"The 20-year total shareholder return (TSR), which is a measure of portfolio performance over a 20-year period, fell from 9 per cent to 7 per cent.
The 10-year TSR stayed at 6 per cent, while the one-year TSR reversed into a gain of 1.6 per cent from minus 5.07 per cent in 2023."
This is under-performance when the stock markets are delivering higher returns and private equity are delivering double-digit returns.
So how much was Ho Ching paid, and how much are the senior management and investment managers paid?
Temasek sees investment opportunities in India, South-east Asia amid geopolitical shifts
Temasek International deputy chief executive officer Chia Song Hwee (second from right) speaking at the Temasek Review on July 9. ST PHOTO: GIN TAY
Chor Khieng Yuit
Senior Business Correspondent
Jul 10, 2024
SINGAPORE - Temasek has been paying a lot more attention to emerging investment opportunities and potential risks to its portfolio, as a result of geopolitical shifts and tensions over the past five years.
“For every new investment that we look at, we have to look at any geopolitical events that will affect that particular asset. Then we do our risk assessment. If there is something that we feel uncomfortable about, we will not do it,” the investment firm’s deputy chief executive Chia Song Hwee said.
There has been tighter scrutiny on foreign investments in sectors crucial to national security in many countries worldwide. Therefore, Temasek must be selective over where it invests, Mr Chia said.
India, where Prime Minister Narendra Modi
recently won a third term in office by a narrow margin, is one country in which Temasek sees investment opportunities despite recent geopolitical shifts.
In the 2024 financial year (FY), Temasek’s portfolio exposure to India grew to 7 per cent, from 6 per cent in FY2023.
Mr Alpin Mehta, head of real estate and deputy head of private equity fund investments at Temasek, said that with Mr Modi back in power, “the focus will be on fiscal consolidation, to increase spending on infrastructure and the green transition in India and to continue the privatisation that has been happening”.
Opportunities are also emerging in sectors including financial services, life sciences, technology, consumer and healthcare in India, said Mr Mehta.
Some of Temasek’s investments in the country are
Manipal Healthcare Services, a healthcare provider in the private sector; and Mahindra Electric, an electric vehicle manufacturer.
Ms Connie Chan, Temasek’s head of financial services, added that there is a very large and growing middle-income population in India, with private consumption now accounting for about 50 per cent to 60 per cent of the country’s gross domestic product.
Indian banks are a proxy for the macro economy, she said, adding that there are also opportunities in other areas of financial services, such as insurance, where people can now afford insurance policies as they become more affluent.
Mr Chia said Temasek remains committed to China and continues to look for investment opportunities there.
This is despite concerns that a win by Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump during the US election in November could herald a new era of tariffs and US-China tensions.
To guard its portfolio against geopolitical risks, Temasek invests on the assumption that the strategic competition between the US and China is not going away, Mr Chia said.
For example, it is staying out of areas that could potentially feel the impact of strained ties between the two biggest economies in the world. Instead, it will focus on Chinese companies that rely on domestic demand.
He added that some sectors that Temasek will invest in include biotechnology, robotics and local Chinese companies that stand to benefit from the move to replace imports with domestic production. Recently, the investment company has also devoted more attention to the electric vehicle value chain.
In FY2024, Temasek’s exposure to China dropped to 19 per cent of its overall portfolio, from 22 per cent in FY2023.
Ms Png Chin Yee, chief financial officer at Temasek, said that most of the decline was due to a fall in the market value of its investments in China.
She added that a closer look at the operating results of its Chinese portfolio companies showed they still have good earnings growth.
However, because the market has assigned a lower value to these earnings, that has impacted Temasek’s returns and portfolio performance over the last few years, Ms Png said.
Ms Chan noted that Temasek has been reshaping its portfolio in China over the past 20 years.
“When we first invested in China, it was really through the banks, because that was one of the only ways back then that you can actually invest in the market.
“As the economy developed, there were other opportunities, and we took advantage of that to diversify our holdings into the Chinese internet companies like Alibaba, Tencent and Baidu.”
As a whole, Temasek recorded an improvement in its net portfolio value to $389 billion in FY2024, following a drop in the previous financial year.
The 20-year total shareholder return (TSR), which is a measure of portfolio performance over a 20-year period, fell from 9 per cent to 7 per cent.
The drop was because 2024’s figure excluded the strong recovery period post-Sars in 2004, when the 20-year TSR surged 20 per cent.
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The 10-year TSR stayed at 6 per cent, while the one-year TSR reversed into a gain of 1.6 per cent from minus 5.07 per cent in 2023.
Currently, the bulk of Temasek’s underlying assets (65 per cent) are in the Asia-Pacific, with Singapore accounting for 27 per cent.
That is followed by the US, with 22 per cent of its underlying assets, and the Europe, Middle East and Africa region with 13 per cent.
Mr Mehta said Temasek is scaling up its exposure to South-east Asia and Japan.
The South-east Asia region is set to benefit from domestic demand, a recovery in the global manufacturing cycle and an upswing in tourism, he added.
The region is also well positioned to capture investment flows as companies move to diversify their supply chains or look for alternative manufacturing locations outside China.
Temasek’s exposure to Japan is still relatively small compared with its investments in other markets, with 1 per cent of its underlying assets in the country.
Mr Mehta said logistics and data centres are poised to ride on the huge demand for e-commerce in Japan.
“There is a lot of scope for development of new-age logistics,” he said.