Hi,
I have read finish his methods. His methods are based on tracking thrends.
There are basically 2 school of thoughts.
1st school of thought is based on thrend tracking which most people in casino do. Most Chinese players believe in this
2nd school of thought is based on mathematical calculation.
Zuan Xin is using probability, law of averages, statistics to base his thrend. I wouldn't say its wrong. But there are millions of of kinds of results that can turn out. So one way of application may not work in the other shoe. Fatal part could happen when the shoe turns out in another way.
Certain things he mentioned is very right. Especially the part where he won the championship, luck plays a part, but the other part on him winning is when his opponent chose to lay a number of bets and won 57%. While for him is that few bets or 1 shot 1 kill.
Why do I say this.
Let say his opponent places 20 bets. 13 win, 7 lost.
He place 10 bets, 8 win, 2 lost.
His opponent wins 6 units, he wins 6 units too. But if you do mathematics calculation, Zuan Xin will win more in long run.
Because 13 win/20 bets placed is 65% win rate, 35% lose rate
ZX place 8 win/10 bet is 80% win rate, 20% lose rate.
The key is not in winning how much units but how much you can bring your losing rate percentage down.
Imagine his opponent go every shoe, he has a 35% losing rate.
While he go every shoe, he has a 20% losing rate,
so which one you think will make money in the long run.
People who make big money in Baccarat play is not because they are super good, but how big they stake. If they stake 3000, we see them win 3000 if they win. If stake 30, even win 50 times, only win 1500.
Zuan Xin can be a winner not because of him doing thrend tracking, but because he is very patient and only places bet when he is very very sure. He gets his confidence from thrend tracking, but I analyse that he won because of the very few bets that he laid rather than placing many bets.
Place bet on all 60 hands doesn't mean can win all 60 hands. Not easy to win 10 units from a shoe.
If you can win 10 units from a shoe, you can also lose 10 units. Then with Banker 6 commission, how? Lose even more.
I feel another part where we can improve is on money management.
If for example, you place a bet of 100 each time. Since can win 10 units, also can lose 10 units, why not, do it this way.
If you win, remain at 100 all the way, 10 units win will be 1000
If you lose 5 units already, reduce bet to 50. 10 units loss will be 750.
Remember if the shoe is no good for you, it could be good for another player, just like what Zuan Xin mentioned in his Queen of Clubs article.
Most important is how to reduce the losing.