Nobody knows if it would be a dragon just like nobody knows if next hand will be banker or player win.
Well, maybe I put it in a simpler layman term which more people could understand.
Example on the 31st hand of a 8 deck cards table
Player gets, 4,9, Banker gets 4,10
Player has 3 points, Banker has 4 points. Player has to draw 3rd card.
If Player draws A, Banker does not need to draw 3rd card and the result is TIE
If Player draws 2, Player =5 points, Banker needs to draw 3rd card and will win if draw 2,3,4,5, and tie when draw A, and lose when draw 6,7,8,9,10,J,Q,K
If Player draws 3, Player =6 points, Banker needs to draw 3rd card and will win if draw 3,4,5 and tie when draw 2, and lose when draw A,6,7,8,9,10,J,Q,K
If Player draws 4, Player =7 points, Banker needs to draw 3rd card and will win if draw 4,5 and tie when draw 3, and lose when draw A,2,6,7,8,9,10,J,Q,K
If Player draws 5, Player =8 points, Banker needs to draw 3rd card and will win if draw 5 and tie when draw 4, and lose when draw A,2,3,6,7,8,9,10,J,Q,K
If Player draws 6, Player =9 points, Banker needs to draw 3rd card and will tie when draw 5, and lose when draw A,2,3,4,6,7,8,9,10,J,Q,K
If Player draws 7, Player =0 points, Banker needs to draw 3rd card and will win if draw A,2,3,4,5,7,8,9,10,J,Q,K and tie if draw 6
If Player draws 8, Player =1 points, Banker do not need to draw 3rd card and will win with 4 points.
If Player draws 9, Player =2 points, Banker do not need to draw 3rd card and will win with 4 points
If Player draws 10, Player =3points, Banker do not need to draw 3rd card and will win with 4 points
If Player draws J, Player =3points, Banker do not need to draw 3rd card and will win with 4 points
If Player draws Q, Player =3points, Banker do not need to draw 3rd card and will win with 4 points
If Player draws K, Player =3points, Banker do not need to draw 3rd card and will win with 4 points
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To summarise, Player when draw 3rd card, the advantage is in drawing card with no2,3,4,5,6
while Banker advantage is when Player draws, A, 7,8,9,10,J,Q,K
Player has 5 cards advantage while Banker has 8 cards advantage. The tilt will be Player 38% while Banker 62% chance
If earlier 30 hands have calculated lots of cards 10s in the deck, then the advantage is to bet on Banker. If lots of 10s still in deck, then Banker chance will be increased further on top of 62%
Bear in mind, a deck of card has 16 10s in it. So 8 decks will have 128 cards of 10s. If there are still many 10s in decks then Banker has advantage. If many 10s have come out, then it would not be worthwhile to bet on Banker.
This is why when sohbuckkong says normally due to law of average if Banker opens a lot, then there is a chance Player might come. It can be explained as the cards for Bankers have just been released, so remaining cards left will not be to Banker's advantage. That is why Player might recover and open more times. However it doesn't mean we should start buying Player. Instead, when the card does not favour Banker, we should just stop and not buy any bets on Player or Banker.