Very good point,Hahaha...u already knew that there are criteria to qualify to stand for erection. Take it as figuratively speaking lah.
The facts are:
About 30% die hard anti-papee, u put anybody to stand they will vote for opp.
About 40% solid papee supporters, they will always vote for papee.
About 30% swing voters who will decide the outcome.
Scroobal can be die hard anti-papee who will vote for a "bicycle thief", it doesn't mean that the bicycle thief will be elected.
It also doesn't mean that he is irrational.
He is just sending a signal to papee like the other people in this group.
Pse do not argue over the fine print whether it is 30% or 28% etc.
These are just indicative figures.
The interesting point is about swing voters.
I would say the solid papee supporters is definitely more than 50% at this stage but evaporating slowly due to voters who passd away and many change to be swing voters,without solid loyalty to any party.
Looking at Taiwan,it is interesting example
President Chen of DPP won the 2000 presidential election on March 18 with 39% of the vote as a result of a split of factions within the Kuomintang,basically the country was split clearly 40-60 with very little swing voters since KMT came to Taiwan in 1949and built it up fr back water to NIC,not unlike PAP.
Then May 20, 2004,Chen narrowly won his second term with a margin of less than 30,000 votes out of 12.9 million votes counted,the vote split half way,50%-50% even after an unimprssive 4 years rule by Ah Bian
In last month municipal elections in Taiwan which was considered a precursor to 2012 presidential election ,it bacme 50% for DPP,the opposition party, only 45% for ruling KMT.
The conclusions by political observers:
Many swing voters have switched to DPP which changed its radical policy to be more moderate under new chirman Tsai Ing-Wen
after 10 years of democracy,many have now relaised that politicians are but necessary evils.
You hire and you fire as a citizen,that is the way it should be.