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Keppel and SembMarine Crashed to New Lows

makapaaa

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR>Keppel and SembMarine lose steam
</TR><!-- headline one : end --><TR>Credit fears and downgrades push shares to new lows </TR><!-- Author --><TR><TD class="padlrt8 georgia11 darkgrey bold" colSpan=2>By Lee Su Shyan, Assistant Money Editor
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<!-- START OF : div id="storytext"--><!-- more than 4 paragraphs -->MARINE giants Keppel Corp and Sembcorp Marine (SembMarine) crashed to new lows yesterday on fears that the credit crunch is making it harder for their clients to raise cash to pay for oil rigs.
Keppel Corp ended down 68 cents or 8.8 per cent at $7.04 with 16.9 million shares traded. This is its lowest point since July 2006.
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</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>SembMarine lost 21 cents to $2.75 - a level it reached in May last year - on a volume of 14.3 million shares.
The falling oil price had already made investors wary of the two firms but now there are concerns the turmoil engulfing the financial institutions is making it harder for energy firms to borrow funds for new oil rigs.
It may force some to put their expansion plans on hold or worse, go to the wall. This occurred last week when a Keppel customer incorporated in Bermuda, MPF, which makes offshore oil rigs, sought bankruptcy protection from creditors citing project cost overruns.
Keppel shares have lost about 45 per cent of their value since the start of the year, with 14 per cent being wiped off just this week alone.
Market observers believe Keppel is not insulated from the impact of the spreading financial turmoil as all its different businesses are being affected to some extent.
A recent Credit Suisse report highlighted Keppel Land's exposure to the troubled Vietnam economy where it has nine residential developments and one township. Keppel Land shed about 11.5 per cent this week.
Any slowdown in the economy will surely affect Keppel Telecommunications & Transportation, itself the subject of a sell-down. Keppel T&T lost 28.5 per cent in this week alone, although this was partly the result of key shareholders Agus Anwar and Marcel Tjia facing forced selling over their shares.
Keppel's offshore and marine business, which brings in about half its profits, will certainly feel the pinch if its customers scale back expansion plans.
Kim Eng Research recently downgraded Keppel to a hold and cut its price target to $7.65, as the tightening credit market is expected to put the squeeze on the overall offshore and marine sector.
DMG & Partners also cut its ratings on Keppel to 'hold' from 'buy,' referring to similar concerns.
Similarly, SembMarine has lost nearly a third of its market value this year and has shed about 15 per cent in the last week.
DMG analyst Serene Lim put out a 'maintain buy' recommendation on SembMarine in mid-September, but she has become less positive since the financial turmoil over the past two weeks.
Market observers said that the counters were also hit by oil falling below US$93 a barrel on worries that any United States bailout package may not be enough to maintain demand levels for crude. [email protected]
 

makapaaa

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR>BULLS AND BEARS
</TR><!-- headline one : start --><TR>Caught in a vicious circle of selldowns
</TR><!-- headline one : end --><TR>Nervous traders dump stocks, causing share prices to slide further </TR><!-- Author --><TR><TD class="padlrt8 georgia11 darkgrey bold" colSpan=2>By Goh Eng Yeow
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<!-- START OF : div id="storytext"--><!-- more than 4 paragraphs -->JITTERS over a crucial vote - which could come early today Singapore time - on a revised US$700 billion (S$1 trillion) bailout package for US financial institutions sent stocks reeling yesterday.
Even though US stock futures signalled a stronger opening on Wall Street, traders were in no mood to listen.
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</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>Many believed that next week's trading would be just as awful, whether or not the US House of Representatives approved a modified version of the rescue package they had thrown out on Monday.
'The big picture looks bleaker by the day. All sorts of worries are cropping up. Traders only want out,' said a dealer.
It was a vicious circle. Buyers were in short supply, causing jittery sellers to dump stocks at whatever prices they could fetch.
This triggered a fresh round of selling from banks which had extended loans to traders who had pledged their stocks as loan collateral and who were unable to come up with fresh funds to cope with the margin calls.
So while the global credit crunch has only touched the fringes of the rest of Singapore so far, it is sending a fresh chill down the spines of traders every day.
The selldown forced the benchmark Straits Times Index to close below the 2,300 level for the first time in 26 months. It dived 66.48 points or 2.8 per cent to close at 2,297.12. Overall market volume was only 899.89 million shares worth $1.09 billion.
Stocks worst hit by the selldown included some of the biggest listed stocks here. This is not surprising, considering that even some of the world's largest firms such as General Electric are caught up in an unseemly scramble for cash.
Take Keppel Corp, once regarded as virtually impregnable because of its fat order book for new oil rigs.
It was the biggest STI component stock loser, crashing 68 cents to $7.04, as it came under siege from margin sellers.
Fellow rig-builder SembCorp Marine was not spared either. It fell 21 cents to $2.75.
Kim Eng analyst Rohan Suppiah warned that Keppel might be affected if the global credit crunch forced drillers to defer new orders because 'banks may be unwilling to continue to finance a business that is highly capital-intensive and risky in nature'.
But his observation could well have been applied to other capital-intensive sectors such as property development and plantations where projects have a long gestation period.
So as the credit crisis unnerved traders here, City Developments dropped 36 cents to $8.01 while CapitaLand was down 10 cents at $2.94 and Keppel Land fell 14 cents to $2.61.
Palm oil giant Wilmar International was down 13 cents at $2.40, while Golden Agri Resources slipped 2.5 cents to 30.5 cents. [email protected]
 
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