How can Elections Department achieve 100 percent accuracy in result forecast?

[winnipegjets]

That's the question the Elections Department need to answer. Based on sample votes, it was able to predict with 100 percent accuracy the outcome of ALL the contested seats. How did they do it?

It is NOT possible. That's why we smell a rat.

 

[Rogue Trader]

No rat lah. The sampling method gave a good indicator of the result. Oppo lost. Pappie won. That's what sinkies voted for and that's what we all have to live with for the next 5 years. Deal with it.

 

[halsey02]

That's the question the Elections Department need to answer. Based on sample votes, it was able to predict with 100 percent accuracy the outcome of ALL the contested seats. How did they do it?

It is NOT possible. That's why we smell a rat.

It is magic.......you have money, lots of money...anything is possible..it is magic!...what to do? we have to suffer & deal with it for another 5 years & hope that Divine Providence will punish those sinners...

 

[mojito]

That one is A lebel maths leh bro.

 

[adultstem]

One sure way to know that there is no rigging is to let the alternative parties run the elections from delineation exercises to counting of ballots.

Or at least include them in the Election Dept activities like - counting of ballots, accompanying the ballots, etc

 

[Papsmearer]

the result between the sampling and the final should be a few percent off. You are saying its exact, down to the decimal points? Wow, that is really something wrong.

 

[tanwahtiu]

super high tech technology, bro.

one day some developers will crack the code/ hacked the system and all you hv to do is pay for it.

You hire military officers to win wars and this is the war they have to win. Not happy, next they will bring in their guns and barrels. Later the developers will be killed to stop the spread.

the result between the sampling and the final should be a few percent off. You are saying its exact, down to the decimal points? Wow, that is really something wrong.

 

[tanwahp]

Sample counts are taken from counting centres like the final results, that's why they are more accurate. It's all over TV, some fake "opposition supporters" just need to open their eyes and brains, that's all.

 

[yellowarse]

That's the question the Elections Department need to answer. Based on sample votes, it was able to predict with 100 percent accuracy the outcome of ALL the contested seats. How did they do it?

It is NOT possible. That's why we smell a rat.

I was an opposition counting agent at one of the counting centres. The counting process was above-board.

The ballot boxes from 5 polling centres were brought here and respectively placed at 5 tables. The ballot papers from each box were emptied onto the tables and mixed together. 100 ballot papers were randomly selected from each table and counted, i.e. 500 voting slips in all. Total number of voting slips for this counting centre was about 12,000.

For a 5% margin of error at 95% confidence level, you'd need a sample size of 373 for a population of 12,000. The sample size of 500 more than meets this criteria.

As a matter of interest, the actual vote percentage obtained at my counting centre after tallying all votes differed from the sample count (500 votes by 3%, still within the 5% error allowed.

 

[Scrooball (clone)]

That's why it's not wrong to say Oppo supporters are lowly educated. Can't even understand simple sampling theory!

 

[soIsee]

That's why it's not wrong to say Oppo supporters are lowly educated. Can't even understand simple sampling theory!

You expect losers here to even pass their basic Maths while they were in schools then?

Let alone know...what is sampling methods, 95% uncertainty, probability etc etc

All they keep blaring day in day out is...

PAP cheated!

If all of them were rounded up and placed in IMH...PAP would need to build at least 4 similar sized institution, to house them all!LoLoLoL