GE2025 - map is out

[joemartini]

 

[Robert Half]

97 seats for you

 

[tobelightlight]

Dr chee seat no more? How can u anyhow change be boundaries to their advantage. Sinkies..stand up and go against such an unfair practices.. u got balls and brains?

 

[50000]

why dont have Katong-Mumbai SMC or Siglap-Chennai SMC for the new citizens?

 

[VanDick]

This shows that the pappies are really shaking in their pants. More new GRCs also mean that there will be even more jiak liao bee idiots entering through the backdoor. 70% dumb sinkies will help expedite this backdoor orgy.

 

[sbfuncle]

Means another new 31 jlbs?

 

[sbfuncle]

Oh so is a reshuffling of some jlbs and add some new jlbs.
Everyday I'm shuffling. Party rock anthem

 

[laksaboy]

Look at them splitting up Jurong into so many pieces.

 

[Aaron carter]

Thread 'PAP is struggling and they know the ground is against them.'

Feb 3, 2025

"This will be the 1st time in my adult life that a PAP government has gone the full distance of 5 years.In the past,the PAP have gone to elections usually at the 4 year mark or even earlier.

When governments go the full distance,it is a tell-tale sign that they are struggling and the ground is against them.They hope against hope that the tide will somehow turn in their favour, but history teaches us that never happens."

https://shortto.link/LE

• Taylorshit
• Replies: 95
• Forum: The Courtyard Café

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[CoffeeAhSoh]

.

 

[CoffeeAhSoh]

 

[CoffeeAhSoh]

97 seats for you

Not possible .

Lets hear from DeepSeek :


In Singapore's political landscape, the ruling People's Action Party (PAP) has historically dominated elections, often securing a significant majority of parliamentary seats and a substantial share of the popular vote. However, predicting exact vote shares, such as 70/30 in favor of the ruling party, is speculative and depends on numerous factors, including public sentiment, opposition strength, and specific electoral dynamics.

### Key Considerations:
1. **Historical Trends**:
- In recent elections, the PAP has consistently won around 60-70% of the popular vote. For example:
- GE2020: PAP won 61.24% of the popular vote.
- GE2015: PAP won 69.86% of the popular vote.
- Opposition parties, such as the Workers' Party (WP) and Progress Singapore Party (PSP), have gained ground in certain constituencies but remain limited in their overall share of the popular vote.

2. **Electoral Boundaries**:
- If the electoral boundaries for GE2025 are perceived to favor the PAP (e.g., by splitting opposition strongholds or concentrating opposition voters in fewer constituencies), it could impact the distribution of votes and seats.
- However, boundary changes alone may not drastically alter the overall popular vote share, as they primarily affect seat allocation rather than nationwide voter preferences.

3. **Public Sentiment**:
- Issues like cost of living, housing, immigration, and governance will influence voter behavior.
- If the opposition can effectively rally support around these issues, they may increase their popular vote share, though likely not enough to challenge the PAP's dominance.

4. **Opposition Strength**:
- The opposition's ability to present credible candidates and coherent policies will be crucial.
- In GE2020, the Workers' Party made significant gains, winning 10 seats (the most by any opposition party since independence). If they can build on this momentum, they may further increase their vote share.

### Likely Popular Vote Prediction:
- A 70/30 split in favor of the PAP is plausible based on historical trends, but it could shift slightly depending on the factors mentioned above.
- The PAP's share might range between 60-70%, while the opposition could secure 30-40%, with the Workers' Party likely being the largest beneficiary.

### Seat Allocation vs. Popular Vote:
- Due to Singapore's first-past-the-post electoral system and boundary adjustments, the PAP is likely to win a disproportionate number of seats compared to its popular vote share. For example, in GE2020, the PAP won 83 out of 93 seats (89%) with 61.24% of the popular vote.

In summary, while the PAP is expected to retain a significant majority of the popular vote, the exact split will depend on how effectively the opposition mobilizes support and addresses voter concerns. A 70/30 prediction in favor of the PAP is reasonable but not guaranteed.

 

[Robert Half]

This GE .. I dun know whether the nationwide popular vote will swing in favour of the ruling party or opposition parties

 

[jw5]

Look at them splitting up Jurong into so many pieces.

All this effort to protect Murali from CSJ.

 

[duluxe]

PSP's hope of winning west coast grc is gone......

 

[laksaboy]

All this effort to protect Murali from CSJ.

And partly to protect Desmond as he replaces Iswaran in West Coast.

 

[jw5]

And partly to protect Desmond as he replaces Iswaran in West Coast.

How is Desmond being protected? Isn't West Coast GRC still a 5 man GRC as before?

In Murali's case, he now has Grace Fu and Amy Khor to protect him.......................................... then again, maybe he is protecting them.

 

[CoffeeAhSoh]

 

[Charlie99]

.
View attachment 216124

PSP's comments is more logical than EBRC's redrawing of the boundaries.
They should leave the SMCs to continue as is.

 

[laksaboy]

How is Desmond being protected? Isn't West Coast GRC still a 5 man GRC as before?

In Murali's case, he now has Grace Fu and Amy Khor to protect him.......................................... then again, maybe he is protecting them.

Iswaran has endeared himself to many West Coast folks.

Desmond has a following in the Jurong West area.