Beating the casino?

[Natural Nine]

Baccarat Tips & Strategy
Baccarat is one of the most simple of all casino card games, and yet is one that is not as widely understood and played throughout the world.

The aim of Baccarat is to assemble your hand to contain two or three cards with a total value of nine, or secondly eight. The absolutely perfect hand is one that contains two cards and their value totals nine, this is known as a "Natural Nine" or a "Natural Eight". If any of the players, including the banker, has a "Natual Nine" or a "Natural Eight" then the other players may not draw a third card - that player is the winner unless there is a tie between two players in which case the game is void. If there are no "Naturals" then players decide whether to bet or fold.

Card Scoring:

Card Value
Ace 1
Picture Card (Jack to King) 0
All other cards Face Value

If the total of a hand is greater than ten then the initial figure is ignored, e.g. if a card hand total was 17 then the actual total is 7.

Hand Totals:

Cards Value Total Score
5, 4 5 + 4 9 (Natural Nine)
3, Ace, 7 3 + 1 + 7 11 - 10 (remove first digit) = 1
Jack, 7, 2 0 + 7 + 2 9
5 , 8, 8 5 + 8 + 4 17 - 10 (remove first digit) = 7

The best way to learn and understand Baccarat Tips is to play it for fun, we at "The Casino Tips Group" have evaluated many online casinos and the best one to learn Baccarat (where you can also play as the player or the dealer is at the Be the Dealer Casino.

The way to bet at Be the Dealer Casino is to bet on whether there will be a Tie, or the Banker will win, or the Player will win.

Click the link below to play Baccarat online at Be the Dealer Casino



Terms & Conditions


One of the most progressive casino sites in the world is "Be The Dealer", where as a player you can choose to be the dealer or a player, for money or just for fun (practice). This is one of the best ways to learn to play Baccarat online without risking any money. Due to the fact you may play as the casino or as a punter you get the benefit of learning from both sides of the table.

 

[Natural Nine]

http://www.baccarat-tips.co.uk/

 

[sammyman666]

Bro

I know what u mean,but for me hmm i wait,watch,hit,leave this is what i do even on my very bad days the most to most i lost 15units and went off cause i have a target to hit and a target to lose too.So this is what i do time and luck is important element in here im talking about getting in the right time and strike already just leave this what i do always mate.

Actually, this is not true. If hit and run really worked, why don't you hit and run every five minutes? This way, you can make alot of money.

 

[Natural Nine]

Actually, this is not true. If hit and run really worked, why don't you hit and run every five minutes? This way, you can make alot of money.

Baccarat Great Learning, from Zuan Xin
MacauCasinoWorld.com is proud to welcome you our honoured visitors to our new series, Baccarat Great Learning from Zuan Xin, a Harvard educated baccarat professional in Fabulous Las Vegas!

In this series, you will be treated to a wealth of expert insight into the world of baccarat the grand game of Macau! Zuan Xin is a professional baccarat player in Fabulous Las Vegas who also coaches selected VIP baccarat players on baccarat mathematics and strategy. He won the 2005 Chinese baccarat challenge in Las Vegas.

Zuan Xin has also been featured in the Las Vegas Chinese Daily News. He is a graduate of world renowned Harvard College. Click on the links below and enjoy the Baccarat Great Learning!


Photo Courtesy of Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited


•A Review Shoe from the Files of Zuan Xin
•Mr. Zhuang's Amazing Shoe
•9/9/9 Pái Bù Zhòng Yào 9/9/9
•Mi Zi Narrates: Never Say Never
•2nd Advance Learning : Xuxu Siyou
•Hongbao
•CNY Special'09 : Go Out Rat! Come In Ox!
•Wall Street Baccarat
•Special 8/8/8 Special

•Chinese New Year Special'08 : A Zuan Xin Memento

•The Last Hand
•7 July ... Bet City Baccarat
•Three Sevens Is Twenty One
•Most Very Important Advice
•Zuan Xin Defeats Zuan Xin
•Examination - Be Cautious / Have Confidence !
•Extra - Doctor Huang Comes Back !
•1st Advanced Learning : Big Eye Guy
•Chinese New Year Special'07

•Lesson 5
•Lesson 4
•Lesson 3
•Lesson 2
•Lesson 1

 

[Natural Nine]

http://www.macaucasinoworld.com/baccarat_great_learning/



•Lesson 5
•Lesson 4
•Lesson 3
•Lesson 2
•Lesson 1

 

[Natural Nine]

Lesson One


Baccarat Great Learning, from Zuan Xin

By Zuan Xin

Welcome to Baccarat Great Learning!

Please allow me to introduce myself. I am Zuan Xin, your teacher. I am a graduate of Harvard University. I live on the fabulous Las Vegas Strip, a mecca for baccarat players from all over the world. I am expert in the mathematics and strategy of baccarat, and I coach selected VIP players who come here to challenge the likes of Steve Wynn and Sheldon Adelson in their home casinos.


In this series, we will highlight important principles that we can use to win at our favorite game, principles that I instill into my baccarat players. I was once engaged by a gaming industry company to figure out how to make baccarat four times more addictive than it already is. So I know all the secrets of the game.

Today we will begin at the beginning. And we will not mince words. We all know that we Chinese people have the gambling gene. Many of us become addicted to baccarat. The structure and the setting of the game pull us in and we cannot seem to get out. That is what the casinos want. So this is where we start. There is no law that forbids us from learning how to do better at baccarat.
Baccarat is a game of chance, but there is no reason why we cannot go beyond gambling and become a player. The game is just as fun and exciting, probably more so. Baccarat, like all games of chance, has an underlying mathematical structure. There is no reason not to do the math. Why not identify the investment opportunities that present themselves during the course of each shoe?

Yes, I said investment opportunities. For players, not for gamblers. Let me give an example. The other day I was at one of the biggest casinos on the Las Vegas Strip enjoying the action. The dealer was aware of my presence and familiar with my ability to understand the hidden patterns of a shoe of baccarat.

Eventually the shoe revealed a glorious investment opportunity where the baccarat player enjoyed a substantial advantage over the house. But none of the seven gamblers at the table placed a bet! The dealer and I exchanged knowing glances. The result was as the math predicted. But there were no players at that table. Just gamblers destined to inevitably lose all of their stack of chips.

At another table, another equally glorious investment opportunity presented itself. There were a couple of bets placed, both in the wrong direction. Both losers. The dealer smiled and I shook my head.

When we are too lazy to do the math, and then we lose, it is easy to blame the loss on bad luck.

So our first principle is the principle of hard work. Maybe the excitement and seduction of baccarat is diminished, but our probability of winning improves substantially. The truth is we cannot be a gambler and win consistently at baccarat. Making our baccarat play hard work also will grind away the game's ability to turn on our gambling gene. Yet the game will be eight times as exciting.

Isn't it more exciting to win?

As an exercise, next time we visit the baccarat table, we make the conscious decision to become a player. We watch closely as the patterns of the shoe unfold, like a flower opening. We no longer bet under the worn excuse of measuring our fate. We invest in a favorable pattern that we have identified through our hard work. We do not invest unless we have a very good reason to invest. We don't sell something for less than we pay for it. Why should we place money at risk on the baccarat table without a very good reason?

Next time we will start to do the hard work, starting with the most basic rules for consistently winning at baccarat.

We have made the decision to be a player. A gambler is always subject to the mathematics of the gambler's ruin. Players can direct their fate. Surely baccarat is a game of chance, and there can be short run outcomes that run contrary to theoretical probabilities. A gambler can enjoy a great shoe now and then, but in making solid investment decisions shoe after shoe as players, we are turning off our gambling gene and finally able to enjoy the thrill of becoming a consistent winner at baccarat.

Please feel free to email me at [email protected] with your suggestions and comments.

 

[Natural Nine]

Lesson Two



By Zuan Xin



They say that Confucius astutely observed, "Everything has beauty, but not everyone sees it." That certainly holds true for baccarat. From now on, we players look for the beauty in the pattern of each shoe we play. We have stopped being lazy gamblers and started being hardworking players. We have admitted it is nonsense being too lazy to do the math and then blaming our losses on bad luck.

A problem the game of baccarat presents is data overload. Our job is to concentrate on the data that is useful and ignore the data that is not. Casinos provide scoreboards and scorecards. Why? To overload us with data so that we confuse ourselves. To what end? To take all of our money as fast as they can! After all, that is their business. So what do we do? We look for the beauty in each shoe.

Chinese New Year last, I was at a high end baccarat room on the fabulous Las Vegas Strip. A Hong Kong man and his beautiful wife were gambling. They diligently scanned the scoreboard, and marked their scorecard in traditional Chinese style, and used the eye catching 3 Row and 6 Row pattern tallies for betting analysis. Each betting decision was preceded by extensive animated discussion, watched over gleefully by their VIP hosts.

Inevitably, the casino efficiently reduced their tall stacks of yellow chips down to nothing. I saw them lose $125,000 in less than half a shoe, a cool $25,000 on the last decision alone. As they departed, I ventured to ask him to explain the basis of his last betting decision. His angry wife killed me with her stare. She did not see the beauty in that particular shoe, but there was beauty, much much beauty.

There are 4 rules that this example points out that I must teach us now. And we must follow them religiously. If we fail to follow any of our 4 rules, it is ultimately certain death for us at the baccarat table.

Rule 1. We must exercise total patience. When the shoe reveals an opportunity, then and only then do we place a bet. To practice our ability to follow this rule rigorously, we will attend a baccarat table for two consecutive shoes, tracking them, but never betting, not even once. When we can attend two consecutive shoes without betting, then we are ready to play and win. We wait for the shoe and enjoy the process by which it reveals itself.

Rule 2. Do not use any of our Chinese betting analysis methods. Forget about 3 Row and 6 Row pattern tallies, and any variations and combinations thereof, they are less than a waste of time. These methods do not stand up to logical analysis, they represent the worst seductions of circular reasoning, selectively using consequences to prove their antecedent. Baccarat is a game of chance. Its probabilities are a matter of analysis based on a very very large series of shoes, we certainly must not establish a probability for one shoe based upon itself. The high end baccarat managers here in Las Vegas send private planes and stretch limousines for the masters of our insane Chinese betting analysis methods. Pretty and deadly diagrams are these. We have our way of tracking the shoe and we are sticking to it, concentrating on it. We will learn our tracking method next time.

Rule 3. There is no pattern but there is a pattern of the patterns. Every shoe is unique, like a piece of raw jade. Millions and millions of different shoe patterns can be dealt out of the billion trillion possibilities. We use computers to play millions of shoes quickly, and the data matches up with statistics compiled on the casino floor. Based on standard procedures of play, the average number of hands per shoe will be 80. And on the average, out of those 80 hands there will 8 ties and 72 decisions.

We know the banker wins just slightly more often than the player. But the banker and player decision statistics are not useful data, except that we should hope that the opportunities each shoe reveals will be for the player so that we can avoid paying the 5% commission on the banker. Generally, the banker and player balance becomes roughly equal as the number of shoes analyzed goes beyond a month's worth.

These 72 decisions are our raw jade that is crafted into a beautiful jewel. On the average, these 72 decisions generate 36 runs of 1 or 2 or 3 or 4 or more consecutive player hands or banker hands. Out of those 36 runs, 18 will be runs of 1, and 18 will be runs of more than 1. Out of those 18 runs of more than 1, 9 will be runs of 2, and 9 will be runs of more than 2. This pattern of patterns goes on and on like the brilliance of a jewel. The beauty we see in each shoe is the unique pattern of its 72 decisions out of its 80 hands dealt from its limited set of 416 playing cards.

Out of those 36 runs, we calculate that the average number of occurrences of a run of more than 8 or a chop of more than 6 is about 1 in every 3 and 1/2 shoes. The 1 and only 1 trend in a shoe is its mathematics. If we conjure up for ourselves any other trends and gamble, our stack of chips will disappear.

The pattern of the patterns represents the intrinsic beauty of the game of baccarat and is the reason it is the world's grand casino game. Let us resolve to appreciate the pattern of the patterns of baccarat and play each shoe in harmony with the intrinsic unalterable nature of the game.

Rule 4. Never never never never bet the tie bet. That is 4 times never. Tie betters are not players, they are sucker betters. Therefore we will not dishonor ourselves by discussing this further. Never bet the tie, don't even think about it, and ignore those who do. This same rule applies to all other side bets and betting propositions, and any baccarat game and rule variations.

Think 8 times over about our 4 rules. Next time we will learn our tracking method by replaying the winning moments of the 2005 Chinese baccarat challenge won here in Las Vegas.

Please feel free to email me at [email protected] with your suggestions and comments.

 

[Natural Nine]

Lesson Three


By Zuan Xin


Now we learn our method for tracking the shoe. Clear all other methods from your mind and concentrate on our method, created by and designed for players like ourselves.

It is extremely important to learn to track the shoe perfectly accurately. We do not depend on anybody else to track the shoe for us and we do not rely on the scoreboard displayed by the casino. We are players and we trust in ourselves and accept responsibility for our decisions at the baccarat table.





The red-on-gold table shows the hands dealt in the shoe for the 2005 Chinese baccarat challenge we won here in Las Vegas. Amidst great excitement, we exercised total patience and we waited for the shoe, enjoying the process by which it revealed its beauty.



Click here for expanded view




The scorecard converts these data with our most useful method of tracking the shoe. All single digit numbers, black for a banker decision and red for a player decision, with thin straight lines at the top of a square to show the ties, a black line for a tie after a banker decision and a red line for a tie after a player decision. We make them thin and at the top because there can be more than one consecutive tie and we need room in that same square for the next decision. The purpose of our tracking method is to provide us with a snapshot of the pattern of the shoe for us to reckon against the known pattern of the patterns of the game of baccarat.

We keep that pattern of the patterns in mind now. Looking at the table, it is possible for us to notice these data: 80 hands, 8 ties, 72 decisions, 37 banker decisions, 35 player decisions. Then we may notice these data: 43 runs of 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 consecutive decisions, 25 runs of 1 consecutive decision, 18 runs of more than 1 consecutive decision. And we may notice these data: 10 runs of 2 consecutive decisions, 8 runs of more than 2 consecutive decisions. Finally we may notice these data: 6 runs of 3 consecutive decisions, 1 run of 4 consecutive decisions, 1 run of 5 consecutive decisions.


We repeat: the point of our tracking method is to effectively present these data to ourselves in order to be able to continually reckon the pattern of the current shoe against the known pattern of the patterns of baccarat. That is that!

When we track the shoe on the scorecard, we proceed from the 1st row at the top going down and from the 1st column at the left going across, keeping each row and column in sequence so that the data will jump right out at us during play. We note the tie hands exactly as described above and shown on the scorecard, never disrupting our sequences of relevant data. We write very clearly in the correct color using our two color pen. And we make certain sure that we know the correct result to enter!


For example, in the first ten hands of this shoe, we start with a banker decision, we track this by entering 1 in black in the 1st row at the top in the 1st column at the left. The next decision is also a banker decision, it is the 1st occurrence of more than 1 consecutive decision, we track this by entering 1 in black in the 2nd row below our 1st entry, still entering in the 1st column at the left because we are still seeing the 1st run of the shoe. Similarly, we track the next banker decision by entering 1 in black in the 3rd row below our 2nd entry, it is the 1st occurrence of more than 2 consecutive decisions. With the next decision a player decision, we note the start of the 2nd run of the shoe, moving on to the 2nd column just to the right of the 1st column, entering 2 in red. And so on.

As the decisions occur, the pattern of our shoe is quick and easy to reckon correctly against the known pattern of the patterns! Observe that each row is an orderly sequence of single digit numbers. We do not use two digit numbers because our tracking will become too difficult. We can see readily what sequence of 10 we are entering. After we enter 0 to mark the end of each sequence of 10, we start the new sequence by entering 1 when a future decision requires an entry in the box in that row further to the right. That's it!


Take some time to contemplate the information. We cannot emphasize strongly enough how important it is for players to track the shoe properly. Copy the scorecard exactly a few times to program your mind to be able to do it well amidst the noise of the baccarat table. Concentrate on readability. There is no time to try to decipher illegible tracking!

No matter what anyone tells you, our tracking method provides us with the relevant information we need presented in an unconfusing manner that is quick and easy to use. We see people writing down lots of irrelevant data, such as the final totals of every banker and player hand. A fundamental rule of decision making under uncertainty is: Do not confuse yourself!

We recommend selecting a baccarat buddy for your play. A baccarat buddy can ensure that his or her baccarat buddy tracks the shoe exactly, and maintains conformance with the proper playing method of a baccarat player. And a good baccarat buddy will prevent his or her baccarat buddy from devolving into a gambler who conjures up all manner of rationalizations for impulsive gambling instead of rational playing.

As we noted, the table and the scoreboard show the hands dealt in the shoe for the 2005 Chinese baccarat challenge we won here in Las Vegas. The two best players in our Chinese baccarat community came together.

We were up against a very great player who excelled in our traditional Chinese baccarat playing methods, a first class gentleman known to many of the biggest baccarat players and professionals in America and Asia.

The two competitors were each placed in separate isolated rooms with a dealer to settle any bets placed, while the shoe was dealt out in the center room. This was a contest of playing methods where neither player had any knowledge of how his opponent was playing the shoe!

At the end, we emerged the winner. Our honorable opponent employed a most creative combination of all of the traditional playing methods, including those eye catching 3 Row and 6 Row pattern tallies that we consider less than worthless.

It is an accepted principle that the first test of a baccarat playing method is its average percentage of bets won and lost. As the tie bet is well known to be a significant casino advantage bet, tie bets are not considered in testing the usefulness of a playing method. If a playing method cannot pass this first test, no money management method placed on top of it can make it successful in the long run. Therefore, to distill the challenge down to a pure contest of baccarat playing methods, the winner was determined to be the player with the highest winning percentage.


A winning player bet was treated as 1 won and 0 lost. A winning banker bet was treated as 1 won and 0.05 lost. Any losing bet was treated as 0 won and 1 lost. A tie bet was treated as 0 won and 0 lost.

The winning moments of this most exciting challenge shoe can be seen in the table and found on the scorecard. Our honorable opponent, ever the gambler and proud of it, placed many many bets in accordance with his method, 70 bets in all, and proclaimed his legendary luck still invincible, achieving a 57% winning percentage, and he showed the wide and nervous smile across his sweaty face to match it, said smile only to be wiped off his face upon his learning that our winning percentage was an astounding 95% based on 1 single winning bet on the banker hand at Hand 44.

"Who plays baccarat like that?" asked the confounded former Number 1 baccarat player in Bet City. "Players," we replied with quiet confidence.

And the key to our victory? That we had the discipline not to place bets at Hand 28 and Hand 36 and Hand 66 and especially not at Hand 77!


Consider most very carefully what we have just read together. Next time we will discuss the key winning principles of a player.

Please feel free to email me at [email protected] with your suggestions and comments. The volume of email is growing so please be patient for our reply. Thank you!

 

[Natural Nine]

Lesson Four



Baccarat Great Learning, from Zuan Xin

By Zuan Xin


Now let us consider the key winning principles of a player. Please be sure to be familiar with the previous content.



This is number 4. How dare we number this our next in series as number 4? Only a gambler would ask such a ridiculous question. 4 comes after 3, and that is that. We are players now! We know that all the mathematics associated with the game of baccarat is beautiful, yes, beautiful.

Last time we described our baccarat buddy who will prevent us his or her baccarat buddy from devolving into a gambler who conjures up all manner of rationalizations for impulsive gambling instead of rational playing.

Our baccarat buddy asks, "What do all of these superstitions and shibboleths have to do with the game of baccarat?" Our baccarat buddy says, "4 is beautiful. The thousands of chengyu testify to it."





Let us recall that Confucius taught, " Things have a root and branches, events have an end and a beginning, know what is first and last, then be near the Way." Download the image of this saying and print it out and frame it and do not forget it. This saying most excellently states the number 1 key winning principle of a player.


We players know the game of baccarat. We players know the pattern of the patterns of the game of baccarat, so that we can place bets that are in harmony with the pattern of the patterns. We know that the game of baccarat is a game of chance, and therefore we do not allow the occurrence of improbabilities in any particular situations to invalidate in our minds the immutable underlying mathematics of the game of baccarat.

Gamblers and casino employees scoff at us, convinced that there is no pattern of the patterns of the game of baccarat. Gamblers who are losing dislike players who are winning. They also tell us to bet the tie bet, a bet well known to be a significant casino advantage bet! Not to mention their strange and ineffectual bending, folding, and other manipulations of the playing cards, as if they could magically change the value. They would also have us believe that 4 is bad and 8 is good, and tell us "this is different" when they lose on 4 when their banker 4 draws an 8. They repeat the worn mantra "the trend is your friend" even though everybody knows that that runs against the known intrinsic mathematics of the game.



Click here for expanded view of the official MacauCasinoWorld.com
Baccarat Great Learning scorecard



Click here to view correct tracking of these data after completing Baccarat Great Learning scorecard



Let us take a couple of examples. 1st, here are the first 32 hands of a shoe dealt recently to a table full of VIP gamblers on the Las Vegas Strip. Download the Baccarat Great Learning blank scorecard and print it out and track the shoe according to our method that we explained last time. Be exact! Click here to compare the result with our finished scorecard. Now let us consider the opportunity that Hand 33 presents to us.




Click here for expanded view



We have already discussed the pattern of the patterns. It is an easy decision at Hand 33. We are looking at a situation of increasing improbability of this course of events, 1st, the continuing nonoccurrence of a run of more than 2 consecutive player decisions or 2 consecutive banker decisions, and 2nd, the lengthening of the already improbable sequence of 8 runs of 2 consecutive decisions to 9 runs. We place a bet on the banker hand. Based on our previous content, try to reckon the magnitude of the increasing improbabilities in this situation. This is a beautiful row 2 situation.

It was quite a hand! The player hand is a 7 of Hearts and a 9 of Hearts for a standing 6. And our banker hand is a 7 of Hearts and a 5 of Diamonds for a lowly 2. We are players, we enjoy the beauty of the shoe, and we trust in the fact that we know the game. We wait for the shoe to reveal itself. We place each bet according to our winning principles and we do not lose heart. And thanks to a most beautiful third card to our banker, a 7 of Diamonds, our banker hand is a happy winning 9.

Had our bet been a losing bet, we simply would have another even better opportunity in the next column to the right where we track the shoe into the 2nd row. Patience!

This is the number 2 key winning principle of a player. We place bets against the occurrence of what is increasingly improbable. That means we wait for the shoe to vary away from the pattern of the patterns and toward increasingly improbable occurrences.



Click here to view correct tracking of these data after completing Baccarat Great Learning scorecard


2nd, here are the first 26 hands of a shoe dealt the next day to another table full of VIP gamblers elsewhere on the Las Vegas Strip. Now print out another downloaded Baccarat Great Learning blank scorecard and track this shoe according to our method. Click here to compare the result with our finished scorecard. An opportunity presents itself at Hand 27.



Click here for expanded view



Again, it is an easy decision at Hand 27. We are staring at a situation of increasing improbability, that is, the exceedingly low frequency of occurrences of runs of 1 consecutive player decision or 1 consecutive banker decision. We place a bet on the player hand. Now try again to reckon the magnitude of the increasing improbabilities in this situation. This is a beautiful row 1 situation.

Now we watch a tie hand! On to Hand 28. Let the gamblers get all worked up over ties. We are players. Our bet stays in place. And now there is another tie hand! The table is now a noisy henhouse, but we let the gamblers and their dealers cluck over their double tie. We ignore them and their eye catching 3 Row and 6 Row pattern tallies. Our bet stays in place for Hand 29. Patience!

Hand 29 yields our probable player decision and our bet is a winner. And the shoe is still woefully poor of runs of 1 consecutive decision. Had our bet been a losing bet, we simply would have another even better opportunity in the very next column to the right where we track the shoe back into the 1st row at the start of a new run.






Of course, the number 3 key winning principle of a player is the money management principle. We will discuss our spectrum of money management methods next time using this example. This shoe is from the main room of a most exquisite casino, and it is heading into Hand 64. Track this shoe according to our method on another downloaded Baccarat Great Learning blank scorecard. Find the opportunities that reveal themselves, see the beauty of this shoe.

Doesn't it feel good to be a player?

Please feel free to email me at [email protected] with your suggestions and comments. The volume of email is growing so please be patient for our reply. Thank you!


We have noticed many emails inquiring about online baccarat. Online baccarat is a variation of the game of baccarat and therefore falls within the scope of Rule 4 of our 2nd Baccarat Great Learning. To be very specific, never never never never play online baccarat. That is 4 times never. To be a baccarat player, play baccarat in person at one of the many baccarat establishments in Macau. Use the links provided here at MacauCasinoWorld.com and arrange to visit marvelous Macau tomorrow!


Back to Baccarat Great Learning

 

[Natural Nine]

Lesson Five


Baccarat Great Learning, from Zuan Xin

By Zuan Xin


Last time we familiarized ourselves with the number 1 and number 2 key winning principles of a player. It is a good idea to review these principles 1 more time before reading further. We do not proceed further unless and until we have fully absorbed these principles!

There is no shortcut to becoming a player! Our harmonizing of our confidence in our knowledge of the game with our discipline to wait for the shoe to reveal sequences of increasing improbabilities is our way to choose not to be a gambler at the baccarat table.

Of course, the number 3 key winning principle of a player is the money management principle. Now we will discuss our spectrum of money management methods using the 3rd shoe from last time as our example. Recall that this shoe is from the main room of a most exquisite casino on the Las Vegas Strip, and it is heading into Hand 64. We have tracked this shoe according to our method on another downloaded Baccarat Great Learning blank scorecard.








Click here for expanded view


Money management can be a perplexing matter. None of us have the same exact financial circumstances and none of us have exactly the same level of indifference to short term fluctuations and risk.


Therefore it is essential that we are absolutely objective about our specific individual financial circumstances in order to be able to employ our knowledge successfully to win at baccarat. This is the money management principle.

As we delve deeply into this shoe, let us keep in mind the contents of Rule 3 of our 2nd Baccarat Great Learning about the pattern of the patterns of the game of baccarat. In the zoom view of our scorecard, we study closely the patterns of this shoe unfolding like a beautiful flower. The circled numbers represent the revealing of basic opportunities to place a bet on the immediately following decision. Advanced opportunities such as the 2nd example in our 4th Baccarat Great Learning will be addressed in our Chinese New Year special.



Click here for expanded view


Our minimally acceptable basic opportunity, no matter what our individual method of money management may be, is placing a bet against an occurrence when the increasing improbability of that occurrence reaches about 1 in every 3 and 1/2 shoes according to the known pattern of the patterns. This is the tight threshold.

That means we wait for the shoe to vary away from the pattern of the patterns and toward at least this level of increasing improbability. Some of us may be more disciplined and tighten our thresholds to the next level of improbability, about 1 in every 7 and 1/8 shoes, or even to the next level beyond that, about 1 in every 14 and 1/4 shoes. Notice that in the must-win situation of the 2005 Chinese baccarat challenge in Las Vegas, we established our threshold at the 3rd threshold, the tightest threshold, about 1 in every 14 and 1/4 shoes.

Now let us list the 15 possible basic opportunities that this shoe presents to players, culminating with a very outstanding basic opportunity being presented in the upcoming Hand 64. We say possible because each of us establishes our own specific criteria for placing bets and their respective amounts for each basic opportunity.

Study this listing carefully and understand it completely! Note that asterisks point out opportunities in the black numbered banker decision only shoe-within-the-shoe or the red numbered player decision only shoe-within-the-shoe.



Click here for expanded view


We observe that by Hand 64 the Row 2 situation has really blossomed! A beautiful blossom! In the red numbered player decision only shoe-within-the-shoe, we are looking at an extreme situation of increasing improbability of this course of events, 1st, the continuing nonoccurrence of a run of more than 2 consecutive player decisions, and 2nd, the lengthening of the already improbable sequence of 8 runs of 2 consecutive player decisions to 9 runs. The occurrence of that 9th run in the sequence of runs of 2 consecutive player decisions has an improbability of occurrence of about 1 in every 113 and 3/4 shoes according to the known pattern of the patterns.

We place our bet on the player hand, and we ignore the gamblers at the table who mock us because their talismans tell them there will be no runs of more than 2 consecutive player decisions. And we are content when the shoe finally reverts to the pattern of the patterns, delivering our long awaited 3rd consecutive player decision.

Be aware! These kinds of most extraordinary sequences are also extremely dangerous, in fact, potentially catastrophical. We have all experienced or heard the stories about very long chops or very long runs or very long sequences, and because a very long chop or a very long run or a very long sequence makes a powerful impression on our minds, we tend to form a belief that it occurs more often than it actually does occur. We know what the pattern of the patterns tells us, that these occurrences are extremely improbable, but we also must remember that a very long chop or a very long run or a very long sequence can occur in any particular shoe.

This is our greatest money management challenge, we must be able to manage our way through these potentially catastrophical sequences of occurrences without suffering a catastrophical outcome. Even if it means accepting a losing shoe.

In this shoe, our employing the principle of diversification of bets across the rows enables us to avoid the catastrophical potential of red numbered row 2 and achieve a net win of 7 and 3/4 units by the end of Hand 64. We then embrace prudence and invoke our end-of-shoe strategy, that is, to quit if we are ahead, and if not, to only place low unit bets, so as to not get caught in a minor or major catastrophical sequence that continues to the end of a shoe that fails to revert to the pattern of the patterns.

Now, keeping the money management principle in mind, we must experiment with these data, using as many different combinations of thresholds and betting formulas as is necessary for us to arrive at ourpersonal money management method that we have carefully fitted to our financial circumstances. Some of us may prefer to ignore the red numbered and black numbered shoes-within-the-shoe. Each of us must stay in tune with our particular financial realities. We must not ignore our sensitivities to short term fluctuations, and we must accept the fact that we will experience a losing shoe and take that fact into account.


We are players, and we concentrate on winning each and every shoe, because the shoe is the game! We can win if and only if we do not lose. If we can win more shoes than we lose, we are winners!

Next time is our Chinese New Year Special, and we will meet one of the outstanding baccarat players in Fabulous Las Vegas, a strikingly beautiful Hong Kong born Chinese lady whose nom de jeu is The Queen of Clubs. She will tell us about the shoe that gave her that name, and she will offer us some considered advice on how to make our Year of the Pig a red hot one for us at the baccarat table!

Please feel free to email me at [email protected] with your suggestions and comments. The volume of email is growing so please be patient for our reply. Thank you!

We are receiving many emails with very insightful comments and questions. We can see that many baccarat players are now in development! It is impractical to respond specifically to comments and questions that are ultimately related to underlying financial circumstances. Study and contemplate the content very diligently to understand the questions and their answers. Congratulations, we have completed the core of Baccarat Great Learning!


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[john_220903]

Actually, this is not true. If hit and run really worked, why don't you hit and run every five minutes? This way, you can make alot of money.

Bro

LOL,how much u want me to bet per unit???$200-$300 this is taking high risk u r playing with ur luck...my per unit is only a min bet of $15 and im using flat betting,every baccart shoe have it's own pattern when ur playing system matches with shoe than u will win more units than what u will lose this is when i will strike innot every shoe or every hand asking u to make bet this will sure kill u.Compare to ur let say 5min hit and run tat's a very big different.True or not true is not up to u to say,only i myself know
My hit and run means to hit a certain target than off u go don't hang around anymore even when u lose also...
A small little tips for u since u say is not true:-
Look into the game when banker/player side get a total value of '0' bet on that side again mostly will hit around 65%-70% hit rate just what i always like to bet on sometimes.With the correct MM u sure make some pocket money out of it.

Have a nice day mate...

 

[BeHappy]

There is too much talk and disagreements on the systems to play.
Casinowinner suggests that we try out our systems in the online casino's play for free practice games to see how we fare. This is good advice and I am trying it.
The non belivers can always go to the casino themselves when the group is there and see for themselves how the group fares in the sessions.(quote -casinowinner's remark)

 

[Unrepented]

But I heard that online casino are not fair bets because they are controlled programmes. What are the experiences?

Advices given to me is to go to the casinos because it is a "live" environment.

There is too much talk and disagreements on the systems to play.
Casinowinner suggests that we try out our systems in the online casino's play for free practice games to see how we fare. This is good advice and I am trying it.
The non belivers can always go to the casino themselves when the group is there and see for themselves how the group fares in the sessions.(quote -casinowinner's remark)

 

[john_220903]

But I heard that online casino are not fair bets because they are controlled programmes. What are the experiences?

Advices given to me is to go to the casinos because it is a "live" environment.

Bro

Find those with live people betting in the casino where u see people moving about...there's afew sites which u can try choose which suits u before u decide to place a bet on.

 

[Unrepented]

Thanks. Any sites to recommend? Also how to draw out the winnings or make payment?

Sorry I am very new to the online gaming stuff. But hear from friends who heard from other people. So I thought I check with you bros here.

Thank you inadvance for the advice thus far.

Bro

Find those with live people betting in the casino where u see people moving about...there's afew sites which u can try choose which suits u before u decide to place a bet on.

 

[BeHappy]

But I heard that online casino are not fair bets because they are controlled programmes. What are the experiences?

Advices given to me is to go to the casinos because it is a "live" environment.

I have tried the Burswood and lasseters online casino from australia many years ago and when playing for fun I win, but when playing with real money,the roulette nos come out in a sequence that rarely happens.
Burswood is part of genting casinos.You can always try the online casino's play for fun and when sentosa opens, go and study the trends of the games and decide whether it is worth the risk of paying there.Go to genting and watch how some of the winners play.They usually go to into the casino after 2am and hit the tables for about half an our and quit.
Being Happy brings you good luck.

 

[john_220903]

Thanks. Any sites to recommend? Also how to draw out the winnings or make payment?

Sorry I am very new to the online gaming stuff. But hear from friends who heard from other people. So I thought I check with you bros here.

Thank you inadvance for the advice thus far.

Bro

There is afew I have been using for ur advice pls view most of the live game in ur mind or take a scorecard to record ur hitting rate first at least hit a 60% hit rate before u make any account opening. Websites as follows:-

Mansion88 ( 2 type of online casino)-
www.mansion88.com
IBC (which i seldom use)-
www.ibcbet.com
malta casino (the best so far im using it but need e wallet to make transfer)-https://www.casinovittoriosa.com
108casino (not bad can try on this too)-
www.108casino.com
hoilday-palace casino(seldom use)-
www.hoilday-palace.com

Enjoy

 

[Unrepented]

Thank you for the links and advice.

 

[Yip Hon]

Thank you for the links and advice.

Visited Asia Star today . Made some pocket money.

 

[Yip Hon]

i am recommending brothers to try out Asia Star

i like it best amongst the 4 cruise ships

a) Long Jie
b) Royal Star
c) Leisure World
d) Asia Star


it wasnt crowded today.

it ambiene very nice. just like a hotel. Wahh...