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Punggol GRC battle to save the sinking ship

I just spoke to a friend in Punggol GRC. She says Punggol voters finally have a choice in voting in a WP team. Many families in Punggol are offshoots from Houngang and Aljunied who are traditional WP voters. There's a good chance to send Gan Kim Yong who is parachuted there to be the next cannon fodder like George Yeo.

She added that voters in Punggol are unfamilar with Gan Kim Yong who suddenly appear from nowhere. Lol :D

She ended by saying she finally has a chance to vote Workers' Party. Otherwise, it's usually PAP for her.

Yes...more swing voters please!
Punggol been waiting for wp to contest there
 
The Online Citizen

The Online Citizen​


GE2025

Workers’ Party to skip Marine Parade-Braddell Heights GRC, paving way for PAP walkover​

The Workers’ Party has announced its decision to withdraw from contesting Marine Parade-Braddell Heights GRC in GE2025, citing strategic allocation of limited resources. The move results in a walkover for the People’s Action Party in the newly redrawn five-member GRC.
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23 April 2025
By The Online Citizen

Pritam-Singh-Marine.png

SINGAPORE: In a statement released on 23 April 2025, Workers’ Party Secretary-General Pritam Singh confirmed that the party will not be contesting Marine Parade-Braddell Heights GRC in the upcoming General Election.

The announcement marks a shift in strategy for the opposition party, which had contested Marine Parade GRC since the 2015 General Election.

Singh addressed voters directly, thanking them for nearly a decade of support and engagement. He said the decision was a “very difficult” one, shaped by recent electoral boundary changes and resource considerations.

“The Workers’ Party will not stand in Marine Parade-Braddell Heights GRC for these general elections,” Singh wrote. “This was a very difficult decision for us.”

He added that as a small opposition party, WP must continuously make tough choices about where to allocate its limited manpower and campaigning resources.

The new Marine Parade-Braddell Heights GRC is a reconfiguration introduced by the Electoral Boundary Review Committee for GE2025. Under the new boundaries, Joo Chiat SMC — previously absorbed into Marine Parade — has been moved to East Coast GRC.

In its place, MacPherson SMC and other estates have been drawn into the newly constituted Marine Parade-Braddell Heights GRC.

Singh noted that the party’s candidate in Joo Chiat SMC during GE2011, Yee Jenn Jong, had narrowly lost by just 388 votes.

The Workers’ Party subsequently contested Marine Parade GRC in GE2015 and GE2020.

In the most recent election in 2020, the WP secured 42.26 per cent of the vote in Marine Parade GRC, signalling a credible challenge to the incumbent People’s Action Party.

Despite this, the Workers’ Party has opted to scale back its contesting footprint in GE2025. Singh explained that the party wants to concentrate its campaign efforts in fewer constituencies to improve electoral outcomes and continue advocating for meaningful changes.

“I hope you will continue lending your support to The Workers’ Party this GE2025,” Singh appealed to voters, pledging that the party will aim to restart outreach in the GRC after the elections.

Since the 2020 General Election, WP members and volunteers had maintained ground engagement in Marine Parade. One of the 2020 candidates, Nathaniel Koh, was seen conducting a walkabout at Marine Parade Central Market and Food Centre as recently as 19 April 2025.

The withdrawal of the WP from the contest has led to an uncontested win for the PAP in the five-member GRC.

As a result, Speaker of Parliament Seah Kian Peng, Minister of State for National Development and Home Affairs Faishal Ibrahim, incumbent MacPherson MP Tin Pei Ling, and newcomers Diana Pang and Goh Pei Ming will represent the constituency in Singapore’s 15th Parliament.

The PAP had reportedly been preparing for a rematch with the WP, given the previous election’s relatively close result.
 
Tough battle. GE20 PAP only got 1 incumbent I. SK now they got 3 plus DPM in Ponggol

Ponggol similar demographic plus close proximity to SK makes it a natural playground for WP expansion.
 
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Looks like Gan Kim Yong know this is his last term, LOL. PAP this time hong kan already.

Grok AI latest updates:
--------------------------------

Context and Latest Developments *​

GE 2025, set for May 3, 2025, features 97 seats across 33 constituencies (18 GRCs, 15 SMCs), with new areas like Punggol GRC and Sembawang West SMC. In GE 2020, PAP’s voteshare was 61.24%, while WP won 10 seats (Aljunied GRC at 59.93%, Sengkang GRC, Hougang SMC). WP has introduced 14 new candidates, including senior counsel Harpreet Singh, who is contesting Punggol GRC against PAP’s Deputy Prime Minister Gan Kim Yong. Punggol GRC (123,557 voters, over 50% aged 21-45) is a high-risk seat for PAP due to WP’s momentum and Singh’s appeal. SDP targets Sembawang GRC, Marsiling-Yew Tee GRC, Bukit Panjang SMC (Paul Tambyah), and Sembawang West SMC (Chee Soon Juan). PSP focuses on Chua Chu Kang GRC and SMCs like Bukit Gombak.

Three Voteshare Scenarios for GE 2025​

Scenario 1: PAP Voteshare at 60–62% (Slight Decline, Baseline Scenario)​

  • Overall Outcome: PAP’s voteshare remains stable, reflecting trust in Wong’s leadership. WP retains Aljunied GRC (59.93% in 2020), Sengkang GRC (52.12%), and Hougang SMC (61.2%), and wins Punggol GRC with Singh’s appeal to younger voters, securing 3 GRCs and 1 SMC (13 seats). PSP might win 1 SMC (e.g., Bukit Gombak), but lacks strong GRC prospects.
  • SDP in Bukit Panjang and Sembawang West SMCs: In Bukit Panjang SMC, Tambyah (46.27% in 2020) could win with a 2–3% swing, securing 48–49% as PAP drops to 51–52%. In Sembawang West SMC, Chee faces PAP’s Poh Li San in a straight fight, but PAP likely holds at 55–57%, though Chee might narrow it to 52–53%.
  • Total Opposition Wins: WP: 3 GRCs, 1 SMC (13 seats); SDP: 1 SMC (Bukit Panjang); PSP: 1 SMC (2 seats). Opposition total: 16 seats, leaving PAP with 81 seats.

Scenario 2: PAP Voteshare at 55–58% (Moderate Decline, Opposition Surge)​

  • Overall Outcome: A 3–6% drop reflects dissatisfaction with PAP’s handling of issues like cost of living. WP secures 4 GRCs—Aljunied, Sengkang, Punggol, and possibly East Coast GRC (PAP 53.4% in 2020)—plus Hougang SMC, totaling 17 seats. PSP wins 2 SMCs (e.g., Bukit Gombak, Marymount).
  • SDP in Bukit Panjang and Sembawang West SMCs: SDP wins Bukit Panjang SMC with Tambyah at 51–53% as PAP drops to 47–49%. In Sembawang West SMC, Chee could win with 50–51%, capitalizing on voter desire for diversity. SDP might also challenge in Marsiling-Yew Tee GRC, but PAP’s Wong likely holds.
  • Total Opposition Wins: WP: 4 GRCs, 1 SMC (17 seats); SDP: 2 SMCs (2 seats); PSP: 2 SMCs (2 seats). Opposition total: 21 seats, leaving PAP with 76 seats.

Scenario 3: PAP Voteshare at 50–53% (Severe Decline, Critical Scenario)​

  • Overall Outcome: An 8–11% drop signals a major voter backlash. WP wins 5 GRCs—Aljunied, Sengkang, Punggol, East Coast, and possibly Tampines GRC (multi-cornered fight splits PAP votes)—plus Hougang SMC, totaling 21 seats. PSP secures 2–3 SMCs.
  • SDP in Bukit Panjang and Sembawang West SMCs: SDP wins Bukit Panjang SMC decisively at 53–55% and Sembawang West SMC at 52–54%. SDP might also take Marsiling-Yew Tee GRC, a symbolic upset against Wong’s team.
  • Total Opposition Wins: WP: 5 GRCs, 1 SMC (21 seats); SDP: 1 GRC, 2 SMCs (7 seats); PSP: 2–3 SMCs (2–3 seats). Opposition total: 30–31 seats, leaving PAP with 66–67 seats.

PM Lawrence Wong’s Resignation Threshold​

Wong’s acknowledgment of a 65% voteshare ceiling suggests he anticipates opposition gains. In Scenario 1 (60–62%), his position is secure, though losing Punggol GRC stings. In Scenario 2 (55–58%), pressure mounts with 21 opposition seats, but resignation is unlikely unless PAP loses key GRCs like Marsiling-Yew Tee. In Scenario 3 (50–53%), with PAP at 66–67 seats, Wong faces intense scrutiny. Historically, PAP leaders have stepped down after significant voteshare drops (e.g., Goh Chok Tong after 61% in 1991), but Wong might hold on unless the voteshare falls below 50%, risking a coalition government—a scenario he warned about in 2024.

Conclusion​

WP could win 3–5 GRCs (Punggol, Aljunied, Sengkang, possibly East Coast or Tampines) and Hougang SMC, totaling 13–21 seats. SDP and PSP might secure 3–5 SMCs, with Bukit Panjang and Sembawang West as key wins in Scenarios 2 and 3. PAP’s voteshare may drop to 50–62%, with 50–53% threatening Wong’s leadership, though resignation seems improbable above 50%. Punggol GRC, with Harpreet Singh challenging Gan Kim Yong, will be a pivotal indicator of Singapore’s shifting political landscape.
-------------------

* Grok AI updates based on real-time data and latest developments on 23/4/2025.
 
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