Hougang's future?

[steffychun]

Possibility A:

By-election called by 2012, new MP, probably WP again, this time lower majority.

Possibility B:

By-election called by 2012, new MP, probably WP again, same majority.

Possibility C:

By-election called by 2012, new MP, PAP MP, very close fight

Possibility D:

By-election called by 2012, new MP, not WP or PAP due to three/four/five/... corner fight. Very low majority.

Possibility E:

No By-election until next GE in 2016, Hougang has no MP, no voice in parliament. Aljunied MPs double stressed.

What would you like?

 

[TwitSeng]

Possibility A, B

 

[Perspective]

A.

Specifically, BE will be called after measuring all the pros and cons. Nomination day around 24-26 Apr 2012, polling day 5 May 2012 (Vesak Day).

WP wins, PAP loses, margin around 58% to 61%, slight drop for WP but still decisive. Both sides celebrate.

 

[PureSingaporean]

Recent survey done in Hougang indicated that 67.56% felt they were misled by WP, 62.04% felt WP did not handle Yaw's case well and 51.32% would vote for PAP candidate in the coming by-election, regardless who is WP candidate.

 

[Leongsam]

The opposition should field eunuchs. It'll ensure that all opposition candidates think with their brains instead of their dickheads.

 

[captainxerox]

i think there is Possibility F, coz of wp's stellar team performance on principles

"By-election called by 2012, new MP, probably WP again, this time higher majority."

 

[Narong Wongwan]

Whichever scenario, WP will emerge with higher % win.....the MIWs knows that....that is the reason behind all the delay and wayang.

 

[refulgence]

The spectrum of possibilities is limitless.

 

[coolguy]

I will think this is going to be a very close fight. 50-50 on both sides.
Vote difference less than 100. Similiar to the result in Potong Pasir.
The moment chiam left Potang Pasir, the ward is given to PAP.
Similarly, LTK has left Hougang. Hougang will go to PAP.

 

[zhihau]

I will think this is going to be a very close fight.

much as me believed that there would be a large drop from the previous 60 odd percentage points initially, me have changed my opinions slightly after much kopi sessions around the neighborhood
no close fight if it were to be a WP vs PAP scenario, 3 cornered fight likely but the 3rd party could lose deposit, these 2 scenarios still point to a WP win
so when is the by election in Hougang ah?

 

[Zatoichi]

The opposition should field eunuchs. It'll ensure that all opposition candidates think with the brains instead of their dickheads.

Actually, since "sinkies" are already so "ball-less", wouldn't a man who really has no testicles set an example to influence existing "sinkies" to remain "ball-less"? LOL
As well as influence any Singaporean who's still managing to be a non-"sinkie" to really become a "sinkie" without "balls"? LOL

Also, if being a eunuch can "ensure" that a man thinks with his brains instead of with his "dickhead", by logical deduction, ALL men should be castrated and become eunuchs, right? LOL

Furthermore, this would result in all women who are still virgins to remain virgins forever! LOL

Humanity would then come to an end within this century! LOL
And, to be honest, I don't mind looking forward to that! haha

 

[captainxerox]

Actually, since "sinkies" are already so "ball-less", wouldn't a man who really has no testicles set an example to influence existing "sinkies" to remain "ball-less"? LOL
As well as influence any Singaporean who's still managing to be a non-"sinkie" to really become a "sinkie" without "balls"? LOL

Also, if being a eunuch can "ensure" that a man thinks with his brains instead of with his "dickhead", by logical deduction, ALL men should be castrated and become eunuchs, right? LOL

not really. if wuxia pian is any indicator, eunuchs would be scheming and ambitious, something that opposition need more of. less balls more brains.

 

[ah_phah]

if the pappies refuse to give hougang a by-election, then... GE2016, hougang will continue to fly WP's flag with a higher score than yaw's score. y do i say so?

WP sacked YSL on grounds of transparency & accountability. whatever it is, the issue is a partisan decision/action. the deed is done. under normal circumstances, when an MP is missing/disqualified/deceased, a by-election can & should be convened for the benefit of the constituents.

y pappies dont call for by-election? the answer is simple, the stats for WP in hougang grew from strength to strength in the past 2 GEs. so, even if they call a by-election, it is almost certain that WP will continue to reign in hougang.

by not calling for by-election, there's 1 less legit opposition MP in parliament house, and the other incumbent WP MPs will need to double up their duties to take care of hougang residents.

by not calling for a by-election in hougang, it means the 30++% that voted lightning r insignificant & not worth the effort to prove that hougang is WP's stronghold once again.

by not calling for by-election in hougang, it is opportunity for WP to step up & prove critics wrong. that the opposition MPs r just as capable even if they r 1 man down.

2016, if hougang is not being roped into aljunied GRC n remains a SMC, can expect to see WP rake-in better score in hougang, than before.

 

[Sideswipe]

PAP will give Hougang a by-election. it's ludicrous for PAP if they actually delay the by-election until next year, let alone not calling for one at all. only a matter of time. PAP needs some time to get ready.

 

[Ramseth]

WP is already ready since or even before they announced the axing of Shin Leong. LTK wouldn't do it without being ready. PAP and LHL know that. That's why they're hesitating but as ruling party and PM, it's their call as to the exact date. Even if called tomorrow, WP and LTK are ready. It's PAP and LHL who worry.

My take on the percentage is still above 2/3 returned for WP.

 

[Thick Face Black Heart]

The opposition should field eunuchs. It'll ensure that all opposition candidates think with the brains instead of their dickheads.

HAHAHAHAHAHA!!!! This is one of the best quotes ever in SBF.

 

[Thick Face Black Heart]

A.

Specifically, BE will be called after measuring all the pros and cons. Nomination day around 24-26 Apr 2012, polling day 5 May 2012 (Vesak Day).

WP wins, PAP loses, margin around 58% to 61%, slight drop for WP but still decisive. Both sides celebrate.

I don't think it will be held Vesak Day.

My prediction also around same as yours, slight drop in percentage.

But why PAP celebrate? They would have been given another black eye.

 

[ah_phah]

WP is already ready since or even before they announced the axing of Shin Leong. LTK wouldn't do it without being ready. PAP and LHL know that. That's why they're hesitating but as ruling party and PM, it's their call as to the exact date. Even if called tomorrow, WP and LTK are ready. It's PAP and LHL who worry.

My take on the percentage is still above 2/3 returned for WP.

if pappies oblige with a by-election, then the ppl can see what is called double standard. refer to demon-cratic illustration

 

[freedalas]

If the WP fights Hougang by-election only as a by-election ie on municipal matters only, chances are it will retain the same majority or at most a very slight drop. What WP ought to do is not to regard it as a by-election but a referendum of sorts as how the PAP has responded to issues that surfaced during GE 2011 and the improvements (real) that had come about. If WP does that, there's a good chance that it's majority may in fact goes up and feedback from the ground is that PAP has not make any real changes and approach.

 

[Neilsome]

PAP MPs have been hinting that a by-election in Hougang may not be called by the PM after all.