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Souring Profit Outlooks Threaten S&P 500’s 20% Rally
- Traders are punishing stocks for weaker-than-expected guidance
- Earnings growth is crucial as rate-cut uncertainty lingers
By Natalia Kniazhevich and Alexandra Semenova
May 4, 2024 at 8:30 PM GMT+8
Strong earnings beats from Corporate America may no longer be enough to keep the stock rally going. Profit outlooks are becoming more important.
With more than 400 firms in the S&P 500 Index having reported earnings this season, 79% of them have beaten profit expectations, according to data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence. But the median stock outperformed the index by less than 0.1% on results day — the smallest margin since late 2020.
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Iranian Warship on the Move Amid Houthi Threat to Attack Ships
- The vessel reached southern hemisphere waters for first time
- Yemen-based Houthis have threatened to renew maritime attacks
By Arsalan Shahla
May 4, 2024 at 9:27 PM GMT+8
An Iranian warship has embarked on a mission in oceanic waters, Iran’s state media reported, in the wake of a warning by Houthi rebels that they could renew their attacks on vessels transiting the region.
The aircraft carrier Shahid Mahdavi, operated by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, has reached southern hemisphere waters, the semi-official Fars news agency reported, without specifying its exact location.
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https://www.economist.com/europe/20...l-test-ukraine-severely-says-a-senior-general
photograph: getty images
May 2nd 2024|kyiv
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The scruffy headquarters of hur, Ukraine’s military intelligence agency, stands on a jagged piece of land in central Kyiv known as Fisherman’s Island. Strictly speaking, it is not an island but a peninsula.
And there isn’t much fishing going on these wartime days. But sporting a piratical beard, the agency’s deputy head, Major-General Vadym Skibitsky, plays a nautical theme. Blunt, enigmatic and sharp as a captain’s hook, he exudes many of the qualities that have made hur one of the most talked about secret services in the world.
But he sounds troubled as he assesses Ukraine’s battlefield prospects.
Things, he says, are as difficult as they have ever been since the early days of Russia’s full-scale invasion. And they are about to get worse.
He predicts that Russia will first press on with its plan to “liberate” all of Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk and Luhansk regions, a task unchanged since 2022. He says a Russian order has gone out to “take something” in time for the pomp of Victory Day in Moscow on May 9th, or, failing that, before Vladimir Putin’s visit to Beijing a week later.
The speed and success of the advance will determine when and where the Russians strike next. “Our problem is very simple: we have no weapons. They always knew April and May would be a difficult time for us.”
A fresh Russian push will test Ukraine severely, says a senior general
An interview with Vadym Skibitsky, deputy head of Ukraine’s military intelligence
May 2nd 2024|kyiv
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The scruffy headquarters of hur, Ukraine’s military intelligence agency, stands on a jagged piece of land in central Kyiv known as Fisherman’s Island. Strictly speaking, it is not an island but a peninsula.
And there isn’t much fishing going on these wartime days. But sporting a piratical beard, the agency’s deputy head, Major-General Vadym Skibitsky, plays a nautical theme. Blunt, enigmatic and sharp as a captain’s hook, he exudes many of the qualities that have made hur one of the most talked about secret services in the world.
But he sounds troubled as he assesses Ukraine’s battlefield prospects.
Things, he says, are as difficult as they have ever been since the early days of Russia’s full-scale invasion. And they are about to get worse.
He predicts that Russia will first press on with its plan to “liberate” all of Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk and Luhansk regions, a task unchanged since 2022. He says a Russian order has gone out to “take something” in time for the pomp of Victory Day in Moscow on May 9th, or, failing that, before Vladimir Putin’s visit to Beijing a week later.
The speed and success of the advance will determine when and where the Russians strike next. “Our problem is very simple: we have no weapons. They always knew April and May would be a difficult time for us.”
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