For one thing, I am not like you, being blinded by loyalty to WP. I am realistic and I give realistic assessment on the ground. People like you are the ones who screwed YSL and WP up by giving badly conceived comments and "advices". If YSL would have listened to me right from the start and WP did the necessary risk and crisis management, we won't be having by-elections in Hougang today.
Here again, you are giving crazy optimistic "predictions" without any firm basis. Whatever WP has gotten in GE2011 is the highest for Hougang and when one reached the peak, the only way is to go down. This is based on National average revealed by Presidential Elections. No matter what, even if you don't agree with PAP, there will always be 35% die hard PAP supporters in any wards, plus minus 3% maybe. Hougang is no different, except that the neutral voters may be lesser while die hard WP supporters may be higher than the norm 30%. This coincide with the GE2011 results for those under performing GRC or SMC for opposition.i.e. TKL plus TJS votes in PE2011. WP may well have about 35% to 40% die hard supporters but that's all for the advantage it enjoys.
WP's performance will not change whether I wish or not wish on whether it will perform badly. Similarly it will not be performing better just because you think so. All these are determined by the situation at hand and the situation is quite bad for WP, as someone like Char Azn has reiterated, the Yaw-gate, under-performance of WP MPs and there is no urgency for Hougang voters to vote WP because WP has 5 MPs plus 2 NCMP in parliament already. These are the key points which will determine WP's expected poor performance.
We are just being objective here and I feel that it is only good for opposition as a whole if WP performs badly, bad enough to ring a bell in their leadership but not enough for them to lose Hougang. If they really lose Hougang, dynamics will change drastically and LTK may even lose his SG post or Sylvia lose her Chairman position in the coming OPC.
Goh Meng Seng
Here again, you are giving crazy optimistic "predictions" without any firm basis. Whatever WP has gotten in GE2011 is the highest for Hougang and when one reached the peak, the only way is to go down. This is based on National average revealed by Presidential Elections. No matter what, even if you don't agree with PAP, there will always be 35% die hard PAP supporters in any wards, plus minus 3% maybe. Hougang is no different, except that the neutral voters may be lesser while die hard WP supporters may be higher than the norm 30%. This coincide with the GE2011 results for those under performing GRC or SMC for opposition.i.e. TKL plus TJS votes in PE2011. WP may well have about 35% to 40% die hard supporters but that's all for the advantage it enjoys.
WP's performance will not change whether I wish or not wish on whether it will perform badly. Similarly it will not be performing better just because you think so. All these are determined by the situation at hand and the situation is quite bad for WP, as someone like Char Azn has reiterated, the Yaw-gate, under-performance of WP MPs and there is no urgency for Hougang voters to vote WP because WP has 5 MPs plus 2 NCMP in parliament already. These are the key points which will determine WP's expected poor performance.
We are just being objective here and I feel that it is only good for opposition as a whole if WP performs badly, bad enough to ring a bell in their leadership but not enough for them to lose Hougang. If they really lose Hougang, dynamics will change drastically and LTK may even lose his SG post or Sylvia lose her Chairman position in the coming OPC.
Goh Meng Seng
