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Excellent Article On The BIGGEST Minibomb Fraud in History!

makapaaa

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=msghead><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR class=msghead><TD class=msgF noWrap align=right width="1%">From: </TD><TD class=msgFname noWrap width="68%">WisestSage <NOBR></NOBR></TD><TD class=msgDate noWrap align=right width="30%">Oct-31 2:49 pm </TD></TR><TR class=msghead><TD class=msgT noWrap align=right width="1%" height=20>To: </TD><TD class=msgTname noWrap width="68%">ALL <NOBR></NOBR></TD><TD class=msgNum noWrap align=right></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD class=msgleft width="1%" rowSpan=4></TD><TD class=wintiny noWrap align=right>11329.1 </TD></TR><TR><TD height=8></TD></TR><TR><TD class=msgtxt>In recent months when the subprime-related securities trigger the collapse of Lehman Brothers, many Asians, including Singaporeans, got their fingers burnt. Some 10,000 Singaporeans have lost $500 million in their investments in Minibonds, DBS High Notes, Jubilee Notes, and Pinnacle Notes, some of them becoming worthless overnight.
Asians have a reputation of saving habits as they need to save for the old age while most Asian countries do not have social welfare safety net. They inevitably become the victims of the structured products which have been marketed by the greedy bankers and the Wall Street crooks from the west.
How come only Asians from Hong Kong, Singapore, and Taiwan are hardest hit by Minibonds, DBS High Notes, Jubilee Notes, and Pinnacle Notes, but none of the western countries is affected?
Let me explain why the situation is so dire and dangerous.

When the financial shits hit the ceiling fan, I was hoping that the so-called leading economics and financial commentators and opinion makers would explain the situation to the public via the national dailies, the blogs and the TV network. I came across not one article or broadcast that explains the underlying reasons for the inevitable dire consequences.

Sure there were articles on the crisis, but they were merely describing the rescue of the largest insurance company in the USA (A.I.G.) if not the world and the amount involved. No explanation whatsoever, as to why only a few days earlier the Fed and the Treasury allowed the 4th largest investment bank, Lehman Bros to fold up but rushed in to rescue AIG with an unprecedented US$ 85 billion.

In my various articles published previously, I explained in great detail the corruption within the global banking system and how these financial leeches through fraud and political protection created and amassed a global financial fortune in excess of US$500 Trillion.

Let me assure you that this is not a typo error. You got it right. It is not billions but a whopping US$500 trillion. I have been advised that as of the Q2 of 2008, the figure may have reached US$565 trillion.

This is a complex subject but I shall endeavour to make it as simple as I can.

Starting Point

The Ponzi Scheme

The crux of the fraudulent Ponzi scheme is the twin pillars of:

1) Fannie Mae & Freddie Mc – the two giant mortgage corporations of USA

2) The Derivative financial tool known as Credit Default Swap (CDS)

Once you have a grasp of these two concepts, you cannot but agree that we are facing total global banking collapse. Why? Because the entire global banking system has been built on these two financial pillars! But the system became irreparable in the last 7 years when CDS became the linchpin in the massive expansion of derivative trading and financial engineering.
The Mechanics

1. Banks became greedy and were unwilling to earn safe and steady profits from mortgages for housing and commercial properties which usually spread over a period of between 5 to 30 years.

2. Banks wanted massive profits in the shortest period of time and the ability to lend massive amounts and not be regulated as to how to do it.

3. The crooks devised a scheme. It was a simple idea.

4. Banks will provide mortgages to all and sundry.

5. I am going to use a simple example and using small numbers to illustrate for ease of calculation. Thus, assuming the Bank gave out US$1 million to finance mortgages, bearing interest at 10%.

6. The bank then sold the mortgages to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac at a discount. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac being Government Sponsored Companies (GSCs) are able to get cheap financing to purchase these mortgages as they were assumed to be “guaranteed by the US Government”.

7. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac then package these mortgages into all sorts of structured financial products and these were sold to investors (private as well governments). Central Banks hold massive amounts of dollar reserves and they need to find a safe haven for them. Hence, and invariably, Central Banks invest their reserves in US Treasuries and financial “mortgage-backed" products issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as well as other US financial institutions.

8. With the payment of US$ 1 million by Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac, the bank by law, can lend ten times the amount after keeping 10% reserves i.e.US$100,000. Therefore, the bank can lend US$9 million by “creating money out of thin air” i.e. by crediting the borrowers in their loan accounts in amount of the loans extended. These US$9 million loans secured by mortgages are then sold to Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac again.

The cycle keeps repeating and the banks keep creating more and more loans.

It was so easy that the banks decided to create dubious loans called “Liars Loans” whereby the borrower need not state the actual income and or ability to repay.

9. As more and more of these loans were created, investors (government and private) demanded assurances that these loans were good for investments. The rating agencies (e.g. Moodys, Standard & Poor and itch etc.) who in collusion with banks, gave AAA ratings to what were essentially junks. This fraud led investors to believe that these financial products were good investments.

10. The rating agencies were only too aware that this scheme needed something more concrete to prolong the fraud and induce the investors to part with their monies.

11. The insurance companies like A.I.G. came into the picture. They were seduced by the idea that if they can insure against risks of accidents, storms etc., they could also insure risks against default by the mortgage holders. Thus was born the financial innovation – Credit Default Swap (CDS). Any financial product with a sound CDS would be rated AAA. It was as good as being guaranteed by Uncle Sam. Assholes the world over, especially central banks, fell for it – hook, line and sinker.

12. The scheme works out like this – AIG sells protection – i.e. in the event there is a default, AIG will pay out to the buyer who buys the protection (the CDS) in exchange for the payment of premiums covering the period of protection not unlike your usual insurance policy. It was easy money for everyone.

The banks get to sell their loans and have the liquidity to create more loans.

Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac and other financial institutions get the opportunity to repackage these loans / mortgages and sells them to investors with a tidy profit.

The investors are happy with their so-called guaranteed returns. The insurance companies, investment banks and other players get their premium income for selling protection. It was old fashion mafia loan sharking and protection business dressed up in modern financial jargon and everyone was too arrogant and greedy to see through the fraud.

13. When loans default and continue to be delinquent, the law (depending on each country) provides that if the loan is in default for 90 days or more, it should be declared a Non-Performing Loan (NPL) and banks must provide reserve to cover the loss.

14. What happened was banks were covering the defaults and kept them on the books for two years or more in the hope that no one would be wiser and interest income from new loans would cover the defaulted old loans – the classic ponzi modus operandi.

15. When the two years default reached critical proportions starting with the sub-prime loans, the fraud began to unravel. Investors began demanding their protection money for the losses arising from these defaults. It has been estimated that the market value of the CDS was in excess of US$60 trillion but the capital of the insurance companies like AIG are only in the billions. It is therefore a physical impossibility to make good the demand for payment for the defaults.




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makapaaa

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
16. If AIG the No. 1 insurer in US and the world is in default, it means the rest are in deep shits. You can take it as a given that no one and no one has good coverage and protection anymore.

17. When there is no coverage and protection, how can there be AAA ratings for new issues of such financial products? Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac etc. cannot package these products for sale to investors and if they cannot sell, they will have no funds to buy more dubious mortgages from corrupt and fraudulent Wall Street banks. With no additional funds, these crooks in JP Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Lehman Bros., Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Bank of America, UBS, Barclays, HSBC, Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse, etc. will have difficulty extending new loans.

The “Musical Money Chair” will have to come to a complete halt. The entire system gets into a gridlock.

Given the above explanation, can the US government and the Fed continue to bail out banks and other financial institutions? When US is in deficit in both the budget and current accounts, where else can they get the extra monies except by creating out of thin air (virtually by keying digits into computers) or print more dollars.

If you are a sovereign lender or a private hedge fund, knowing the situation, would you lend more monies to the US Treasury knowing that each dollar issued (whether digitally or in printed notes) are not worth the value stated therein.

These dollars ARE NO BETTER THAN TOILET PAPER.

When the Asian investors become the insurers of the structured products like Minibonds, you know why they have been conned. It is inevitanle that they would lose their pants through the investments in structured products like Minibonds, DBS High Notes, Jubilee Notes, and Pinnacle Notes.
Have you wondered why MAS and other financial regulators allow these structured products to be marketed to the naive general public? If they are not sleeping on their jobs, what are they doing all day long?
 

Glaringly

Alfrescian (InfP) [Comp]
Generous Asset
Ok, understand the base of all this, is a ponzi scheme.

Say, a bank with 1 million can generate 1 billion in loans to 1000 customers of 1 million each.

What I find it hard to grab is, if these customers walk out of their 1 million loan, isn't the asset of 1 million still there? And can ultimately be re-coup by selling it?

How does these money vanish into thin air? Anyone care to explain?
 

War Criminal

Alfrescian
Loyal
You lend each one 1mil on paper, but for every default you lose 1 million. Thats why banks of course choose the right customers to lend to (low default risk) usually (not for the sub-prime crisis though). Of course 1000 customers is an exaggeration also.

This article I think part of it is from newsweek magazine.

Generally its this financial crisis is no longer about the sub prime but about the CDS. 500 trillion is alot of money to just disappear. And its all e-money too. Easy come easy go.
 

scroobal

Alfrescian
Loyal
In recent months when the subprime-related securities trigger the collapse of Lehman Brothers, many Asians, including Singaporeans, got their fingers burnt. Some 10,000 Singaporeans have lost $500 million in their investments in Minibonds, DBS High Notes, Jubilee Notes, and Pinnacle Notes, some of them becoming worthless overnight.
Asians have a reputation of saving habits as they need to save for the old age while most Asian countries do not have social welfare safety net. They inevitably become the victims of the structured products which have been marketed by the greedy bankers and the Wall Street crooks from the west.
How come only Asians from Hong Kong, Singapore, and Taiwan are hardest hit by Minibonds, DBS High Notes, Jubilee Notes, and Pinnacle Notes, but none of the western countries is affected?
Let me explain why the situation is so dire and dangerous.

When the financial shits hit the ceiling fan, I was hoping that the so-called leading economics and financial commentators and opinion makers would explain the situation to the public via the national dailies, the blogs and the TV network. I came across not one article or broadcast that explains the underlying reasons for the inevitable dire consequences.

Sure there were articles on the crisis, but they were merely describing the rescue of the largest insurance company in the USA (A.I.G.) if not the world and the amount involved. No explanation whatsoever, as to why only a few days earlier the Fed and the Treasury allowed the 4th largest investment bank, Lehman Bros to fold up but rushed in to rescue AIG with an unprecedented US$ 85 billion.

In my various articles published previously, I explained in great detail the corruption within the global banking system and how these financial leeches through fraud and political protection created and amassed a global financial fortune in excess of US$500 Trillion.

Let me assure you that this is not a typo error. You got it right. It is not billions but a whopping US$500 trillion. I have been advised that as of the Q2 of 2008, the figure may have reached US$565 trillion.

This is a complex subject but I shall endeavour to make it as simple as I can.

Starting Point

The Ponzi Scheme

The crux of the fraudulent Ponzi scheme is the twin pillars of:

1) Fannie Mae & Freddie Mc – the two giant mortgage corporations of USA

2) The Derivative financial tool known as Credit Default Swap (CDS)

This is rubbish.
 

scroobal

Alfrescian
Loyal
This is rubbish.

  1. Sub-prime market emerges. Banks cannot get involved in the sub-prime space because of regulatory requirement for despoit banks and their traditional risk model that allow them to play only in the A & B prime segments but not the C & D sub-prime segments.
  2. Financial companies not banks undertake loan risk for the C & D segments [sub-prime].Not governed by Central Banks
  3. Financial companies [Fincos] start servicing the california real estate market. Funds obtain via issuing of commercial notes with a tenure of 270 days and requires roll-over if not securtised.
  4. Biggest fincos are Countrywide, WMC who are mortgage originators working with brokers in-house and external who begin to provide loans on stated income known as liar's loan as no income verification takes place.
  5. Contracted loans are then securitised by off loading to the Investment Banks which do not have same regulations as deposit taking banks. Ratings agencies step in to grade packages that are bundled with prime and sub-prime loans. Grading is then given to packages, packages are unitised and sold to wealthy investors, financial companies and Banks. Some end with up Tan Kin Lian's favorite people.
  6. Everything is hunky dory as the california real estate is on upwards trends since the last bust in the 80s and rest of US follows. Any default is covered by rising house prices over original valuation and defaulting homeowners actually get some money back.
  7. Economy is on a roll, slight hiccup with dot.com in the 90s when t-shirt clad nerds realise that not everyone can be Bill. Greenspan starts to move closer to Jesus and Mohammed and knows no wrong
  8. Supply of houses begin to outstrip demand in Arnold's patch. Rest of the country shows similar symptoms. Negative equity becomes a looming reality and the rest of world finds out that these are non-recourse loans unlike mortagages in most countries like Singapore and OZ.
  9. Securtised loans known as CDOs are thrown back to originators when they default , investment banks still cool until they realise that originators are no longer solvent, nable to handle the throwback. Panic sets in
  10. Bears & Stern slides, CEO of Standard & Poor sacked as a result of complaint by EU. So much for Women leading businessess.
  11. Then we find out that insurance were also in the party by issuing credit default swaps which is akin to selling a guarantee to Liberace that he won't die.
  12. Loss of confidence in the capiltal markets as bank fear lending to each other as they have no idea how much is the exposure to CDO and related instruments. Commercial Paper disappears since its first appearence in 1952.
  13. Liquidity dries up completely. Central Banks around the world begin relentless cash injections. Effort fail.
  14. Key is the US and Paulson launches plan with no details. Congress wavers, markets beging to plunge
  15. Congress passes bill, signs of backstop emerges, second effort of funding by central banks begins.
  16. Commercial Paper Funding Facility by Fed commences on 27th Oct, markets beging a slow and erratic climb
  17. Some prick with no background in finance comes with a set of rubbish on what happenned.
 

Glaringly

Alfrescian (InfP) [Comp]
Generous Asset
Scroobal,

Thanks for the explanation in layman terms, now I have a clearer picture. Although I am still muddle about how the losses amount to trillions as suggested from prime source.

Base on the property examples, my simple analogy is that.

1. Property ( say average US$0.3M with furnishing ) in 1985 could double to 0.6 million in 2008?
2. Investment bank if repossess these properties would be sold at a loss of 0.3M.
3. So it will take 3 million defaulters to chalk up 1 trillion in losses.

Ok, granted the sub-prime is not just real estate only. In the worst case scenario, it is available through easy cash and lend to punters ( speculators in stock )? Then of course the losses are conceivable.
 

scroobal

Alfrescian
Loyal
Scroobal,

Thanks for the explanation in layman terms, now I have a clearer picture. Although I am still muddle about how the losses amount to trillions as suggested from prime source.

I will use breast cancer as an analogy for sub-prime. That cancer has spread to the liver and spine which was perfectly normal and now the whole body is in terminal mode. Treatment was too late and nobody expected that it will spread so rapidly.

When real estate slides, the first to get hit are sub-prime followed by prime and all home owners. Northern rock and Washington mutual collapsed as they were heavy into the mortgage business and their margins were thin. Investment banks got screwed because they were sitting on the instruments and their main income from packaging loans and unitising disappeared.

There are a number of ponds that people fish for loans. There is the banking ponds where loans are possbile because ah pek keeps his savings and fd in the bank.

There is the moneylender pond where chettiars and the like play.

There is the central bank pond where banks borrow to tide them over

Then there is a capital market pond where very rich people, big and small businesses throw their excess cash for short term- max 270 days for others to take up as loans. Those who want to borrow issue commercial notes [iou] for up to 270 days. When the sub-prime crunch happenned, the usual lenders panicked and refused to provide funding. This pond disappeared overnight. This is a huge pond growing rapidly each year as the rates tend to be cheaper than line of credit from banks. It services all kinds of loans.

During the crisis, inter-bank also stopped as banks were not sure if they were lending to another bank who might be exposed to cdos and become insolvent overnight.

This is a lifetime event. Investment banks will disappear in their current format. In fact all the american investment banks have converted to deposit taking banks and will be heavily regulated.
 
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