https://humanevents.com/2020/10/20/...-intentionally-spreads-covid-fear-like-virus/
It is worth noting that the
original World Health Organization estimate for overall IFR was .035, or 3.4%. As can be seen above, only in the over 70 age group does the IFR exceed that number and in no other age group does the IFR even come close. All of America’s original lockdown policies were based upon inflated numbers, perhaps intentionally, or at least negligently, inflated.
In research published on September 29, 2020 in the International Journal of Infectious Diseases
(IJID), the IFR based upon review of various worldwide studies was determined to be “approximately” .0068 (.68%) with a variability from .0017 to .017 depending upon geographic location.
In the IJID published study, one very telling paragraph appeared when describing the research:
There are a number of methods for investigating the IFR in a population. Retrospective modelling studies of influenza, as a common cause of global pandemics, have successfully predicted the true number of cases and deaths from influenza-like-illness records and excess mortality estimates. However, these may not be accurate, in part due to the general difficulty in attributing influenza cases to subsequent mortality, meaning that CFRs may both overestimate and equally underestimate the true number of deaths due to the disease in a population.
In other words, estimating the real IFR is something less than imprecise.
Another study of cases in
Geneva, Switzerland reported more age stratified Chinese coronavirus IFRs that are strikingly similar to those of the CDC. There numbers show an IFR for people over the age of 65 at 5.6% but for people under the age of 50 the IFR is a range of .0000032 to .000016. People “in between” at age 50-64 showed an IFR of .0014.
The Swiss study suggests that death for those under the age of 65 caused by the Chinses coronavirus is extraordinarily rare.
In his opinion piece, Freidan references the case of
Dr. Adeline Fagan by saying “think of the tragic death of the 28-year-old obstetrician infected in the hospital she delivered babies in.” That case, which is every bit as tragic as is the loss of any life from causes other than peaceful expiration in old age, has been widely referenced by people trying to frighten Americans into compliant behavior over fear of premature death.
The reason the case is frequently cited is because of its near uniqueness during the pandemic.
As for the
World Health Organization, the same organization that originally said the IFR was 3.4%, earlier this month at a press conference they issued estimates that reveled their revised overall IFR works out to approximately .0014.
Both the Swiss study and the study published in IJID reference the fact the IFR’s are impacted by a variety of factors not limited strictly to the presence of the virus. Some such factors include:
- Density of population
- Overall quality of medical care
- Age demographics of population
- General health of population
- Presence of other negative health factors (co-morbidity)
- Viral “load” within the patients
Regarding co-morbidity, the CDC itself has
published data suggesting that only about 6% of people who die from the Chinese coronavirus expired exclusively from the disease. This means that roughly 94% of those who die from the disease have some other contributing factor.