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[COVID-19 Virus] The PRC Situation Thread

This is quarantine facility or virus incubator? :wink:

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In Japan this would have been a mass orgy location with a symphony of moans and groans....
 
Massive drop in Hubei's reported cases today. Just 300+

Projections:

2nd Half of Feb
China's cases will decline and stay stagnant as President Xi is taking charge of the crisis.

Singapore, Thailand, Japan, HK will report higher number of local transmissions.

First student transmission and PRC death will be reported in Singapore.



1st Half of March
China will reduce the level of lockdown citing "improved conditions".

Singapore, Thailand and HK will export more cases overseas, triggering more travel alerts. Local cases in these 3 countries along with Japan and Korea will hit triple digits.



2nd Half of March
China will reveal more cases due to earlier under-reporting and revert to higher level of lockdown.

Instead of raising alert level to red, due to the widespread of the virus, Singapore will portrait the virus as another common flu and expected to soften stance due to exhaustion of resources. Singapore will end up downgrading alert level to yellow to prove rumours wrong and, ownself grade ownself.

Australia and North America expected to report local transmissions.
 
Incubation period of Wuhan Virus is damn long (14-40 days) without symptoms who can go around spreading the virus. Wuhan Virus's R0 (reproduction/contagion speed) is extremely high, at least 2x that of SARS. The cruise ship in Japan is a good example. It probably exploded much before patient 1 in cruise ship was identified. This means that Wuhan virus could start as early as Sept 19.
 
Incubation period of Wuhan Virus is damn long (14-40 days) without symptoms who can go around spreading the virus. Wuhan Virus's R0 (reproduction/contagion speed) is extremely high, at least 2x that of SARS. The cruise ship in Japan is a good example. It probably exploded much before patient 1 in cruise ship was identified. This means that Wuhan virus could start as early as Sept 19.
Singapore big boss only asked people to stay away 14 days.
 
Incubation period of Wuhan Virus is damn long (14-40 days) without symptoms who can go around spreading the virus. Wuhan Virus's R0 (reproduction/contagion speed) is extremely high, at least 2x that of SARS. The cruise ship in Japan is a good example. It probably exploded much before patient 1 in cruise ship was identified. This means that Wuhan virus could start as early as Sept 19.
I wonder how come no other cruise ships is found infected with Wuhan?
 
I wonder how come no other cruise ships is found infected with Wuhan?

At least 2 died from the cruise ship at Japan today. Nationality is not announced yet but it is near-sudden deaths.

Hun Sen sweating now, he shook hands with those from another cruise ship who disembarked in Cambodia.
At least one of them, tested positive twice when transit in Malaysia.
 
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Singapore big boss only asked people to stay away 14 days.

We are quite bochup a month ago, by giving the 1000 tables Lunar New Year gathering, Thaipusam, AirShow and Chingay go ahead. If it spreads from there, the next 2-4 weeks should be more serious for Singapore. However, I project that Singapore will not recognize cases without symptoms going forward and give themselves a good pat by downgrading alert level to yellow within a month.
 

nCovWatch

5 points · 17 hours ago · edited 16 hours ago

Let me debunk this for you.

There is only one border crossing that looks like this and this is the Cửa khẩu quốc tế Hữu Nghị AKA the Huu Nghi International Border Gate.

There are several reasons that the way this video is being presented is false.

Firstly, as far as I can tell, this is actually the Vietnam side being shown, I could tell you from memory except that the place looks totally different now so I’m not 100% sure. These people are likely local residents of Vietnam who work in China. This can easily be seen by comparing the mountains and structures surrounding the border crossing. The green buildings with red tiled roofs in the video can clearly be seen with the mountains behind them and are on the Vietnam side when looking at satellite images. There are countless articles and videos online about Vietnamese citizens who get jobs in Guangxi and cross legally every day.

The crossing opens at 7am, so in order to get to work on time, the people are running for position in the queue for entry so they won’t miss their bus.

Lastly, this is an old video, the plaza has been entirely reconfigured since this video. I have been there and it does not look like this anymore.

Here is a video from 2018 that shows the current layout much better:

Here is another video from Jan 30, 2020:

You can check these details yourself, the address is:
Quốc lộ 1A
Tt. Đồng Đăng
H. Cao Lộc
Tỉnh Lạng Sơn
Vietnam
Here is the Facebook page for the crossing with many photos for comparison: https://facebook.com/CuaKhauQuocTeHuuNghi/

Drop these coordinates into a map app in Satellite Image mode and you can see the approximate location of where I believe the person filming was standing (which is the Vietnam side):
21.9706, 106.7113

 
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