GE 2016/15 speculation

[zhihau]

joo chiat sure will cut into 2......pro PAP will go to EC....pro WP will go to MP...

huh? what talking you? the way i see it, the Still Road side of Telok Kurau gets absorbed into MPGRC, the Siglap canal side of Telok Kurau goes to ECGRC. the main Telok Kurau Road becomes the dividing line :o:o:o

 

[wwabbit]

IMO the best thing that SPP can do would be to invite WP to contest in Potong Pasir and to endorse the WP candidate.
Lina Chiam, sadly, has no chance.

Speaking of which, anyone knows if the Chiam See Tong Welcome to Potong Pasir sign is still up?

 

[steffychun]

IMO the best thing that SPP can do would be to invite WP to contest in Potong Pasir and to endorse the WP candidate.
Lina Chiam, sadly, has no chance.

Speaking of which, anyone knows if the Chiam See Tong Welcome to Potong Pasir sign is still up?

Wonder what Chiam will do not do in the next election

 

[Sideswipe]

IMO the best thing that SPP can do would be to invite WP to contest in Potong Pasir and to endorse the WP candidate.
Lina Chiam, sadly, has no chance.

Speaking of which, anyone knows if the Chiam See Tong Welcome to Potong Pasir sign is still up?

don't think Potong Pasir SMC would remain in existence for the next elections unless PAP are sure that Sitoh would definitely win it again.

 

[Sideswipe]

Wonder what Chiam will do not do in the next election

the Chiam brand did not help Sin Kek Tong much in Hong Kah last election. Sin was the worst opposition loser, polled 10% less than the NSP team which contested neighboring Choa Chu Kang.

 

[tanwahp]

don't think Potong Pasir SMC would remain in existence for the next elections unless PAP are sure that Sitoh would definitely win it again.

Agree.

The best excuse is that PP population has fallen far below the average number for a single ward as it is a very old single ward that deflected the population growth.

Some new single wards even have double of PP population.

 

[oratedar]

IMO the best thing that SPP can do would be to invite WP to contest in Potong Pasir and to endorse the WP candidate.
Lina Chiam, sadly, has no chance.

Speaking of which, anyone knows if the Chiam See Tong Welcome to Potong Pasir sign is still up?

That uncle Chiam sign was taken down about 1 month after GE 2011. See Lan Tau seetoh must be so glad to see the last of it. Screw the stupid voters of Potong Pasir.

 

[3_M]

IMO the best thing that SPP can do would be to invite WP to contest in Potong Pasir and to endorse the WP candidate.
Lina Chiam, sadly, has no chance.

Speaking of which, anyone knows if the Chiam See Tong Welcome to Potong Pasir sign is still up?

WP has no grassroots foundation in PP. Many people think those who voted for SPP will by default vote for WP. I disagree. For a start just a change of candidate is enough for a few hundreds voters who had previously voted for CST to deflect to PAP. That means many voted out of their likings for CST and not opposition. Lina Chiam deserves another shot at PP but she needs to maintain a certain level of visibility in the ward and not just base on her performance in the parliament.

 

[The_Hypocrite]

One.forumner here brought up a good point many moons ago. It was stated that no GRC wants PP as it will make the GRC winnable for the oppos. If pp absorbed into toa payoh. Toa payoh will have alot of oppos. Like in Marine Parade. 10k votes got transferred from Alujunied to Marine Parade n Marine parade was retained with 50+% margin. If it was a stronger oppo could hav lost even.

Agree.

The best excuse is that PP population has fallen far below the average number for a single ward as it is a very old single ward that deflected the population growth.

Some new single wards even have double of PP population.

 

[yenwei]

Yes. It was thought to be a PAP-stronghold ward. 1992 by-election, PAP team led by then PM Goh won with 72.9% votes against three other parties.

But recently, PAP got only 56.6% of votes against only one team, the NSP in GE2011. That was a bit of surprise for the former PM in the once PAP-stronghold ward. Very likely it may be because some voters felt that TPL was entering through the back door under then SM Goh, that was why they would have voted for NSP instead.

With the growing trend of unhappiness among Singaporeans, I can sense that PAP may either win MP with 50/50 share of votes or they may lose.

 

[steffychun]

don't think Potong Pasir SMC would remain in existence for the next elections unless PAP are sure that Sitoh would definitely win it again.

I dont think PAP cares so much for Sioth at all. He can lose PP, but possibly not to SPP next election. In any case, he stays as a RC member or PA chairman in the place. PAP has bigger targets to hold or capture, esp Aljunied. Bet you most of their "firepower" will be on that area next election.

 

[The_Hypocrite]

Pappies will b more on the defensive this time. The have to prevent east coast from falling. N if wp contest marine parade and tampines..lagi more headache for them. But if 3rd rate oppos cause problems than pap will benefit.

Do not forget sdp nearly derailed the pungol east pe...

I dont think PAP cares so much for Sioth at all. He can lose PP, but possibly not to SPP next election. In any case, he stays as a RC member or PA chairman in the place. PAP has bigger targets to hold or capture, esp Aljunied. Bet you most of their "firepower" will be on that area next election.

 

[steffychun]

Pappies will b more on the defensive this time. The have to prevent east coast from falling. N if wp contest marine parade and tampines..lagi more headache for them. But if 3rd rate oppos cause problems than pap will benefit.

Do not forget sdp nearly derailed the pungol east pe...

WP may play it safe first. Definitely want to hold Aljunied. PAP will target Aljunied like crazy....

SDP can go fly kite but they will kamikaze PM's GRC for sure

Perhaps one PAP strong newbie (TCJ maybe) will take over GCT in MP. He may be dumb but a sizeable political fighter.

 

[zhihau]

PAP has bigger targets to hold or capture, esp Aljunied. Bet you most of their "firepower" will be on that area next election.

please send all the heavyweight to Aljunied GRC, thank you! let Aljunied GRC kick all those MIW butts all at once

 

[steffychun]

please send all the heavyweight to Aljunied GRC, thank you! let Aljunied GRC kick all those MIW butts all at once

Bet you CCS will play a GCT woo Aljunied voters like GCT failed to do in PP

 

[zhihau]

Bet you CCS will play a GCT woo Aljunied voters like GCT failed to do in PP

CCS is a heavyweight? bwahahahahahahaa... he's deadweight :p:p:p

 

[steffychun]

CCS is a heavyweight? bwahahahahahahaa... he's deadweight :p:p:p

In PAP mind he is. THey may add another old boy to TP to ensure his GRC survives. Or do a magic walk over.

 

[zhihau]

In PAP mind he is.

excellent! keep it that way and send CCS to Aljunied GRC!

 

[wwabbit]

WP has no grassroots foundation in PP. Many people think those who voted for SPP will by default vote for WP. I disagree. For a start just a change of candidate is enough for a few hundreds voters who had previously voted for CST to deflect to PAP. That means many voted out of their likings for CST and not opposition. Lina Chiam deserves another shot at PP but she needs to maintain a certain level of visibility in the ward and not just base on her performance in the parliament.

That's why it's only worthwhile for WP to go in is if they get the blessing and the endorsement of the SPP. Meaning CST and the SPP grassroots would be very visibly and actively campaigning on behalf of the WP and asking for his former constituents to vote for the WP candidate. Personally, I think this is the best chance for PP to be returned to the opposition again.

Maybe Lina Chiam may win the next time round, I'm not sure about that. But I'm fairly certain that WP going in with CST's endorsement will be a sure win for the opposition.

 

[steffychun]

excellent! keep it that way and send CCS to Aljunied GRC!

he wont be sent there. He will just be a PAP member helping the PAP team there as GCT tried to do for Sitoh in PP.