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- Dec 6, 2018
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Majority are now local tramissions. No more can use the excuse that they are mostly imported. Furthermore more are unlink. Gold standard? My toes are laughing.
It will get to a point we all kena, and we don't know where or how we got it.Not unlink. It’s gets to a point you can no longer contact trace.
Whike most of you are worried about the virus that is very mild, dengue on the other hand has infected over 3500 this year alone. And you get really sick if you get dengue.no cure.doctors will only give you plasma and hope you survive.
Trouble with covid19 is the "vector" is humans. ie there is no vector. Direct transmission.
Doc, correct me if I’m wrong.
We are a host for numerous bacteria and virus at any one point in time, only thing is that we’re immune to the milder bacteria and we’re happy to have them, sic gut bacteria. Clean up too vigorously and the virulent strain may take a foothold and start to multiply
There must be import before local infection.Majority are now local tramissions. No more can use the excuse that they are mostly imported. Furthermore more are unlink. Gold standard? My toes are laughing.
Its not possible all infected.It will get to a point we all kena, and we don't know where or how we got it.
Its not possible all infected.
Its not possible all infected.
Let's talk about the body building its own immunity. Are you aware of cases where people developed immunity to SARS, seasonal flu, H1N1?why not?
Actually eventually will all have to be exposed. Whether infected or not
Let's talk about the body building its own immunity. Are you aware of cases where people developed immunity to SARS, seasonal flu, H1N1?
Yes, referring to people who got exposed, had mild to moderate symptoms and recovered on their own. No doctors involved. OK got it, very difficult to know.I take it you are referring to people who get exposed and then have very mild symptoms and are then immune?
Sure to have had such cases. But it is not useful information because there is no way to predict who will get immunity without complications.
Also often such cases do not present to the doctor. They just resolve on their own. So the only way to know is to ask a study population retrospectively and test them for immunity.
Yes, referring to people who got exposed, had mild to moderate symptoms and recovered on their own. No doctors involved. OK got it, very difficult to know.
Everyone's using deaths, number of cases as the yardstick to measure, because like you mentioned, it drives the message home. It is more dramatic but also a good indicator of the extent of the spread and it's severity. People can understand better.I have been saying it for a while now. There is NO NEED to report how many cases you find.
Just report what the ICU bed situation is.
eg Total number of ICU beds in X city. Number of ICU beds available. Number of patients needing an ICU bed but are waiting for one.
That is important.
All the other how many cases and what not serve ZERO purpose on the ground really. And the way we test is totally flawed because it is limited by how many tests you have and can perform and biased depending on what your criteria is for screening.
I would only screen people who are very sick and need in hospital admission eg O2 support or ventilator treatment, IV fluids etc
All the deaths and total number of cases you choose to test for is fear mongering.
I suspect they need the fear mongering to continue to justify people staying at home and physically distancing from each other.
Everyone's using deaths, number of cases as the yardstick to measure, because like you mentioned, it drives the message home. It is more dramatic but also a good indicator of the extent of the spread and it's severity. People can understand better.
"Total number of ICU beds in X city. Number of ICU beds available. Number of patients needing an ICU bed but are waiting for one" is good for medical staff and planners. But is something a layman would not be able to fully appreciate.
BTW, Alberta now has these numbers
Confirmed: 690
Deaths: 8
Recovered: 0
Active: 682
Hope to see some recovery happening soon, a good morale boost for people.
They were and I believe still are testing everyone that are referred by the clinics. Clinics sieve out patients who do not have the "relevant" symptoms. There was a page on the MOH website showing total tested, total infected, etc. I can't find that now. I think it is good that they are still continuing with testing. I just hope the next wave doesn't explode and overwhelm the hospital. Thus far, it seems pap is still very confident of themselves and the system.The "confirmed cases" is very very lousy reflection of what is truly going on.
For example Alberta has stopped testing travelers coming from abroad. They assume they are high risk and ask them to stay at home. They no longer test them.
This has led to a lower number of cases reported.
Like I said what's the point in reporting these numbers if it is highly dependent on who you want to test?
The main purpose is to keep your hospitals functioning. Not overwhelm them.
Perhaps another way is to show wait times at EDs. How many waiting to see dr? Average waiting time to see dr?
What you want to is to let people know the hospitals are still ok or if they are FUCKED.
Who good comes out of reporting how many cases you want to find by testing? Especially when everyone is asked to isloate at home anyway?
If you want, go test a random number of people. Determine what the true incidence rate of covid19 is.