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Singapore population only left 40%+ singaporeans

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Alfrescian
Loyal
The actual % of sinkees in sickeningapore now is 40+%. heres my derivation:

Now the sinkieland total population = 5.5million.

According to the official sources, the "locals" = 70%.
70% x 5.5million = 3.8million.

However, in the erection 2011, there are only 2.2million eligible voters.
--> which pure breed pink ic (>21 years old) = 2.2million.

To find out the total poPUlation, i need the exact number (<21) + (>21 which is 2.2million) = total pink ic sinkees

i tried searching the internet for datas, but they only gave me resident data (which is citizen + PR) i shall not use their data, which is not true.

So , let's deduce this number of <21years old, let's do this:
Let's divide the demographic to
Band A) age 1-20,
Band B) age 20-40
Band C) age 40-60
Band D) age 60-80.
I shall stop here , instead of adding 80-100, bcos life sexpectancy = 78 and 81 for males n females.
---> the current true statistics on pure breed pink ic, band B + C + D = 2.2million.

We assume a BEST CASE scenario (which is not true in actual), that our demographic is perfect. i mean, we have a equal % in all these age band, which is 25% band A , 25% band B, 25% band C, 25% band D.

So, the total pink ic poPOOlation = 2.2million / (3bands) x (4bands) = 2.9million.
We know that this 2.9million figure is definitely overstated because of my most lenient ASSumption above on a perfect demographic model.

So now, if the total population = 5.5million, and pure breed sinkees = 2.9million, means:
2.9million / total 5.5million = 52%??????????????????????????????????

To consider the real fact that old people constitutes a large %, and nobody wana gives birth, hence the young people in Band A is definitely lower %,

the 52% is should have been much lower, most likely 40+%...

Hence, the % of pure locals pink ic out of total poPOOlation = 40+%??????

LOL... the youngsters here still bochap that we are approaching an imminent danger of 20%local:80%foreigner, and still continue to play their iPhone and showing off their car ... LOL

Regards,

ZHU_GE_LIANG_ANALYSE_DATA
(i am not a mathematician, but i am just a logical thinking person)
 

dankos

Guest
your band A estimation of sporeans age 1 to 20 (25%) is definitely too generous. remember the government keep harping on our low fertility rate. somemore last year or what we break our own record of low fertility. also the low fertility is something we have heard for last 10 to 15 years already. hence true blue sporeans must be lesser than the 52% u calculated.

nonetheless it is a good effort from u. even at 52% is scary already.
 
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