I trust Paul more than Mani not because Mani is totally not reliable, but it's just that I dun trust Mani's owner. I saw the clip of Mani choosing Holland over Spain. The owner was behaving very fishy. He did not put Holland's card straight but slanted and kept adjusting it while waiting for Mani to come out. It could be a hidden signal for Mani to pick Holland's card. In gambling, all hands should be off table once the dice is rolled. When I think further, I got a feeling Mani's owner himself placed huge bets for Spain to win but to increase his payout odds, he let Mani select Holland to make those undecided betters to place their bets on Holland. A very simple yet dirty ploy, dun fall for it.