CPF in urgent need of revamp, will ultimately collapse from constant tweaking to delay payout
Most Singaporeans are aware that CPF scheme has failed. A scheme that works does not require frequent tweaks to delay payout.
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A – Post independence, Singapore needed billions to finance infrastructure and HDB construction. With unchecked powers, PAP borrowed from CPF members at self-determined rates which were below short term FD rates on numerous occasions. When total contribution rates skyrocketed to 50%, PAP wasn’t one bit concerned about increase labour costs impacting businesses.
B – In 1986, PAP bailed out employers by reducing the employer CPF rate by a whopping 15%, effectively reduced wages of average workers by 15% across the board. Retirement adequacy was never a priority, evident by SA allocation at average of 4% before the turn of the century.
In 1989 and 2000, SA allocation was reduced to only 2%. Worse, ZERO SA allocation in 1999.
The disproportionately high CPF OA allocation was intended to support high housing prices, creating an illusion of wealth. Excess CPF OA balance – currently at $137 BILLION – is converted to state reserves, very cheap 2.5% loans for GIC.
CPF scheme has been abused for 5 decades and no amount of tweaks can prevent its ultimate collapse.
Share prices of listed GLCs hit multi-decade low, economic growth follows suit
Investments can pock kai no issue to GIC, $15 billion guaranteed CPF inflow for GIC annually
GIC manages more than S$400 billion in CPF monies.
Thanks to PAP’s constant tweaking of CPF rules, GIC receives about $15 billion in net contributions annually.
Besides increase in CPF, GIC also manages additional billions in tax dollars set aside for Merdeka Generation and Pioneer Generation packages, etc.
With additional tens of billions in ‘free money’ to invest annually – no need to raise capital like real fund managers, understandably, GIC has continued to mismanage state reserves and CPF monies.
For eg, GIC has a number of investments, such as Paladin Energy, which are almost … worthless. GIC, of course, has no exit plan.
While GIC has doubled its stake in Paladin since 2013, prices have collapsed.
Likely, GIC has lost more than 95% of the investment.
Has a single investment Paladin Energy incurred hundreds of million$ in unrealised losses?
How many Paladins are there? Is this why CPF cannot be returned to members at 55? Or even 65?