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And this is according to the official government numbers, as of yesterday (10 February 2020):
nhc.gov.cn/yjb/s7860/202002/167a0e01b2d24274b03b2ca961107929.shtml
"重症病例6484例" (6,484 severe/critical cases)
+ "累计死亡病例908例" (908 total deaths)
= 7,392 cases that are either dead or in severe/critical condition
7,392 / "累计报告确诊病例40171例" (40,171 total confirmed cases)
= roughly 18.4%
Roughly (7,333 + 1,016) / 42,638 = 19.6%, as of yesterday (11 February 2020):
nhc.gov.cn/yjb/s7860/202002/4a611bc7fa20411f8ba1c8084426c0d4.shtml
Roughly (8,204 + 1,113) / 44,653 = 20.9% now:
nhc.gov.cn/yjb/s7860/202002/395f075a5f3a411f80335766c65b0487.shtml
Roughly (8,030 + 1,367) / 59,804 = 15.7% now (down by roughly a quarter! ):
nhc.gov.cn/yjb/s7860/202002/26fb16805f024382bff1de80c918368f.shtml
Back up to roughly (10,204 + 1,380) / 63,851 = 18.1% now:
nhc.gov.cn/yjb/s7860/202002/553ff43ca29d4fe88f3837d49d6b6ef1.shtml
Up again by a bit to roughly (11,053 + 1,523) / 66,492 = 18.9% now:
nhc.gov.cn/yjb/s7860/202002/50994e4df10c49c199ce6db07e196b61.shtml
Roughly (11,272 + 1,665) / 68,500 = 18.9% again:
nhc.gov.cn/yjb/s7860/202002/4a1b1ec6c03548099de1c3aa935d04fd.shtml
Down by a bit to roughly (10,644 + 1,770) / 70,548 = 17.6% now:
nhc.gov.cn/yjb/s7860/202002/18546da875d74445bb537ab014e7a1c6.shtml
Roughly (11,977 + 2,004) / 74,185 = 18.8% again:Back up again by a bit to roughly (11,741 + 1,868) / 72,436 = 18.8% now:
nhc.gov.cn/yjb/s7860/202002/261f72a74be14c4db6e1b582133cf4b7.shtml
nhc.gov.cn/yjb/s7860/202002/8f2cfd17f4c040d89c69a4b29e99748c.shtml