Jamus congratulates Nobel prize winners.
1h ·
The Riksbank announced yesterday that Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, and Jim Robinson (AJR) won the Nobel in economics for their work on the importance of institutions in economic development. As someone who has worked extensively on the political economy of development—and cited the work of AJR extensively in my own papers—it isn’t so much a surprise, as a sense that it was a long time coming, and thoroughly deserved.
To some, AJR’s work may seem self-evident. Surely quality institutions are necessary for economic success? But the question is more nuanced. After all, such institutions may result from prosperity, rather than be its source. AJR showed definitively that it was institutions that caused growth. It is also unclear how important institutions are, relative to other “deep” drivers of growth, like trade openness, geographic conditions, or social capital. It took a slew of papers by economists and political scientists to reveal that institutions were, indeed, of first-order importance.
To others, their work is disproven by the example of successes in more centralized countries, like China and Singapore. But AJR will be the first to point out that for every successful controlling state, there are a dozen more that remain mired in poverty. So we can’t just look at only good examples to decide whether an argument is credible. Besides, the claim is also considerably more nuanced: countries grow because their institutions are inclusive, with economic decisionmaking that encourages broad participation and diversity.
Such institutions include a reliable rule of law, respect for property rights, and freedom from internal and external conflict. Such institutions can exist even in countries where the political system is more top-down (to be clear, I believe that voice and accountability have merits of their own. It’s just that democratic norms need not be lumped with economic success, especially in the early stages of development).
For me, having been steeped in this stuff for more than two decades, I can only congratulate the trio for their contributions, and for advancing the field within our profession. And to hope that their insights—on how quality institutions are central to the success of a nation and society—will be not only celebrated, but internalized by policymakers worldwide, including those in Singapore.