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Everyday test 3000 foreign workers and about 1000 infected

ginfreely

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1587542875169.png
 

Leongsam

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That's because at least 30% are already infected. The actual number may be even higher because many would have caught the virus and already got better.

Antibody testing will reveal the overall number.
 

Leongsam

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In this homeless shelter 43% tested positive


Testing At Worcester Homeless Shelter Finds 43% Positive For Coronavirus
Lynn JolicoeurTwitter

4-5 minutes


Nearly half of the population at a Worcester adult emergency homeless shelter have tested positive for the coronavirus.
Forty-nine out of 114 shelter guests, or 43%, who were tested came up positive for the virus, according to Dr. Erik Garcia. He is a physician with UMass Memorial Health Care, assistant professor at UMass Medical School and medical director of the Homeless Outreach and Advocacy Project at Family Health Center of Worcester.
Story continues below

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Gov. Charlie Baker. (Sam Doran/State House News Service)
City officials say four shelter employees also tested positive.

Most of those tested in Worcester are asymptomatic or "very minimally symptomatic," according to Garcia. That's in line with results among homeless shelter guests in Boston.

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"There were some symptoms, but certainly none of the classic symptoms," he said. "And most people were complaining of a slight worsening of the chronic cough that they already had — no fevers and no other symptoms.

Garcia said the city had to start mass testing within the shelter system to find and monitor people with the virus.

Worcester Division of Public Health medical director Dr. Michael Hirsh echoed the call for more testing, saying the city is seeing a concerning trend in shelters that mimics what is being found in nursing homes.

"Every time we go into a shelter and we test, we find a very large percentage of the residents testing positive," Hirsh said at the city's daily press briefing. "Many of these people are not realizing that they are positive. And as they walk around, if they come into contact with someone with some extra vulnerabilities in their health history, they will cause some damage."

Last week, in the first round of testing at the Queen Street homeless shelter, 20 out of 90 shelter clients tested positive for the coronavirus. Five other people who are homeless in Worcester have also tested positive.

City Manager Ed Augustus announced late Friday that a field hospital established at the DCU Center was ready to start accepting some of the homeless clients. Garcia said he spent most of the day scrambling to help set up an isolation shelter at the arena. The city's other isolation shelter, which opened three weeks ago at Worcester Technical High School, is full.

The DCU has been set up as a step-down facility for people who need medical care for COVID-19 but not full hospitalization. It has not previously had an area set up as a shelter for homeless residents who need isolation and other services for their complex needs.

Garcia said it's hard to tell people they have the virus and have to be relocated.

"Many of them are frightened," he said. "Many of them would like to leave [the shelter], and we're really doing our best to try to reassure that we're going to be watching for any changes in health and treating accordingly."

Worcester hospitals agreed to admit any of the people who are homeless and tested positive until the new isolation space is totally ready Saturday, according to Garcia. He said he's never seen anything like that in his years in medicine — a community partnership where hospitals are giving beds to people who don't require hospital treatment in order to respond to their needs and protect public health. Worcester EMS has assisted with the coronavirus testing and is transporting infected shelter residents to the temporary isolation facilities, he said.

Worcester is also operating three temporary shelters for people who are homeless but have not tested positive for the coronavirus. The purpose of those facilities — at a high school and two churches — is to decrease the population at the Queen Street shelter, which is operated by the South Middlesex Opportunity Council.
 

Leongsam

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hotair.com

Hmmm: 36% at Boston homeless shelter tested positive for COVID-19, vast majority without symptoms
AllahpunditPosted at 11:31 am on April 15, 2020

7-9 minutes


That’s two days in a row with a study suggesting greater prevalence of coronavirus within a particular population than one might expect. Yesterday doctors in a NYC hospital reported that 15 percent of women who gave birth in their care during late March and early April tested positive for the virus. Of that number, 88 percent had no symptoms.

Today there’s a new study out of Boston, this time of a population of homeless people. Result: An even greater prevalence of COVID-19 but still the same large share of asymptomatic patients.

One of the key unanswered questions in the obstetric study remains unanswered here too, though. How many of these people never had symptoms and how many went on to have some after they were tested? Everyone infected with the virus is pre-symptomatic at some point. What we want to know is how many remain asymptomatic throughout their infection.
Whoa, 147 (36%) out of 408 people tested positive for the #coronavirus at a large homeless shelter in Bostonhttps://t.co/WsecQWxdDA
More interestingly, only ~1/6 showed symptoms among those tested positive, i.e. 1:5 for symptomatic vs asymptomatic. #COVID19 pic.twitter.com/ez9vTGZxou
— Andy Biotech (@AndyBiotech)
April 15, 2020
Fully 83 percent of those at the shelter who tested positive had no symptoms, in line with the share of infected pregnant women. Note too that both the New York tests and the Boston tests were done via PCR, i.e. the nose/throat swab that detects whether the virus is present in the person *at that moment.* Conceivably, some members of each group had already had the virus and recovered, clearing it from their system before the PCR test was done. Detecting that would require an antibody test. If we’re looking for evidence that many more Americans have had the disease than thought and most didn’t even know it, that’s something to consider.

Another question raised by both studies is how representative they are of the total U.S. population. I floated a theory yesterday for why pregnant women might not be a good yardstick for the average American: They’re visiting doctor’s offices more often than most people are during the final stages of their pregnancy so they may have picked up the virus there. (There may also be immune complications from pregnancy.) It’s easy to see why the homeless might not be a good yardstick either. In cramped quarters like a homeless shelter, the virus may spread like lightning. Even outside the shelter, the homeless don’t have the luxury you and I do of hunkering down in a private space. They need to panhandle or visit soup kitchens to eat, where they’re bound to end up in close contact with others. Poor nutrition, and poor health generally, doubtless has an effect on immunity too.
On the other hand, the fact that only a small percentage of a vulnerable population like the homeless were symptomatic — at least at the moment they were tested — is encouraging for those of us who want to believe the disease is more common, and much less severe, across the entire population than the current gruesome spike of cases in NYC and elsewhere suggests.

But let’s not get our hopes up. Doctors in Iceland have been seeing cases in their country since late February and by mid-March were testing the population, both those who seemed at special risk for infection and a random sample of people to see how far it might have spread. The result wasn’t encouraging for true believers in the Oxford model of the epidemic.
As of April 4, a total of 1221 of 9199 persons (13.3%) who were recruited for targeted testing had positive results for infection with SARS-CoV-2. Of those tested in the general population, 87 (0.8%) in the open-invitation screening and 13 (0.6%) in the random-population screening tested positive for the virus. In total, 6% of the population was screened. Most persons in the targeted-testing group who received positive tests early in the study had recently traveled internationally, in contrast to those who tested positive later in the study. Children under 10 years of age were less likely to receive a positive result than were persons 10 years of age or older, with percentages of 6.7% and 13.7%, respectively, for targeted testing; in the population screening, no child under 10 years of age had a positive result, as compared with 0.8% of those 10 years of age or older. Fewer females than males received positive results both in targeted testing (11.0% vs. 16.7%) and in population screening (0.6% vs. 0.9%). The haplotypes of the sequenced SARS-CoV-2 viruses were diverse and changed over time. The percentage of infected participants that was determined through population screening remained stable for the 20-day duration of screening.
I’m open to theories that Iceland is unrepresentative of other populations. Certainly their climate isn’t helping them to keep the virus at bay, though, as temperatures were in the 30s and 40s during March. If the virus spreads like wildfire, infecting many more people than scientists think, why is prevalence in Iceland below one percent? Did they simply test “too early,” before exponential growth had time to work its magic?
If you’re excited by the New York and Boston results, stay tuned for a much more representative population study courtesy of, uh … Major League Baseball.
About 10,000 employees from 27 of MLB’s 30 teams are being tested to detect whether they have already contracted and potentially recovered from the coronavirus. Participants span the organizational payroll, including owners, front-office executives, scouts, stadium ushers, hot-dog vendors and, in some cases, the players themselves…
The doctors involved said that a study of this nature typically would take a year or more to complete. With MLB’s help, the process is already near its conclusion after about a month. Pinprick blood tests, to be self-administered by employees at their homes, generate a result within 10 minutes and should be completed by the end of the week. Dr. Bhattacharya said he plans to write a paper over the weekend and send it out for peer review.
“If you don’t know how far along the disease is we can’t do good forecasts,” Dr. Bhattacharya said. “If we can’t do forecasts we can’t understand when it’s safe to open up the economy.”
Bhattacharya has been skeptical since the start that the virus is anywhere near as deadly as many scientists fear. He suspects, as the Oxford researchers do, that many more people have been infected than is commonly believed and that the disease is harmless for most. A sample of 10,000 is nice and big to show prevalence in a population like MLB employees that looks more like the general public than a sample of pregnant women or homeless persons does. We’ll have our best sense yet soon of how many average Americans have contracted the illness. I’m curious to see what sort of regional effects there are, too. We can expect a higher rate of infection among New Yorkers right now than among Kansans, obviously, but how much higher? Regional disparities in immunity are going to complicate interstate travel over the next 18 months, and the wider those disparities are, the more complicated it’s going to be.

Exit question: If the infection rate is 36 percent in a homeless shelter, what is it among the medical staff at a New York hospital right now? According to the CDC, health-care workers make up 10-20 percent of the entire country’s positive cases. If there really is a gigantic share of asymptomatic carriers in any discrete group, it may be that a huge percentage of health-care pros already have had it.
 

Leongsam

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dailymail.co.uk

One hundred and forty six homeless with NO symptoms contract COVID-19
Ralph R. Ortega

5-6 minutes


One hundred forty six homeless persons at a Boston shelter tested positive for the coronavirus without showing any symptoms, concerning experts that the pandemic may be more wide spread than originally thought.
The Pine Street Inn was following up a small cluster of cases last week and tested 397 people to discover that 146 were confirmed to have the deadly flu-like virus, also known as COVID-19.

What was equally alarming to health officials was also learning that 100 per cent of the confirmed cases at the shelter had no symptoms.
 

Scrooball (clone)

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Daily 1,000 cases.... I think its time to consider migration as an option. This cheebye breaker period is going to extend indefinitely
 

Leongsam

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Daily 1,000 cases.... I think its time to consider migration as an option. This cheebye breaker period is going to extend indefinitely

The numbers should indicated the futility of the circuit breaker rather than suggest a need to extend it.
 

Leongsam

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boston25news.com

CDC reviewing ‘stunning’ universal testing results from Boston homeless shelter
Drew Karedes

3 minutes


BOSTON — The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is now “actively looking into” results from universal COVID-19 testing at Pine Street Inn homeless shelter.

Of the 397 people tested, 146 people tested positive. Not a single one had any symptoms.

“It was like a double knockout punch. The number of positives was shocking, but the fact that 100 percent of the positives had no symptoms was equally shocking,” said Dr. Jim O’Connell, president of Boston Health Care for the Homeless Program, which provides medical care at the city’s shelters.

O’Connell said that the findings have changed the future of COVID-19 screenings at Boston’s homeless shelters.

“All the screening we were doing before this was based on whether you had a fever above 100.4 and whether you had symptoms,” said O’Connell. “How much of the COVID virus is being passed by people who don’t even know they have it?”

The 146 people who tested positive were immediately moved to two different temporary isolation facilities in Boston. According to O’Connell, only one of those patients needed hospital care, and many continue to show no symptoms.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is now "actively looking into" results from universal COVID-19 testing at Pine Street Inn homeless shelter.

“If we did universal testing among the general population, would these numbers be similar?” said Lyndia Downie, president and executive director at the Pine Street Inn. “I think there are so many asymptomatic people right now. We just don’t know. We don’t have enough data on universal testing to understand how many asymptomatic people are contagious.”

Hundreds of tests are now set to be conducted at additional Boston homeless shelters in the coming days.

“It tells you, you don’t know who’s at risk. You don’t know what you need to do to contain the virus if you don’t actually have the details or facts,” said Marty Martinez, Boston’s chief of Health and Human Services.

About 250 people are expected to be tested on Thursday and Friday at the men’s Southampton Street shelter run by Boston Public Health Commission.

“Our goal within the next three or four days is to test everybody so we have a good understanding of who has it and who doesn’t,” added Martinez.

More than 900 isolation beds have been set up locally for people who are homeless. The majority of those beds have not yet been used, but local and state health officials aren’t sure if that could change after more testing is complete.

© 2020 © 2020 Cox Media Group
 

A Singaporean

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So as I have said 40000 for Singapore is achievable. Go virus go. 加油。
More importantly next is how many maids and eventually how many families of these maids.
 

laksaboy

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Maybe the test kits contain the virus. So everytime you test, high chances of getting tested positive. It's a rigged game. :wink:

Where do those test kits come from?
 

ginfreely

Alfrescian
Loyal
That's because at least 30% are already infected. The actual number may be even higher because many would have caught the virus and already got better.

Antibody testing will reveal the overall number.
One news report said 3% of the 323,000 foreign workers have been tested positive so far. We shall see how many percent when all get tested.
 

ginfreely

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Maybe the test kits contain the virus. So everytime you test, high chances of getting tested positive. It's a rigged game. :wink:

Where do those test kits come from?
Singapore must be still using the first generation testing that’s why so slow. Angmoh the best got new test kits can test so many so fast.
 
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