Is Singapore Prepared for the inevitable PLA attack on Taiwan?

[Dr Christopher Cheok C S]

What do u expect from Fuckeins,,,,,???? That is why I am afraid the Yanks might loose more of their military secrets if the fuckeins surrender and give everything to the chicons.,....

This is not likely, it is a certainty. The only difference is how much info leaks.

 

[Dr Christopher Cheok C S]

Its seems taiwanese mei mei is good.
Hahahaha

It is like that. In Malaysian and Taiwanese societies, men are not as upright as women folks.

 

[Hypocrite-The]

This is not likely, it is a certainty. The only difference is how much info leaks.

Guess the Yanks are the loosers as they dont know how to deal with Fuckeins and Chicons

 

[Dr Christopher Cheok C S]

Guess the Yanks are the loosers as they dont know how to deal with Fuckeins and Chicons

I am a chinese but I don't trust my own race from China or Taiwan.
Taiwan wants to do business with China and USA, they want to play both sides. It is very obvious.

 

[Hypocrite-The]

I am a chinese but I don't trust my own race from China or Taiwan.
Taiwan wants to do business with China and USA, they want to play both sides. It is very obvious.

What do u expect from Fuckeins?

 

[Dr Christopher Cheok C S]

Taiwan: The New Geopolitical and Economic Flash Point
https://www.aier.org/article/taiwan-the-new-geopolitical-and-economic-flash-point/

Key Takeaways
With the escalating tensions between Taiwan, China, and everyone in between, it is clear that once Covid-19 fades out of the picture, Taiwan will be one of the next global tension points. This seems even more likely as the Biden administration announces its intentions to withdraw troops from Afghanistan and with US-China tensions at an all-time high. During the Obama administration, the US foreign policy establishment announced a “pivot to Asia,” and the reasons cannot be more clear.

Although Taiwan has always been an important US foreign policy interest for decades, current events will likely make it the most important. The island has been caught in the middle of a perfect storm of global geopolitical tension, radical economic change, and an existential ideological struggle between liberty and authoritarianism. The stakes could not be higher, as one false move could spark a devastating armed conflict between global superpowers. Failure to act sufficiently will jeopardize the future of freedom and prosperity not just in Asia but around the world.

 

[Hypocrite-The]

Taiwan says China waging economic warfare against tech sector
MediaTek chips are seen on a development board at the MediaTek booth during the 2015 Computex exhibition in Taipei, Taiwan, Jun 3, 2015. (File photo: REUTERS/Pichi Chuang)
28 Apr 2021 01:32PM
(Updated: 28 Apr 2021 01:40PM)
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TAIPEI: Taiwan's government on Wednesday (Apr 28) accused China of waging economic warfare against the island's tech sector by stealing technology and enticing away engineers, as parliament considers strengthening legislation to prevent this.
Taiwan is home to a thriving and world-leading semiconductor industry, used in everything from fighter jets to cars, and the government has long worried about China's efforts to copy that success, including by industrial espionage and other underhand methods.
Four Taiwanese lawmakers from the ruling Democratic Progressive Party are leading a proposal to amend the commercial secrets law to widen the scope of what is considered a secret and toughen penalties.
In a report to parliament about the proposed amendments, Taiwan's National Security Bureau blamed China for most cases of industrial espionage by foreign forces discovered in recent years.
"The Chinese Communists' orchestrated theft of technology from other countries poses a major threat to democracies," it said.
"The aim of the Chinese Communists' infiltration into our technology is not only about economic interests, but also has a political intention to make Taiwan poorer and weaker."
China's Taiwan Affairs Office did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Taiwan's Economy Ministry, in its report, said China was trying to boost its semiconductor industry by "poaching" Taiwanese talent "as well as obtaining our country's industry's commercial secrets, to harm the country's competitiveness".
The Cabinet has met many times to work out how to address the problem, the ministry added.
Lawmaker Ho Hsin-chun, one of the legislators who has proposed the amendments, said the need was urgent.
"The infiltration of China's red supply chain is everywhere," she told a parliament committee meeting.
It is not clear when or if the amendments could be passed into law, and the Justice Ministry in its report suggested further discussion of the wording was needed.
Hu Mu-yuan, deputy head of Taiwan's National Security Bureau, expressed broad backing for the measure.
"As long as it's helpful for our country's security and interests, we support it," he said.
Source: Reuters/ic

 

[apophylliso]

US is smart to use Taiwan as a shield. They will probably let China take Taiwan after a long draining war that see limited US involvement. They will provide weapons to Taiwan and let them fight.
They have sat on their hands during the Chinese civil war refusing to help Chiang. They will do it again.
Taiwan is just part of their island défense chain.

another stupid .,.. last time police wear short doesnt mean today police wear short.

last time taiwan is different from today taiwan.

last time usa never help jiang doesnt mean usa wont help taiwan now.

last time usa president who dun help jiang already no more...n wat abt today???

very tupid to even make a compare like this.

 

[laksaboy]

The day China attacks Taiwan is the day China gets liberated.

It also means Winnie has chosen the 'Saddam option'.

 

[blackmondy]

I travel to Taiwan twice a year for work before covid because my company got some medical accessories and supplies from there.

By and large, Taiwanese men are hypocrites, pretend to be friendly, but no value to speak of. These are not honest people, will put aside integrity for monetary gains, anytime. If US fights a war alongside with them, many taiwanese will be cowards and easily bribed by enemies and leak info. Of course there are some patriots but the ratios of traitors among them will be damn high.

Taiwanese women are much different, they treasure people who are good to them because their men disappointed them too much. In many fucked up taiwanese families, it's the women to kept the family together. Taiwanese men will find a mistress where-ever they travel for work, eg. another town, another city or another country.

This theory is proven very well in Taiwanese TV dramas. All the guys inside are fucking useless.

 

[Hypocrite-The]

This theory is proven very well in Taiwanese TV dramas. All the guys inside are fucking useless.

Wat u expect from fuckeins?

 

[blackmondy]

The day China attacks Taiwan is the day China gets liberated.

It also means Winnie has chosen the 'Saddam option'.

This defected PLA major (now in US) was betrayed by CCPee when stealing military info in Russia and was jailed several years. Hear what he has to say.

 

[sleaguepunter]

Up to the 2000s, ROC military main strategy is use their superior airpower to destroy CCP forces during assembly at start off point and mope up while crossing the straits.
Currently the main strategy become destroyed ccp forces on the beachhead while the MBTs as mobile pillboxes. That will tell the world ROC military admit they will lose air superiority in a shooting war. Which also mean the MBTs will be sitting ducks with no cover on the beach from PLAAF Air to ground missiles.
I no BS as the annual 汉光 war games are reported in Taiwan multiple news networks.

 

[Hypocrite-The]

‘Disastrous’: Reality of war with China
The chance of war with China is now almost inevitable
With only a narrow channel separating China from Taiwan, Beijing has been practising large-scale amphibious assault. Picture: eng.chinamil.com.cn/PLASource:Supplied

But the definition of ancestral territory appears to be changing rapidly. It now overlaps the “ancestral” territory of Japan, Vietnam, the Philippines, Borneo and India.

The most immediate fight, however, appears to be centred on Taiwan. This last outpost of pre-Communist China is an embarrassing thorn in Chairman Xi Jinping’s paw.

And he’s repeatedly expressed his willingness to go to war to remove it.

Now, he can.

The Pentagon’s latest threat assessment found “China has already achieved parity with – or even exceeded – the United States in several military modernisation areas, including ship building, land-based conventional ballistic and cruise missiles, and integrated air defence systems.”

Beijing agrees.

The People’s Liberation Army is capable of “substantially subduing” the US Navy in the waters around China, a Communist Party-owned newspaper boasts.

And that is where any fight to resolve Taiwan’s fate will be resolved.

A Chinese close-in weapons system (CIWS) designed to shoot down incoming missiles during recent war games. China may hold the advantage with its suite of fast, stealthy and long ranged missiles. Picture: eng.chinamil.com.cn/PLASource:Supplied

Trigger effect could lead to war

War could start in a multitude of ways.

An accident could trigger a cycle of escalation.

Fishing boats could push into “ancestral” territory, backed up by armed coast guard vessels.

An embarrassed politician may suddenly feel compelled to enforce a vague ‘red line’.

What follows would likely happen fast.

Beijing has already put its assets in place.

“China’s ‘grey zone’ strategy is designed to use fishing fleets to swarm disputed waters in the East and South China Sea, now supported by armed Chinese Coast Guard cutters leveraging their status as ‘non-combatants’ to get in close and be able to overwhelm US Navy warship sensors and defence perimeters,” former navy intelligence director James Fanell told US media.


The almost daily probes of Taiwan’s air defences would suddenly turn serious. Mock attacks will no longer be fake. Critical assets – such as radars and airfields – will immediately be targeted.

And Beijing’s new navy has been in almost a constant string of ‘live fire’ exercises for the past year. Imaginary targets could quickly be replaced by real ones.

China has been training for conflict for some time. Picture: eng.chinamil.com.cn/PLASource:Supplied

“It is very plausible to say there is no guarantee of victory in the first phases,” Lyle Goldstein, a research professor at the Naval War College’s China Maritime Studies Institute, told Newsweek.

“I think China now has adequate forces, including air, missile, electronic warfare, spec ops, naval, undersea and nuclear, to likely prevail in the first phase and perhaps in subsequent phases too.”

What could be Australia’s role?

War over Taiwan would be “disastrous”, Australia’s chief of defence General Angus Campbell told a recent gathering.

“Conflict over the island of Taiwan would be a disastrous experience for the peoples of the region, and it’s something that we should all work to avoid. There is a pathway to a future through peaceful dialogue, but it’s a hard path, and it needs to be worked.”

But, his hawkish new boss, Defence Minister Peter Dutton, says war with China should not be “discounted”.

Beijing’s response was prompt and predictable. “We hope that Australia will fully understand the high sensitivity of the Taiwan issue, adhere to our One China principle, be cautious in its words and actions, refrain from sending any wrong signals to the secessionist forces of Taiwan independence,” a foreign ministry spokesperson said.

Australia’s role in such a significant potential conflict has been the subject of intense debate in recent years.

“Failing to come to Taiwan’s aid would seriously weaken and perhaps destroy America’s position in Asia, and our alliance with America would be seriously weakened if not destroyed if we failed to support the US. But it doesn’t follow that either America or Australia should therefore go to war with China to defend Taiwan,” Professor Hugh White noted in 2019.

“I think it’s clear that Australia would be better off staying out of it. Iraq should have taught us that it makes no sense to support an ally in a war it can’t win, and the stakes are much higher this time.”

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) analyst Dr Malcolm Davis disagrees.

“Principles matter,” he writes. “As Australia enjoys all the benefits of a free and open society in a stable and functioning democracy, our principles and values must extend to supporting the survival of Taiwan.”

But is Taiwan’s fate any of our business, as Beijing insists it isn’t?

“To accept that argument as policy would mark the end of our strategic alliance with the US, leaving us more exposed to Chinese coercive pressure and political warfare, or even a direct military threat,” Dr Davis says.

Opening moves

Former defence minister, Christopher Pyne, told an audience in Adelaide that Taiwan was the “most likely next flashpoint in the region”.

“[A war is] something that you and I may well have to confront in the next five to 10 years,” he said.

At least initially, the bulk of any such conflict would be at sea.

And Australia could be fighting for its survival.

Australia is especially exposed. Despite decades of warnings, our fuel refineries continue to close. No emergency stockpiles have been established onshore. We don’t own cargo ships to force vital supplies through any blockade.

While they have been given the designation ‘destroyer’, Australia’s new dedicated air warfare vessels have the lesser firepower of frigates. Picture: ADFSource:Supplied

Such concerns must be overcome before any aid can be offered to our allies.

And Beijing has the advantage of geography.

Taiwan is much closer to China than the United States. And a mountain range makes it hard to reinforce via its eastern shores.

China’s airfields, naval ports and missile bases are all nearby. The US must operate from a few exposed facilities such as Okinawa and Guam. Its military planners already expect these to be overwhelmed by missiles in the opening hours of any conflict.

That leaves its navy as its primary fighting force.

But it is already outnumbered. And doesn’t have the necessary reach.

“Beyond out-producing the US Navy in the number of warships at a rate of four to one, the PLA Strategic Rocket Force has put US aircraft carriers at risk with the fielding of the DF-21D and DF-26 anti-carrier ballistic missiles,” Mr Fanell said.

Modern warships carry only a limited number of weapons. Vertical launch systems (VLS) are the modern-day equivalent of the World War II-era big gun. China’s new Type-055 “destroyers” can carry 112 large missiles. The US Arleigh Burke-class “destroyers” hold 96. Australia’s “Air Warfare Destroyers” pack just 42. And they cannot be rearmed at sea.

Australia’s Air Warfare Destroyers carry just 42 missile cells capable of defending the ships under its protection. Modern Chinese destroyers carry 112. Picture: ADFSource:Supplied

This means any idea of sustained operations within the Pacific-spanning reach of China’s ballistic and cruise missiles is likely optimistic. And that makes the kind of island-hopping campaign used by the US to take back the Pacific from Japan in World War II no longer feasible.

Tyranny of distance

Earlier this month, the United States Air Force staged a demonstration involving four heavily armed F-16 fighters. These flew out of Japan and down the east coast of Taiwan to operate near the USS Theodore Roosevelt carrier battle group – and the Chinese Liaoning.

But it took four vulnerable tanker aircraft to ‘carry’ them over that 6000km round trip. An F-16’s normal operational radius is usually about 600km.

It’s a problem long recognised by defence analysts and planners.

Modern aircraft – particularly the F-35 stealth fighters in Australia’s arsenal – need tender loving care. That means large paved airfields, humidity-controlled hangars and AI-enhanced maintenance equipment.

Those are easy targets. Especially without comprehensive and numerous missile defence systems.

And given Beijing’s singular focus on finding a way to sink US-style aircraft carriers, their capacity to carry combat aircraft into effective range has been dramatically curtailed. Even with robotic flying tanker support, these enormous ships must operate dangerously close to an enemy before their F-18 “Super Hornets” and F-35B&C “Lightnings” are of any use.

Chinese marines practise an armed beach assault. Picture: eng.chinamil.com.cn/PLASource:Supplied

And that’s precisely the same vulnerability that saw obsolete battleships sent to the bottom so quickly during World War II.

Beijing’s tactic of “area denial” already appears to have been effective.

Its artificial island fortresses are unsinkable outposts. And each one would require a heavy investment of equipment and lives to neutralise – if they could be reached in the first place.

Which is why Dr Davis argues any conflict would likely focus on two strategic waterways – the Bashi Channel and Miyako Strait – that guard the China Seas.

Strategic objectives

“Chinese strategists see these passages as crucial to their ability to deploy forces beyond the first island chain,” analyst Ben Lowsen told The Diplomat. “Some strategists even use an east-facing map with China at the bottom to show China as being encircled and needing to break out.”

The Bashi Channel connects the South China Sea with the Pacific Ocean. It runs between the Philippines and Taiwan.

The Miyako Strait connects the East China Sea with the Pacific Ocean. It runs between the Japanese islands of Mikako and Okinawa.

These waterways could be used to “bottle up” Chinese forces. Which is why Beijing would be so determined to secure them.

And Taiwan – sitting neatly between the two – offers that opportunity.

“From Taiwan, the PLA could also pivot south, effectively enveloping the Philippines and giving Beijing easier access to the resource-rich Benham Rise,” Dr Davis writes. “Chinese control of Taiwan would also strengthen Beijing’s ability to control the South China Sea by blocking the Luzon Strait and the Balintang and Babuyan channels…

“Control of Taiwan would make it easier for the PLA to reach Guam using long-range missiles and air power, extending its anti-access capabilities beyond the first island chain.”

And that would leave Australia’s critical fuel supply links to Singapore desperately exposed.

Reinforcing Taiwan would likely involve long and bloody battles at sea as underarmed escorts struggle to protect the few – but highly vulnerable – available transports. Western submarines will play a role in restraining China’s surface fleet. But its own submarines, combined with air and land launched missiles, could present an almost constant threat.

In such a scenario, any Australian task force centred on its largely undefended troop transports and limited warship escorts would be under extreme risk. They would be forced to operate as part of a much greater allied unit.

“America’s military power is very great, but China’s military power, and especially its capacity to deny its air and sea approaches to US forces, has grown sharply, and is now formidable,” Professor White warned.

Jamie Seidel is a freelance writer | @JamieSeidel

 

[Dr Christopher Cheok C S]