- Joined
- Oct 3, 2016
- Messages
- 35,356
- Points
- 113
The 80/20 rule is also known as the Law Of The Vital Few.
It says that 80% of the consequences come from 20% of the causes.
What has this to do with COVID?
At this moment, we have 80% of the population vaccinated.
It is the other 20% that’s going to contribute to rising deaths, if transmission keeps shooting up.
This is what the experience in other countries, including Israel tells us. (They had 40% unvaccinated when they opened up).
Studies in other countries tell us that deaths are severe illness amongst kids are very rare. Deaths - 2 per million, and in kids with severe underlying conditions.
Although breakthrough severe COVID infections are possible in vaccinated people, they are also rare. Deaths are even rarer.
It is thus the 20% unvaccinated that will add to hospital bed capacity, ICU and deaths. What US President Biden calls the “pandemic of the unvaccinated”.
The right thing to do thus is not to impose more restrictions on vaccinated people in order to protect the few.
On the contrary, the 80/20 rule says that we should restrict the 20% to protect the 80%.
The right thing to do therefore is to ban all unvaccinated people from all indoor places, especially supermarkets and crowded malls. It doesn’t matter if they test negative, as these measures are to protect them. They should ideally also be banned from all F&B, which are high risk settings.
This is the logical thing to do.
However, politics is not logical.
It is the art of the possible, and people are unlikely to accept this.
In this case, we end up doing the illogical thing of putting back restrictions on the vaccinated to protect the unvaccinated.
If so, the measures should be as soft as possible:
- Work From Home for all office workers.
- Groups of 2 for F&B dining in; retain groups of 5 for less risky socisl settings.
But at a certain point we need to draw a line.
If not 80/20, then 90/10.
- CC
Ban his mother from Geylang also! So old still sell CB.
It says that 80% of the consequences come from 20% of the causes.
What has this to do with COVID?
At this moment, we have 80% of the population vaccinated.
It is the other 20% that’s going to contribute to rising deaths, if transmission keeps shooting up.
This is what the experience in other countries, including Israel tells us. (They had 40% unvaccinated when they opened up).
Studies in other countries tell us that deaths are severe illness amongst kids are very rare. Deaths - 2 per million, and in kids with severe underlying conditions.
Although breakthrough severe COVID infections are possible in vaccinated people, they are also rare. Deaths are even rarer.
It is thus the 20% unvaccinated that will add to hospital bed capacity, ICU and deaths. What US President Biden calls the “pandemic of the unvaccinated”.
The right thing to do thus is not to impose more restrictions on vaccinated people in order to protect the few.
On the contrary, the 80/20 rule says that we should restrict the 20% to protect the 80%.
The right thing to do therefore is to ban all unvaccinated people from all indoor places, especially supermarkets and crowded malls. It doesn’t matter if they test negative, as these measures are to protect them. They should ideally also be banned from all F&B, which are high risk settings.
This is the logical thing to do.
However, politics is not logical.
It is the art of the possible, and people are unlikely to accept this.
In this case, we end up doing the illogical thing of putting back restrictions on the vaccinated to protect the unvaccinated.
If so, the measures should be as soft as possible:
- Work From Home for all office workers.
- Groups of 2 for F&B dining in; retain groups of 5 for less risky socisl settings.
But at a certain point we need to draw a line.
If not 80/20, then 90/10.
- CC
Ban his mother from Geylang also! So old still sell CB.