How to gerrymander for GE2016??

[genetics]

Now LHL had a big problem of how to gerrymander for 2016. Will he group Aljunied, Hougang and Punggol East into 2 GRC, and conveniently push the former-chengsan and joo chiat into these area, so as to wall-off the contagion?? It is very hard for AMK and marine parade to swallow up, esp East Coast is already very shaky.

 

[TwitSeng]

need not. what will voters think if they do gerrymander? attempt to consolidate more incumbent votes together?

 

[winnipegjets]

They can't gerrymander that easily as the Opposition has a parliamentary platform to chastise the PAP. And that is news that the PAP don't want the public to hear too much off.

Yes, the PAP is in a dilemma on how to deal with a swelling tide of opposition support.

LKY will want the military to intervene to protect his son's regime if the 2016 election sweeps in the WP.

The PAP can't reverse its policies on housing and immigration without hurting itself. Reversing the former would expose the fact that the CPF is insolvent. Reversing the former would lead to a severe drop in property prices. See the PAP's hands are tied.

 

[enterprise2]

They can't gerrymander that easily as the Opposition has a parliamentary platform to chastise the PAP. And that is news that the PAP don't want the public to hear too much off.

Yes, the PAP is in a dilemma on how to deal with a swelling tide of opposition support.

LKY will want the military to intervene to protect his son's regime if the 2016 election sweeps in the WP.

The PAP can't reverse its policies on housing and immigration without hurting itself. Reversing the former would expose the fact that the CPF is insolvent. Reversing the former would lead to a severe drop in property prices. See the PAP's hands are tied.

This is called painting yourself into a corner or to be more precised, the WP got the Pappies by the balls!!

 

[jw5]

Their gerrymeandering in 2016 could be to carve out SMCs from existing GRCs instead of the other way round.
To avoid losing too many seats at one go.

 

[myfoot123]

Their gerrymeandering in 2016 could be to carve out SMCs from existing GRCs instead of the other way round.
To avoid losing too many seats at one go.

They will carve out SMC from PRO-PAP GRC town and merge SMC from ANTI-PAP town into GRC. Potong pasir and Joo chiat will dissappear from the gerry meandering in 2016. Unpopular East Coast GRC will be redrawn to either align with Marine Parade or Pasir Ris GRC.

Thus it gives more reason for Yen in WP to lead a team to contest GRC.

 

[ns is killing singapore]

they can also merge for instance nearby PRO-PAP town close to potong pasir with potong pasir smc to form potong pasir GRC also.

 

[myfoot123]

they can also merge for instance nearby PRO-PAP town close to potong pasir with potong pasir smc to form potong pasir GRC also.

The name Potong Pasir still resonate very strongly as opposition foothold, thus I doubt PAP wanted to retain the name.

 

[steffychun]

Now LHL had a big problem of how to gerrymander for 2016. Will he group Aljunied, Hougang and Punggol East into 2 GRC, and conveniently push the former-chengsan and joo chiat into these area, so as to wall-off the contagion?? It is very hard for AMK and marine parade to swallow up, esp East Coast is already very shaky.

Mega GRC--at least 20 candidates.

Deposit: 1 million

 

[dredd]

You can only succed in gerrymander when you are liked in some areas and disliked in others. In the case of MIW in 2016, disillusionment will be across the board and so expansive so no amount of gerrymandering can save their souls. Singapore is too small to cut here and there. If the electorate in the east is tulan with you, how you cut also no use.

 

[genetics]

You can only succed in gerrymander when you are liked in some areas and disliked in others. In the case of MIW in 2016, disillusionment will be across the board and so expansive so no amount of gerrymandering can save their souls. Singapore is too small to cut here and there. If the electorate in the east is tulan with you, how you cut also no use.

If i am LHL, i would quickly (while i still have more than 75% in parliament) to quickly change constitution to disband GRC. (this is constitution, so need more than 2-3). THat will slow down the lost, one GRC can be helm by one strong opposition to wack down the entire 5-6 PAP at one go.
It was not like Aljunied GRC, once that psychological barrier is breached, GRC work against PAP just as well.

 

[steffychun]

If i am LHL, i would quickly (while i still have more than 75% in parliament) to quickly change constitution to disband GRC. (this is constitution, so need more than 2-3). THat will slow down the lost, one GRC can be helm by one strong opposition to wack down the entire 5-6 PAP at one go.
It was not like Aljunied GRC, once that psychological barrier is breached, GRC work against PAP just as well.

If he disbands GRC, he would likely loose in a one to one fight against Chee or Jeya

 

[dredd]

The GRC idea is borne from fear politicking - to stop people from voting out a minitoot. But the Singaporean of today don't give a rat's ass who the minitoot is. Go ask George Yeo.

 

[GoldenDragon]

The GRC idea is borne from fear politicking - to stop people from voting out a minitoot. But the Singaporean of today don't give a rat's ass who the minitoot is. Go ask George Yeo.

Yes. Given the tide against them, gerrymander or mandergerry also no use.

 

[steffychun]

Yes. Given the tide against them, gerrymander or mandergerry also no use.

They will do something just wondering what

 

[Tualan]

As good as half dead now.

 

[Lucent]

This is called painting yourself into a corner or to be more precised, the WP got the Pappies by the balls!!

PAP will try to catch them while they are not alert and sleeping. WP may have slapped them now. But, it is not going to be easy to slap PAP in the parliament. They still call the shot. If RP guy is there, things will be different. Ken will not have to listen to Low's command to shut his mouth up. According to Ken, he is an economist and WP has none.

 

[The_Hypocrite]

PAP...confirm will play dirty,,,,like maybe allow PR to votes,,,,expend the size of GRCs,,,and of course,,increase the number of FTs into the country to marginalise singaporeans even more

 

[Heart Break Kid]

Yes. Given the tide against them, gerrymander or mandergerry also no use.

Anything more than 10% swing proven deadly. It is very difficult to redraw the East.

 

[steffychun]

PAP...confirm will play dirty,,,,like maybe allow PR to votes,,,,expend the size of GRCs,,,and of course,,increase the number of FTs into the country to marginalise singaporeans even more

In the UK commonwealth citizens are allowed to vote. PAP may try that