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What is the technicality of a recession?

newyorker88

Alfrescian
Loyal
WHAT SO TECHNICAL ABOUT A RECESSION?

A RECESION IS A RECESSION. JUST ACKNOWLEDGE IT



Tharman says Singapore's financial institutions stable




SINGAPORE: Singapore's financial institutions are well capitalised and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), says Finance Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam.

He was speaking to reporters on Sunday at a community event where he joined Muslims to break fast.

Mr Tharman said: "We are glad that overall, if you look at what is happening in Singapore compared to other financial centres, confidence in the market has been retained."

But Mr Tharman said a technical recession - defined by two consecutive quarters of economic contraction - is possible in Singapore.

Nonetheless, he cautioned that it is important for Singapore not to have any knee-jerk reactions, and to continue to monitor the global financial situation closely before announcing any plans.

Singapore's non-oil domestic exports in August fell 13.8 per cent from the same month in 2007, the largest drop in the last year.

And with the current financial crisis, economists expect this figure to fall even further as global demand slows.

After all, the United States is Singapore's second largest export market after the European Union.

So will MAS adjust the value of the Sing dollar to boost exports?

Mr Tharman said: "The MAS has a time frame for announcing its exchange rate policy. Our next statement will be made in October. We try not to make statements in between. But I would emphasise that we tend to focus on the medium term rather than on having knee-jerk reactions to
short-term developments."

Mr Tharman also said that the US and Europe economies have stabilised following the actions taken by their governments but problems remain and Singapore will have to watch the situation closely.
 

Ramseth

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Two successive quarters of negative growth is a technical recession. If it leads to overall annual negative growth, then the economy is in recession.

For example, 1Q +5%, 2Q -3%, 3Q -2%, 4Q +4%.

The annualised growth is 4%, but there's a interim technical recession.
 

newyorker88

Alfrescian
Loyal
Two successive quarters of negative growth is a technical recession. If it leads to overall annual negative growth, then the economy is in recession.

For example, 1Q +5%, 2Q -3%, 3Q -2%, 4Q +4%.

The annualised growth is 4%, but there's a interim technical recession.

Thanks.

You believe the govenment statistics?

It does not to take an economist to figure out that a recession is at the doorsteps. Just how bad and how long this round it is going to be. Been thru the 87 and 98 one. My bets are this one is going to be worse than the 98 one.
 

zhihau

Super Moderator
SuperMod
Asset
Two successive quarters of negative growth is a technical recession. If it leads to overall annual negative growth, then the economy is in recession.

For example, 1Q +5%, 2Q -3%, 3Q -2%, 4Q +4%.

The annualised growth is 4%, but there's a interim technical recession.

bro,

i'm sorry i'm so daft, but does this mean we're still in the Golden Period? :p
 

pia

Alfrescian
Loyal
danke for the answer :biggrin: no more Golden Period :eek: do they care? :p

Technically speaking, a golden period will re-emerge again after a recession (technical or not). The men in power will attribute the new golden period to their intelligence nd diligence, never mind the wholeworld is in a rebound.

Of course, we will be reminded to reward them with another few millions. :mad:
 

SIFU

Alfrescian
Loyal
Technically speaking, a golden period will re-emerge again after a recession (technical or not). The men in power will attribute the new golden period to their intelligence nd diligence, never mind the wholeworld is in a rebound.

Of course, we will be reminded to reward them with another few millions. :mad:

very well-said:biggrin:

recession = not their fault, global economy downturn..

rebound = their intelligence, foresight and diligence..

they really know how to twist and turn..:mad:
 

jw5

Moderator
Moderator
Loyal
very well-said:biggrin:

recession = not their fault, global economy downturn..

rebound = their intelligence, foresight and diligence..

they really know how to twist and turn..:mad:
That's why we need to remind them of this during the elections or even during the times when there are no elections. Tell them the reason after you vote them out.
We need to make them accountable.
 

yinyang

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
When the bulls are taking on a recess. Else, it's bullshxt. And we get pawed by the bears:p
 
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