vs PAP contest is an indication of PAP's desperate situation

Based on Option 3, pap has to limit the candidates allowed to stand for 2017 EP election. The pap strategies are:

1. Set the qualifying criteria very high so as to limit the number of qualified candidates.
2. The limit must be set to a level where TCB is automatically disqualified
3. To limit the candidate pool further, the pap has to play the race card. The use of race will further reduce the number of Pro Singapore candidates
 
Based on Option 3, pap has to limit the candidates allowed to stand for 2017 EP election. The pap strategies are:

1. Set the qualifying criteria very high so as to limit the number of qualified candidates.
2. The limit must be set to a level where TCB is automatically disqualified
3. To limit the candidate pool further, the pap has to play the race card. The use of race will further reduce the number of Pro Singapore candidates

Setting the qualifying mark as $500m and using the race card will limit the number of eligible candidates to abt 1000.

1. Of these 1000, abt 800 are pro pap or pap affiliated
2. 100 are too comfortable in life to want to opt to be President
3. 50 are not healthy enough
4. That leaves only abt 50 eligible candidates such as Liew heng San, Ngiam Tong Dow, Tan Kin Lian, David Lim, Liew Mun Hong, Lim Chin Beng.
 
Setting the qualifying mark as $500m and using the race card will limit the number of eligible candidates to abt 1000.

1. Of these 1000, abt 800 are pro pap or pap affiliated
2. 100 are too comfortable in life to want to opt to be President
3. 50 are not healthy enough
4. That leaves only abt 50 eligible candidates such as Liew heng San, Ngiam Tong Dow, Tan Kin Lian, David Lim, Liew Mun Hong, Lim Chin Beng.

Therefore despite the dire consequences to SG, PAP decides to push through the White Paper to deny TCB the Presidency and further entrench PAP's rule
 
It not going to hurt pap much with a engineered walkover. Voters generally don't see PE as important as GE.
 
It not going to hurt pap much with a engineered walkover. Voters generally don't see PE as important as GE.

PAP was embarrassed when Tony managed a disgraceful 35% in 2011. If it didnt hurt pap, LHL wld not have to table this White Paper for a Constitution Change. This proposed Constitution Change for the EP shows how anxious pap is abt PE 2017. Desperate PAP!
 
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i still don't see how PAP can force feed & window dress Zainal & Halimah to be eligible.
none of them has any experience in helming a company of 500m.
and none of them give the assurance that they are good custodians of the second key.
besides being a good puppet, nothing else.
 
i still don't see how PAP can force feed & window dress Zainal & Halimah to be eligible.
none of them has any experience in helming a company of 500m.
and none of them give the assurance that they are good custodians of the second key.
besides being a good puppet, nothing else.

PE 2017 is still a few months more. PAP is not likely to have finalised its candidate. It is likely to be a pap candidate against an ex PAP member unless some pro Singapore Candidate qualifies and is willing to stand for election
 
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