My point is precisely that - chinese are moving very fast. If we keep on linking China = cheap products, lousy quality then we will wake up one day and find them ahead of us. with the internet and instant communications, the Chinese can move fast. And the thing is they have $$$, central gov control and lots of brains. Also remember that while there is corruption in China, that is more than made up by the lower cost of things in China.
Would you expect the Chinese to have such a modern rail system? It really makes sense for them since they are a large and populous country (cannot imagine everyone flying). But I am very surprised. india is still moving about with british era railways. we have all seen them packed to the roof with people.
History is full of cases studies on why certain technologies fail. There are probably reams of info on capabilities of Gen 1 F16. What are the problems, limitations (there must be thousands of pilots that have flown F16s and can attest to the limitations of the f16) and what they want to see in new aircraft. So the Chinese can learn from what not to do and so on. Making a jet fighter or jet engine is not some holy grail type technology. Just have to keep at it.
Even this whole notion of preventing Iran from have a nuclear weapon is stupid. This is 50 year old technology and current computers (a PC is probably more powerful than computers they used then) and industrial tools (CNC machines, water jet cutting, computer controlled) can easily fabricate the centrifuges. There is also no lack of knowhow.
Again if you throw in $$$, political will and a bunch of smart people they can easily build the bomb. However we should use Iran (a large educated and relatively wealthy nation) as an example to dissuade the smaller and more unstable countries from even thinking about it. "Wow if they gave Iran so much trouble why even go through the trouble)
Bill Gates said if you have a 1 in a million chance, in China you find 1400 of them!
J10 is their first attempt but heck just imagine the lessons they are learning (I assume that Chinese engineers are not stupid) and all that will be implemented in the Gen 2 J10 and so on.
US defence budget is $500B a year. Remember that each US serviceman is paid $30K a year after factoring in benefits. Each Chinese PLA soldier is probably paid $3K a year. I think if you see PLA budget at $250B you can be assured that they have same bang for buck as US spending $500B.
Then you have the US wars which is impacting readiness.
but i must say one thing.....china has indeed catch up very fast...
what US has achieved in few generation they did it in 1. Although still lacking behind but...the speed at which they are catching up is scary. just look at J-10...they did this in 1 generation....