- Joined
- Jan 23, 2020
- Messages
- 1,653
- Points
- 113
Dear @jw5, for the fifteenth time, many belated thanks for bumping up my thread again nearly two weeks ago, even though you were trying to change the subject and even though in my last reply to you in this thread, I was asking you for your opinion and not your prediction, which is why I even made the effort to prevent you from misunderstanding me again by saying:Before we make any more predictions, I just watched a Taiwan talk show where it was revealed John Bolton claimed Donald Trump compared Taiwan to the tip of a pen and compared China to a desk.
sammyboy.com/posts/3153361
Anyway, nearly two weeks have passed, and you still have not answered my question, so once again:And please note that I'm not asking you to predict the actual percentage of the US military support that Taiwan will actually receive because I understand that:
It is very difficult to predict how much military support Taiwan will receive from USA. I don't think even USA, Taiwan or China can predict this.
Or if you prefer to answer a "yes or no" question (instead of posting your own "minimum percentage"), then I'll ask my question in a slightly different way:if Taiwan were to receive:
would you:...MAXIMUM military support from the US,
Or in other words, in your opinion, what is the minimum percentage (such as a simple majority of 51%? ) of the full strength (i.e. personnel, weapons, warships, aircraft, drones, etc.) of the:1. still consider the war to be "between Taiwan and China" and not "between US and China";
2. and, more importantly, still predict that the PLA will successfully invade Taiwan if, because of whatever reason, the PLA were to finally decide/dare to try to invade it?
wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Armed_Forces
that Taiwan must receive, in order for you to:
1. finally consider the war to be "between US and China" (and not just "between Taiwan and China"), which would, therefore, result in:
sammyboy.com/posts/3121434
2. and also, finally predict that the PLA will fail to invade Taiwan if, because of whatever reason, the PLA were to finally decide/dare to try to invade it?...a good fight with the USA winning but incurring great losses.
In my opinion, if at least roughly one-quarter of the US Armed Forces were to be deployed, I would consider the war to be "between US and China" (and not just "between Taiwan and China"), just like the:
wikipedia.org/wiki/Pacific_War
during the first half of the 1940s was not just between China and Japan, but also between the US and Japan, right?
Would you agree with me that IF at least roughly one-quarter of the full strength (i.e. personnel, weapons, warships, aircraft, drones, etc.) of the:
wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Armed_Forces
were to be deployed to support Taiwan, then the war would be "between US and China"?
If one-quarter is not enough, then is a simple majority of 51% enough?
If a simple majority of 51% is not enough, then is a supermajority of 69% enough?
You were willing to say:
sammyboy.com/posts/3152087
but you did not say how much is "some", nor did you say that even if a simple majority of 51% of the entire US Armed Forces were to be deployed to support Taiwan, you also "would still consider the war to be between Taiwan and China" and not "between US and China"; so I think it should be safe for me to assume that you're implying that you do have your own threshold, beyond which you would finally consider the war to be "between US and China" (and not just "between Taiwan and China"), which would, therefore, result in:Even if Taiwan were to receive some military support from USA, I would still consider the war to be between Taiwan and China.
sammyboy.com/posts/3121434
right?...a good fight with the USA winning but incurring great losses.
By the way, you said that you "watched a Taiwan talk show"; so may I ask, did you watch it on TV?
If yes, does that mean that you're living in Taiwan?
Last edited: