Many VIPs in Singapore are also MTN holder.
It could be the best deal for MTN.
Currently, I estimate that we have 5 different legal rep groups for various notesholders.
I talked to a few notesholders about Aqua Munda, representing just two legal camps. So far, both law firms will not issue any advice until the details are out. Basically, these folks agree with me that it is likely that Utico wants to buy our MTN headcounts by offering a higher payout than the bankers. Just like the way, they offer up to $1500 for retail investors with max. $3000 exposure. (up to 50% for small investors)
My legal said (off the records) that his counterparts representing bankers are not supporting Utico because Utico promised X amount but stretches the payment over a period of time. Utico's proposed payout is not higher than JM.
Assuming bankers and us get about 23% baseline, and if we swallow the $50 million from perpetuals and preference, we can get another 18% more for $265m worth MTN notes. If Aqua Munda throws in accrued interests and penalties, we are likely to get almost 50% for those with 1 lot exposure ($250,000) which is similar to perpetual and preferences. So, let's assume flat rate $120,000 to $125,000 compensation for each individual MTN holder (similar as perpetual and preference).
Moreover, Aqua Munda need not buy all our MTN votes to turn the tables, so the MTN holders with bigger exposures will get killed and suffer like those retail investors with large exposures in perpetuals and preference. As this is an off-marketing transaction, don't be surprise that Aqua Munda will pay a higher percentage for those with 1 lot or less for those with more (my speculation)
illustration -
$250,000 Exposure gets $125,000 = 50%
$500,000 Exposure gets $160,000 = 32%
$750,000 Exposure gets $180,000 = 24%
Our MTN holders have been very united and won the biased SMI voting without a fight. But now, I speculate that for the first time, Utico will be able to split our camp.