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I actually agree with the CB Ellis report even though they are a property agency. Its your life and I wish you luck even though we are sure 2011 will not be a rosy year for property in Australia. 2010 will complete the recover but then what would the mortgage rates be?
The numbers dont show Australia will boom as it did in 2000-2007 but the economy will continue to expand at a rate of 3% with slightly higher inflation. You are too focused on "boom" when "boom" always comes at a cost. When inflation is mathing growth I would not call that a boom and the US is not ramping inventory so Chinese demand for resources will be subdued. Perhaps if the US of a recovers and the Chinese factories restart then its possible Australia will have a boom.
Australia will do ok in 2011, 2012, and beyond but the overall property market wont follow BUT we dont see prices decreasing just remaining stagnant once property prices recover to 2007 despite housing shortages. Rents in Australia are also raising along with rates so this will put further pressure
Just wait and see in 2011 and beyond the opportunities will be in Europe and the US of a, perhaps S America. Spain and Brazil is looking very interesting.
Good luck.
It will be interesting to see how US recover if the U-6 shows 17% unemployment.
EU structure is a drag on Europe's recovery. But UK will be in worse shape.
Spain and Ireland will not recover because of the policies in place.
How to recover when the countries have such high debt levels with the debt's collateral performing poorly.
Moreover, these countries are seeking bailouts/stimulus and more debt to keep the economies functioning.
The G2 are locked in a "beggar thy neighbours" embrace that other export-oriented countries cannot maneuver.
All those debts incurred, how are they going to repay. Is that any real growth in these countries to support repayment? No.
China is building bubbles all over the place, the property looks like it is bursting anytime. And the Commie structure will ensure that any opposition to bubble building will be given the more humane lethal injection (does the bill still go to the victim's family?).
I am pessimistic for the global recovery and that will impact bubble-boy China and as a result, Australia. Australia is currently sitting on a confidence cushion of hot air of 18 years of continuous growth and GFC luck. But the commodity curse is just round the corner. Can it avoid this curse with the blunt instrument called interest rates?