My thinking is the chance of LHL holding BE at Ponggol East is 50-50
The likely date is Apr - My 2013
Voters at Ponggol East can forget about electing a new MP if BE do not held by June 2013
PAP will postpone it until 2014 and tell people that GE is near so dont need to hold BE just like they do to Anson and Geylang West in 1986
At the present monment, I do not see PM has any reason not to hold a BE
However, PAP will do all the desperate move in order not to lost this seat
The likely date is Apr - My 2013
Voters at Ponggol East can forget about electing a new MP if BE do not held by June 2013
PAP will postpone it until 2014 and tell people that GE is near so dont need to hold BE just like they do to Anson and Geylang West in 1986
At the present monment, I do not see PM has any reason not to hold a BE
However, PAP will do all the desperate move in order not to lost this seat