I agree with you. Infact, I won't be surprised if the snap election is in March or the Good Friday weekend in April. June seems too far away. My reasons are:
1. Economically, things are unfolding faster than you and I can imagine. It is getting worse. Most companies financial result will be out by April and we are gonna see massive losses (followed by cost cutting which leads to retrenchment). The recent budget measures would seem ineffective. Another round of off-budget measures won't come in till June or July which is too late for the people. Timing is crucial
2. Opposition is not weak, as some believed. It is actually growing stronger. Recent performance by LTK and Sylvia has been more than good. Many a times, the MIW were caught flat footed. While many may disagree with CSJ and SDP on their focus and strategy, opposition is indeed gaining ground. In desperate times like this, it is not how good the opposition is but how hated is the ruling party.
3. Power of the netizens - while ST and the MIWs choose to ignore Sammyboy and perhaps, grudgingly acknowledged TOC and Wayang Party websites, the signs are clearly there that they are not ignoring the net. Recent comments/unhappiness by netizens have solicited response. Issues like lesser mortals, PS cooking lessons, Ho Ching's resignations are a response to the net.
4. The PAP is not totally, unaware of it's ground support. While many a times, if not most of the times, information gets filtered before it reaches up, they are not exactly sleeping in their ivory tower, devoid of feedback. They may hate to hear it, but the truth is out there. The ground is really bitter and they know it. For an old man of LKY's generation to burn Seng Han Thong, tells you so much the love people have for the ruling party. The drift is wider than the PAP wants to believe.
5. LHL is loosing ground. His ministers are making a joke of their million dollar salaries. Examples of their guffaws, just to name a few:
- Khaw recent suggestion of nursing homes in JB
- Hwee Hua admission of 41% loss by GIC
- Mah's no frills housing
- Wong's prized catch escape
- MM golden years assurance
6. LKY may not last another election if held in 2012. He will see and help to get his son secured for another 5 year term, at least.
7. This recession will not recover in 1 -2 years time. It will last many more years. There is going to be a pardigm shift in the economic model of the world. Protectionism is rearing its head and more things will turn topsy-turvy. Even the PAP elite will be dumbfounded. More horror stories will pour out from Wall Street. The banks that GIC invetsed may go up in smoke.