With SDP announced their interest in Ponggol East, it look likely that Ponggol East by election will be a many corner fight which may involve the following which have annnounced their intention
1) WP
2) RP
3) SDP
4) SDA
5) Benjamin Pwee
WP Lee Li Lian who contest in the ward in 2011 and gather about 40% the votes is certainly not MP material. But looking at the 23 WP candidates in 2011 minus the 8 MPs and NCMPs and about 4-5 of the candidates who have left the party, it seem to me WP have not much MP quality candidates left.
Unless there will to have a new candidate someone like CSM, i dont think any of the remaining wp candidate is capable of creating an upset if they will to challenging PAP one to one.AS GMS mentioned before, they have a senior consel. However, as WP contested there in 2011 and gather 40%, it is almost impossible to pursue WP to stand out of the race even with the existing candidate.
Kenneth Jeyaretnam of RP can look forward to a humilating end to his political career if he chose to contest in a multi corner fight while not to mention about Desmond Lim who contested there in 2011 and lost deposit.
The most interesting development however is the announcement of SDP to contest. With SDP CSJ out of the race until 2015, the next likely candidate is Vincent Wijeysingha and if VW contest , it will make the race very interesting.
I will have hoped all other parties give way and let it be a VW vs PAP contest but it is almost impossible wp will give way unless their candidate will to disqualify himself during nomination.
With so many party invlove, we may see for the first time since 1963 PAP win by below 50% of the vote.
PAP is likey to emerged winner is this multi corner fight. However winning by less than 50% however will be defeat to them
This contest is no more between PAP vs Opposition but Opposition vs opposition. WP vs SDP. If WP can gather the majority of the opposition votes eg ( PAP 45%, WP, 40%, SDP 10% , RP 3% , etc), it will signal that voters want WP as the main opposition.
But if result is like that (PAP 40% , SDP 27%, WP 27% , etc), it will signal to the WP that voters are unhappy with their current performance and make them work harder. This will also help in creating more opposition unity come 2016.
1) WP
2) RP
3) SDP
4) SDA
5) Benjamin Pwee
WP Lee Li Lian who contest in the ward in 2011 and gather about 40% the votes is certainly not MP material. But looking at the 23 WP candidates in 2011 minus the 8 MPs and NCMPs and about 4-5 of the candidates who have left the party, it seem to me WP have not much MP quality candidates left.
Unless there will to have a new candidate someone like CSM, i dont think any of the remaining wp candidate is capable of creating an upset if they will to challenging PAP one to one.AS GMS mentioned before, they have a senior consel. However, as WP contested there in 2011 and gather 40%, it is almost impossible to pursue WP to stand out of the race even with the existing candidate.
Kenneth Jeyaretnam of RP can look forward to a humilating end to his political career if he chose to contest in a multi corner fight while not to mention about Desmond Lim who contested there in 2011 and lost deposit.
The most interesting development however is the announcement of SDP to contest. With SDP CSJ out of the race until 2015, the next likely candidate is Vincent Wijeysingha and if VW contest , it will make the race very interesting.
I will have hoped all other parties give way and let it be a VW vs PAP contest but it is almost impossible wp will give way unless their candidate will to disqualify himself during nomination.
With so many party invlove, we may see for the first time since 1963 PAP win by below 50% of the vote.
PAP is likey to emerged winner is this multi corner fight. However winning by less than 50% however will be defeat to them
This contest is no more between PAP vs Opposition but Opposition vs opposition. WP vs SDP. If WP can gather the majority of the opposition votes eg ( PAP 45%, WP, 40%, SDP 10% , RP 3% , etc), it will signal that voters want WP as the main opposition.
But if result is like that (PAP 40% , SDP 27%, WP 27% , etc), it will signal to the WP that voters are unhappy with their current performance and make them work harder. This will also help in creating more opposition unity come 2016.
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