Singapore has only known three prime ministers since independence in 1965. The first was founding father Lee Kuan Yew, until 1990. Then came
Goh Chok Tong. Lee's son, the current leader, took over in 2004. Heng is considered the standard-bearer of the country's "fourth generation" or "4G" politicians; he told Nikkei last year that his 4G peers had asked him to lead the way.
Heng is "an easygoing gentleman" and "does not turn very ambitious against his critics," observed Alan Chong, associate professor at Nanyang Technological University, noting that some senior PAP politicians tend to lash out at criticism.
Chong also described Heng as a technocrat. "You don't expect him to be very eloquent, but he is very good at fixing the economy."
Heng's story is a classic tale of the Singaporean elite.
He studied economics at the University of Cambridge in the U.K. and public policy at Harvard University in the U.S. He went on to serve as permanent secretary of the Ministry of Trade and Industry, the principal private secretary to Lee Kuan Yew, and managing director of the Monetary Authority of Singapore, the central bank. With this background, one Singaporean citizen in his 40s said Heng is best described as a "bureaucrat and technocrat," echoing Chong.
Despite a relatively short political career -- he was first elected in 2011 -- Heng has been entrusted with key cabinet portfolios including education and finance. Within the PAP, he was named first assistant secretary-general in 2018, the No. 2 position after Lee Hsien Loong. Last year, he was promoted to deputy prime minister, widely seen as a stepping stone to the top job.
Yet, it has not always been smooth sailing.
In 2016, Heng suffered a stroke and collapsed during a cabinet meeting. When he awoke from a coma six days later, he could not speak. What happened next has gone down in Singaporean political lore: One of the first things he wrote on a piece of paper, according to a Straits Times account, was, "Is there a cabinet meeting today?"
In this election, Heng had a bumpy start to campaigning. After the parties nominated their candidates on June 30, he delivered an uneven speech to his district, repeatedly declaring that the PAP had an "East Coast plan" without giving any details. This drew puzzled reactions on social media.
"Is this our next PM?" one skeptic tweeted.
Heng has also found himself defending remarks made last year on foreign workers and potential population growth, after an opposition leader accused him and the PAP of aiming to nearly double Singapore's residents to
10 million.
In this Friday's election, the East Coast is considered one of the more competitive races.
Heng leads the PAP's five-member slate under Singapore's unique "group representation constituency" or GRC system, in which the winning party takes all seats. His East Coast candidacy was a nomination day surprise, as he had been expected to run in the Tampines constituency like he did in 2011 and 2015.
The apparent last-minute switch -- which may explain the "East Coast plan" speech -- puts him in charge of fending off a challenge from the Workers' Party, the largest opposition rival.
Eugene Tan, associate professor of law at Singapore Management University, said that "the likely economic downturn may result in the handover to the 4G PM being delayed, but I don't expect the delay to be inordinately extended."
Since the COVID-19 downturn and battle "may last for years," Tan added, it might not be possible to wait it out. "Once the domestic situation stabilizes, we can expect the leadership handover."
Heng seemed to recognize the election's implications for his future in another video message to voters posted on Sunday.
"When you vote, you are choosing the next government for the country," Heng said. "You are choosing the team who will work with you to steer Singapore through the worst economic crisis in decades."
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So, he got one of the worst results for PAP in this election due to bad campaign strategy. I think it has affected his standing as the next PM.